ATL: MARIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion
FLpanhandle91 wrote:I think 155 was extremely generous as well. This was a cat 3 storm at landfall.
NHC says 4 and this is not the time to make a declarative statement. In other words, can it.
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- northjaxpro
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion
SouthDadeFish wrote:If there is any good news, it looks like from satellite and recon obs that the eye is filling in pretty quickly due to land interaction. I am hopeful that the truly catastrophic winds were confined to a small area near the coast. Nonetheless, Maria is still an extremely dangerous hurricane. The threat from flooding, potential landslides, and additional wind damage is very serious.
Thank you SouthDade. I agree that I pray the catastrophic winds were confined to near the coast. However, the storm surge is going to be devastating. I am extremely gut-wrenched and crushed seeing what is happening to Puerto Rico early this morning.

Praying for everyone on the island of Puerto Rico!! Praying for those later in the path in the Southeastern Bahamas as well.
Godspeed!!
.
Last edited by northjaxpro on Wed Sep 20, 2017 6:01 am, edited 2 times in total.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion
Huge increase in colder cloud tops around the outer eyewall last hour on goes 16. I'm not sure the dying inner eyewall is the only thing. What winds are in the outer eyewall?
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion
SouthDadeFish wrote:If there is any good news, it looks like from satellite and recon obs that the eye is filling in pretty quickly due to land interaction. I am hopeful that the truly catastrophic winds were confined to a small area near the coast. Nonetheless, Maria is still an extremely dangerous hurricane. The threat from flooding, potential landslides, and additional wind damage is very serious.
seeing cooling cloud tops on GOES 16. Think the outer eyewall is becoming better defined just as it moves over San Juan
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion
FLpanhandle91 wrote:I think 155 was extremely generous as well. This was a cat 3 storm at landfall.
Nonesense, radar velocities at landfall was showing 150-190 knot winds just above the surface, so surface winds were easily 150 mph.
Last edited by NDG on Wed Sep 20, 2017 5:59 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion
northjaxpro wrote:SouthDadeFish wrote:If there is any good news, it looks like from satellite and recon obs that the eye is filling in pretty quickly due to land interaction. I am hopeful that the truly catastrophic winds were confined to a small area near the coast. Nonetheless, Maria is still an extremely dangerous hurricane. The threat from flooding, potential landslides, and additional wind damage is very serious.
Thank you SouthDade. I agree that I pray the catastrophic winds were confined to near the coast. However, the storm surge is going to be devastating. I am extremely gut-wrenched and crushed seeing what is happening to Puerto Rico early this morning.
Praying for everyone on the island of Puerto Rico!! Praying for those later in the path in the Southeastern Bahamas as well.
Godspeed!!
.
PR not the most surge prone. More of a wave issue
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- Texas Snowman
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion
FLpanhandle91 wrote:I think 155 was extremely generous as well. This was a cat 3 storm at landfall.
Tolakram has spoken on the topic, heed what he says.
A friendly reminder to everyone that we are in so-called "Storm Mode" this morning and everyone needs to makes posts accordingly, things that are on topic and not inflammatory.
Tensions are high for many with a severe tropical cyclone making landfall in a tremendously populated area. Some here have family members in harms way and we have board members in the region.
So be on your best behavior.

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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion
Thanks GCANE you have been posting some really good stuff.
That wind sound is just creepy.
That wind sound is just creepy.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- FLpanhandle91
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion
Texas Snowman wrote:FLpanhandle91 wrote:I think 155 was extremely generous as well. This was a cat 3 storm at landfall.
Tolakram has spoken on the topic, heed what he says.
A friendly reminder to everyone that we are in so-called "Storm Mode" this morning and everyone needs to makes posts accordingly, things that are on topic and not inflammatory.
Tensions are high for many with a severe tropical cyclone making landfall in a tremendously populated area. Some here have family members in harms way and we have board members in the region.
So be on your best behavior.
Simply looked at recon data from when it was still off shore, saw SFMR maxing out in the cat 3 range, saw radar presentation degrading slightly, and commented on what I saw. Idk what I did wrong.
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- northjaxpro
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion
Texas Snowman wrote:FLpanhandle91 wrote:I think 155 was extremely generous as well. This was a cat 3 storm at landfall.
Tolakram has spoken on the topic, heed what he says.
A friendly reminder to everyone that we are in so-called "Storm Mode" this morning and everyone needs to makes posts accordingly, things that are on topic and not inflammatory.
Tensions are high for many with a severe tropical cyclone making landfall in a tremendously populated area. Some here have family members in harms way and we have board members in the region.
So be on your best behavior.
Thank you moderator. This is truly an extremely heartwrenching time .
As SouthDade posted earlier on this page, if there are praying type people on this forum, we need your help to participate now in thinking of those people being impacted on Puerto Rico more than ever!!!!
Last edited by northjaxpro on Wed Sep 20, 2017 6:10 am, edited 1 time in total.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
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Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
- Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion
FLpanhandle91 wrote:SouthDadeFish wrote:FLpanhandle91 wrote:I think 155 was extremely generous as well. This was a cat 3 storm at landfall.
No way. This was at least a category four storm at landfall. Radar velocities prior to landfall showed that as well. It looks like the core is weakening relatively quickly due to land interaction. This storm is still incredibly dangerous.
Radar velocities > Recon??
Strongest winds were already over PR by the time recon reached Maria. Recon can't fly over land, and the strongest winds were confined to a small area. Also agree this was a Cat 4 based on radar, IMO.
Last edited by Hypercane_Kyle on Wed Sep 20, 2017 6:09 am, edited 1 time in total.
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My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.
Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion
Digital-TC-Chaser wrote:Thanks GCANE you have been posting some really good stuff.
That wind sound is just creepy.
Your welcome
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