Texas Winter 2017-2018

Winter Weather Discussion

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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#2601 Postby Brent » Tue Dec 19, 2017 12:40 am

close to another winter storm in DFW at the end of the GFS(in 2018 guys!)... stays below freezing the entire week before that after the ice storm :lol:

Is this cold ever gonna be not in fantasy land? :P
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#2602 Postby Ralph's Weather » Tue Dec 19, 2017 12:48 am

GFS has 4 inches of liquid between days 4 to 10 in Tyler. That's after the 3 inches tomorrow.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#2603 Postby Brent » Tue Dec 19, 2017 1:30 am

Euro not too exciting through Christmas... snow looks to stay in Oklahoma on the front Christmas Eve, temperatures steady in the mid 30s all day.

and 40s Christmas Day like the GFS

lol Euro near 50 the day after Christmas. These models are still clueless.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#2604 Postby Cerlin » Tue Dec 19, 2017 1:47 am

Deviating from the model reading norm on this thread recently, there was quite a big bit of fog this morning in the upper DFW area and it's looking as if it's back for tonight. Interesting at how much condensation is in the air, hopefully it'll stay come Christmas time and some cold.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#2605 Postby Brent » Tue Dec 19, 2017 1:54 am

Euro is near 60 degrees and raining on the 27th when the GFS/CMC have frozen precip :roflmao:

I guess at least theres a storm???

Maybe we'll have more clarity once tomorrow's flood is over
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#2606 Postby Lagreeneyes03 » Tue Dec 19, 2017 3:35 am

Cerlin wrote:Deviating from the model reading norm on this thread recently, there was quite a big bit of fog this morning in the upper DFW area and it's looking as if it's back for tonight. Interesting at how much condensation is in the air, hopefully it'll stay come Christmas time and some cold.


I drove from DFW to San Antonio today and the ENTIRE way was foggy. Anywhere From 1/2 mile visibility to zero around Austin. I've never seen the state so engulfed in fog for so long. And it's still here.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#2607 Postby Cpv17 » Tue Dec 19, 2017 3:50 am

Brent wrote:Euro is near 60 degrees and raining on the 27th when the GFS/CMC have frozen precip :roflmao:

I guess at least theres a storm???

Maybe we'll have more clarity once tomorrow's flood is over

Yeah the models are lost right now, no doubt.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#2608 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue Dec 19, 2017 3:51 am

Think it’s worth noting that 06z NAM shows 35 degrees and rain at hour 84 in DFW...
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#2609 Postby gpsnowman » Tue Dec 19, 2017 5:41 am

Some of the thickest fog I have seen is out there this morning. Getting to work was an adventure, be careful out there today!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#2610 Postby wxman57 » Tue Dec 19, 2017 6:22 am

Quixotic wrote:Cross polar flow?


Temperatures across the Pole in Siberia are well above normal. No extreme cold there, either. Cross-Polar flow won't do it.

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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#2611 Postby Ntxw » Tue Dec 19, 2017 7:11 am

After some heavy fog, rolling thunder and storms have popped up over DFW. Moderate rain and lightning underneath
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#2612 Postby BrokenGlassRepublicn » Tue Dec 19, 2017 7:24 am

Thunder and lightning in Richardson this morning.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#2613 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Tue Dec 19, 2017 7:37 am

Extremely foggy again this morning, almost zero visibility. I wonder if there is any old wives tale that corresponds fog with upcoming winter weather?
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#2614 Postby missygirl810 » Tue Dec 19, 2017 7:40 am

Yukon Cornelius wrote:Extremely foggy again this morning, almost zero visibility. I wonder if there is any old wives tale that corresponds fog with upcoming winter weather?



Check out the lightning one lol

http://www.momtastic.com/webecoist/2012/11/02/signs-of-winter-weather-14-folklore-predictions/
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#2615 Postby srainhoutx » Tue Dec 19, 2017 8:25 am

Looking at the current temperatures across our source Regions of the NW Territories and Yukon in Canada, I am finally seeing some -20C to near -40C temperatures in some locations. Now let's see if some of that cold Canadian Air can head South in the days ahead. Meanwhile, careful when out and about today into this evening. Rounds of rain, some possibly heavy with thunderstorms this afternoon into evening look likely.

Get out and enjoy tomorrow if you can. That will likely be the best weather day we see in some time... ;)
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#2616 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Tue Dec 19, 2017 8:27 am

missygirl810 wrote:
Yukon Cornelius wrote:Extremely foggy again this morning, almost zero visibility. I wonder if there is any old wives tale that corresponds fog with upcoming winter weather?



Check out the lightning one lol

http://www.momtastic.com/webecoist/2012/11/02/signs-of-winter-weather-14-folklore-predictions/

If true, that would put snow and ice right at the 29th. If I remember correctly, some of the models were showing frozen precip on that day. Some of the folklore regarding weather is pretty out there but I do believe in some of it, if not for the current year but signs being shown now for the next winter.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#2617 Postby Ntxw » Tue Dec 19, 2017 8:36 am

Wow lots of lightning and thunder. Models whiffed on this last week. GFS had not a drop few runs ago sheared system. Neg tilt rainstorm

-SOI beat the guidance
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#2618 Postby wxman57 » Tue Dec 19, 2017 9:14 am

Oh, those Canadians...

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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#2619 Postby ronyan » Tue Dec 19, 2017 9:23 am

wxman is doing his best to overcome the -EPO that's coming. -EPO can't be stopped! It will get cold but extreme cold is always rare by definition so it's generally safe to bet against it a few days in advance. I would rather not see pipes bursting.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#2620 Postby DonWrk » Tue Dec 19, 2017 9:27 am

Yukon Cornelius wrote:
missygirl810 wrote:
Yukon Cornelius wrote:Extremely foggy again this morning, almost zero visibility. I wonder if there is any old wives tale that corresponds fog with upcoming winter weather?



Check out the lightning one lol

http://www.momtastic.com/webecoist/2012/11/02/signs-of-winter-weather-14-folklore-predictions/

If true, that would put snow and ice right at the 29th. If I remember correctly, some of the models were showing frozen precip on that day. Some of the folklore regarding weather is pretty out there but I do believe in some of it, if not for the current year but signs being shown now for the next winter.


We also had a few super Foggy August mornings which to me seems pretty uncommon and also being rare with all the rain we received.
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