Texas Winter 2017-2018

[Cpv17]

Sooooo Weather.com is showing rain and snow for Monday. What the heck have I been missing? I guess too much egg nog will do that. What's going on?!

The cold weather that was supposed to come this week basically got pushed back to next week and it’s not 10+ days out this time. It’s now within 5 days.

[Ntxw]

Euro starts running pretty soon. Any takers? Will it cave? or will it be 80F for New Year's day?

FWIW we're at 181 pages. Last winter was 252 pages which I think we will eclipse pretty soon. 501 pages is the benchmark from 2013-2014. The good winters all go over 400 pages.

In 2013/2014 page 181 started on January 14th.

[Ntxw]

Sooooo Weather.com is showing rain and snow for Monday. What the heck have I been missing? I guess too much egg nog will do that. What's going on?!

The cold weather that was supposed to come this week basically got pushed back to next week and it’s not 10+ days out this time. It’s now within 5 days.

You mean the vodka cold. It's been cold here since Friday

[South Texas Storms]

0z GFS Ensembles look interesting in the extended. Cold air hanging around with a trough in the SW US.

I'm thinking we're bound to get lucky with snow in this pattern possibly setting up over the next few weeks. As always, it's about timing.

[Cpv17]

Sooooo Weather.com is showing rain and snow for Monday. What the heck have I been missing? I guess too much egg nog will do that. What's going on?!

The cold weather that was supposed to come this week basically got pushed back to next week and it’s not 10+ days out this time. It’s now within 5 days.

You mean the vodka cold. It's been cold here since Friday

Lol yes sir! Earlier this morning I was driving back to Wharton from Palacios and my truck thermometer read 61 degrees down there on the coast. Just a 50 minute drive north to Wharton when I got home and it was reading 47 degrees. I thought that was interesting.

[Lagreeneyes03]

0z GFS is showing temps across the state about 5 degrees warmer compared to the 12z and 18z run for the first half of next week. Still brutally cold though.

I do like the wetter trend for NYE. Might be more sleet for DFW. This really reminds me of NYE and NY 2000-2001. But this HP is much stronger

One of the most memorable NYE I've ever had...I worked at the airport. Could we really get that much precip out of this?

[Cpv17]

Euro starts running pretty soon. Any takers? Will it cave? or will it be 80F for New Year's day?

FWIW we're at 181 pages. Last winter was 252 pages which I think we will eclipse pretty soon. 501 pages is the benchmark from 2013-2014. The good winters all go over 400 pages.

In 2013/2014 page 181 started on January 14th.

My guess would be a slight change towards the GFS so maybe 3-4 degrees colder than the 12z run.

[JayDT]

Sooooo Weather.com is showing rain and snow for Monday. What the heck have I been missing? I guess too much egg nog will do that. What's going on?!

The cold weather that was supposed to come this week basically got pushed back to next week and it’s not 10+ days out this time. It’s now within 5 days.

You mean the vodka cold. It's been cold here since Friday

And I have been enjoying every second of this cold

[Ntxw]

0z GFS is showing temps across the state about 5 degrees warmer compared to the 12z and 18z run for the first half of next week. Still brutally cold though.

I do like the wetter trend for NYE. Might be more sleet for DFW. This really reminds me of NYE and NY 2000-2001. But this HP is much stronger

One of the most memorable NYE I've ever had...I worked at the airport. Could we really get that much precip out of this?

not yet. Right now I'd just expect maybe a novelty sleet or snow event based on latest runs. If the GFS ends up right and temps are really that cold maybe we can squeeze out more with less. Biggest question mark is that digging trough. Lots hanging on it. 2000-2001 event was really odd, the trough position is not one you would think would have that much snow/sleet but it did

[South Texas Storms]

Not sure why the Euro hasn't started running yet...normally it starts around 11:45pm CST. The anticipation...

[Brent]

Not sure why the Euro hasn't started running yet...normally it starts around 11:45pm CST. The anticipation...

I was about to say... where is it? Maybe it will forecast 80 on New Years Day

[Ntxw]

It better be too busy writing a concession speech.

Delay? Lord knows we need to feed our model addiction asap

[Brent]

It better be too busy writing a concession speech.

Delay? Lord knows we need to feed our model addiction asap

Ikr, some of us have lives.

[South Texas Storms]

Apparently there's a power outage at ECMWF causing the delay. Not sure how long it will be before it starts running...

[Ntxw]

Apparently there's a power outage at ECMWF causing the delay. Not sure how long it will be before it starts running...

That seems like something that won't be corrected right away...sigh why now

[Brent]

Apparently there's a power outage at ECMWF causing the delay. Not sure how long it will be before it starts running...

That seems like something that won't be corrected right away...sigh why now

I remember during hurricane season(?) it happened once too. Its definitely happened at least once before this year.

but yes why lol

[South Texas Storms]

Apparently there's a power outage at ECMWF causing the delay. Not sure how long it will be before it starts running...

That seems like something that won't be corrected right away...sigh why now

According to the ECMWF, the issue has been resolved and the analysts there are rebooting the system. Hopefully not too long of a delay, but no telling.

[TXdaddy217]

Winter Weather Advisory for the Abilene, San Angelo area. Currently 27 degrees and a thin layer of ice on almost everything. Hate to see what the roads will be like in the AM hours here. Still freezing drizzle that could last most of tonight.

[South Texas Storms]

Apparently they were out of power for 2 1/2 hours, so they might still have more to do than just dissemination. Could be awhile...

Yall gonna stay up for it? I'm on shift tonight so I don't have a choice

[Brent]

Apparently they were out of power for 2 1/2 hours, so they might still have more to do than just dissemination. Could be awhile...

Yall gonna stay up for it? I'm on shift tonight so I don't have a choice

I'm usually up til 2am or so so we'll see what happens

Back in hurricane season it was 2am before it finished.