Texas Winter 2017-2018
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
In other news, it is quite humid today. Maybe some rain and thunder tomorrow? I also noticed yesterday our averages are starting to climb. Boo.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
bubba hotep wrote:bubba hotep wrote:Phase 6/7/8 are all supportive of cold in Jan & Feb. Models have it going into 6 but will it continue to roll?
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/p ... m_full.gif
Image above was hot linked, so it keeps updating, but it was only going out to P6 when posted. It has indeed continued to roll and now the models are showing it moving towards P8. Cold times ahead
Yep, this is swinging back around to where we were in Mid Dec, right before this extremely cold period we just experienced. But this time, our source region is much much colder. Lets just hope the positive PNA doesn't get too carried away again!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
Ntxw, when did it get colder and snowier? Was it in mid Feb on or before that? 1978 was a true niño and this winter isn't. We don't need real cold air but just cold enough.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
Regarding the Feb 1978 Dallas snow:
February 17, 1978
The last in a series of five snow events that began in mid-January also had the greatest totals. Between 4-8 inches fell from Throckmorton to Gainesville and north of a line through Dublin, Cleburne, Terrell, and Sulphur Springs.
February 17, 1978
The last in a series of five snow events that began in mid-January also had the greatest totals. Between 4-8 inches fell from Throckmorton to Gainesville and north of a line through Dublin, Cleburne, Terrell, and Sulphur Springs.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
hamburgerman7070 wrote:Ntxw, when did it get colder and snowier? Was it in mid Feb on or before that? 1978 was a true niño and this winter isn't. We don't need real cold air but just cold enough.
It was around the second week of Feb that 1978 went to town after a really cold start to Jan and mid Jan.
1978 was an El Nino, but around this time it was similar to a modoki El Nino. This is where tropical convection happens near the dateline. We have an East based La Nina, in cases I think the tropical forcing has some ability to extend east from the maritime continent for example via the MJO. When Nino 4 waters are near or greater than 28C because the whole configuration is shifted east vs your full blown basin Nina.
Simply saying El Nino or La Nina isn't enough. Their behaviors differ in where they shift the walker circulation. In some ways an east based Nina can behave like a modoki El Nino. Where a western Nina may behave like a full blown east based Nino on how they construct the tropical forcing.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
Got some exciting news that is loosely related winter weather (it can be severe weather, too, right?! ... lol) ... I have been asked to present at the Austin SKYWARN event on February 3, 2018, on the little local weather project of which I am part. It's called the Travis County Virtual Operations Support Team or VOST. So, if any of you attend the event, by all means please come up and say hello.
If I can find a way to plug Storm2K, I will do that!
If I can find a way to plug Storm2K, I will do that!
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
- missygirl810
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
Portastorm wrote:Got some exciting news that is loosely related winter weather (it can be severe weather, too, right?! ... lol) ... I have been asked to present at the Austin SKYWARN event on February 3, 2018, on the little local weather project of which I am part. It's called the Travis County Virtual Operations Support Team or VOST. So, if any of you attend the event, by all means please come up and say hello.
If I can find a way to plug Storm2K, I will do that!
Congrats!!!!!
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
Portastorm wrote:Got some exciting news that is loosely related winter weather (it can be severe weather, too, right?! ... lol) ... I have been asked to present at the Austin SKYWARN event on February 3, 2018, on the little local weather project of which I am part. It's called the Travis County Virtual Operations Support Team or VOST. So, if any of you attend the event, by all means please come up and say hello.
If I can find a way to plug Storm2K, I will do that!
Woo hoo. Porta. Go on with your bad self. Go Bro...err..Go Indians
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- ThunderSleetDreams
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
Feels disgusting out there today
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#NeverSummer
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
- srainhoutx
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
Apparently no one has seen the Longer Range ECMWF EPS centered on February 4th. Brrrr
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
Geez it’s warm today. 75 here. Ready for the next round of cold.
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
Yukon Cornelius wrote:Geez it’s warm today. 75 here. Ready for the next round of cold.
Yep it is muggy. Want to see some rain tomorrow and then bring back the cold please. With some snow.
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- South Texas Storms
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
It feels great outside today after all of the recent cold. So nice to wear shorts again. Don't want it any warmer than 80 though.
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- ThunderSleetDreams
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
srainhoutx wrote:Apparently no one has seen the Longer Range ECMWF EPS centered on February 4th. Brrrr
I have and I love it!
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#NeverSummer
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
- Rgv20
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
South Texas Storms wrote:It feels great outside today after all of the recent cold. So nice to wear shorts again. Don't want it any warmer than 80 though.
Officially hit 80 in Edinburg! It actually feels good outside
Now how about another Arctic Front??
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- cctxhurricanewatcher
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
srainhoutx wrote:Apparently no one has seen the Longer Range ECMWF EPS centered on February 4th. Brrrr
Please tell.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
srainhoutx wrote:Apparently no one has seen the Longer Range ECMWF EPS centered on February 4th. Brrrr
Details please lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
You cold-mongerers are really going to like Joe Bastardi's Saturday Summary today. It's free. Here is the link:
https://www.weatherbell.com/#premium
https://www.weatherbell.com/#premium
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
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