Disturbed Weather (now inland over Texas)
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Re: Disturbed Weather Over Northeastern Gulf
Coin flip on whether it can travel WSW over the next 24 hours. It has a chance to track along the trough axis. Agreed that W is the prevailing flow.
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Re: Disturbed Weather Over Northeastern Gulf
There were some very strong storms last night near the LA/MS border. I was driving to the Panhandle, and before I got on the I-10 Twin Spans, there were several Sky to ground/water lightning bolts that would last for a second or so. I caught some heavy rain and then a bit more in Gulfport where I stopped to visit friends. This was mostly to be a rainmaker and knockdown of the heat. Definitely a broad low at the surface, and the QPF 7 day has a pretty wide 2-3” swath into east TX.
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1530462213
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1530462213
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Re: Disturbed Weather Over Northeastern Gulf
We will take some rain in the Galveston Bay area.
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- wxman57
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Re: Disturbed Weather Over Northeastern Gulf
Surface low fading away and/or moving inland. Still looks like a rainy 4th of July in SE TX. Perhaps I'll cancel my vacation days for the 5th-6th as we won't be biking downtown for fireworks on the 4th, most likely.
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- lrak
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Re: Disturbed Weather Over Northeastern Gulf
Totally off-topic....I surf in the rain Mr. wxman57
https://www.youtube.com/watch?annotatio ... po_AcVmerA
https://www.youtube.com/watch?annotatio ... po_AcVmerA
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AKA karl
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My posts on this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. My posts are my basic observations and are definitely not backed by any "well some" meteorological knowledge. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Also
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
My posts on this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. My posts are my basic observations and are definitely not backed by any "well some" meteorological knowledge. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Disturbed Weather Over Northeastern Gulf
Some cyclonic motion in the low level clouds at sunset along with the banding but proximity to land should limit development.
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Re: Disturbed Weather Over Northeastern Gulf
Radar looking very interesting... has plenty of time according to models. Nothing crazy.. but worth a watch.
Im finally home after a month of traveling for work..
Im finally home after a month of traveling for work..
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- northjaxpro
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Re: Disturbed Weather Over Northeastern Gulf
Weak 1015 mb Low Pressure spinning just offshore Florida panhandle south of Destin per 3Z WPC surface analysis and radar.
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Re: Disturbed Weather Over Northeastern Gulf
northjaxpro wrote::uarrow: Weak 1015 mb Low Pressure spinning just offshore Florida panhandle south of Destin per 3Z WPC surface analysis and radar.
yep it has been slowly taking shape over the last 4 to 5 hours. since we lost the effects of afternoon convection over land. question is. will the broad circ be able to consolidate overnight before afternoon localized pressure falls disrupt any circ that tries to form overnight.
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- Clearcloudz
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Re: Disturbed Weather Over Northeastern Gulf
MCS remnants finally popped in the northern Gulf. Heavy Rains, Squally conditions, as this continues to move westward across LA/TX and the northern Gulf.
Will be interesting to see what happens in terms of how this unfolds.
Will be interesting to see what happens in terms of how this unfolds.
Last edited by Clearcloudz on Mon Jul 02, 2018 9:33 am, edited 1 time in total.
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- wxman57
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Re: Disturbed Weather Over Northeastern Gulf
Can identify a weak surface low south of Pensacola today. Convection has increased offshore, but tropical development chances remain very low.
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- Emmett_Brown
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Re: Disturbed Weather Over Northeastern Gulf
The GOM in July is often favored area for this type of home brew. Interesting!
Last edited by Emmett_Brown on Mon Jul 02, 2018 10:06 am, edited 1 time in total.
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- MississippiWx
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Re: Disturbed Weather Over Northeastern Gulf
wxman57 wrote:Can identify a weak surface low south of Pensacola today. Convection has increased offshore, but tropical development chances remain very low.
This area reminds me of the infamous no-name storm a couple of years ago that brought devastating flooding to South Louisiana. The difference here is this one will be moving quickly whereas that one stalled. Looks pretty good this morning on satellite. If it had more time over water, I think it would develop into a depression at least.
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Re: Disturbed Weather Over Northeastern Gulf
This is starting to look somewhat interesting this morning. IMO
https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16 ... 0x1000.gif
https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16 ... 0x1000.gif
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- cycloneye
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Re: Disturbed Weather Over Northeastern Gulf
It has the attention of JB.
@BigJoeBastardi
Good conditions for rapid feedback development northern gulf with feature over water. This has my attention https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/G ... &length=24 …
https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/1013816129876357120
@BigJoeBastardi
Good conditions for rapid feedback development northern gulf with feature over water. This has my attention https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/G ... &length=24 …
https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/1013816129876357120
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Re: Disturbed Weather Over Northeastern Gulf
Radar, sat and surface obs. showing some indication that a more defined circ is developing farther south. if that is the case it could skirt along the coast of LA and would have a better shot of development.
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- cycloneye
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Re: Disturbed Weather Over Northeastern Gulf
I am going to be bold here and say it will be mentioned in the 2 PM or 8 PM TWO.If I dont have it right that is ok.
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Re: Disturbed Weather Over Northeastern Gulf
cycloneye wrote:I am going to be bold here and say it will be mentioned in the 2 PM or 8 PM TWO.If I dont have it right that is ok.
Agreed.. but who knows with them anymore..
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- MGC
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Re: Disturbed Weather Over Northeastern Gulf
There is a bit of spin at the mid levels south of Gulf Shores. Lets see what happens.....MGC
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- cycloneye
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Re: Disturbed Weather Over Northeastern Gulf
@BigJoeBastardi
https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid ... 1&loop=yes …
mobile radar loop showing some spinning
https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/1013819923032952832
https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid ... 1&loop=yes …
mobile radar loop showing some spinning
https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/1013819923032952832
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