ATL: GORDON - Post-Tropical

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DestinHurricane
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#801 Postby DestinHurricane » Mon Sep 03, 2018 12:34 pm

Is a track farther east towards pensacola possible?
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#802 Postby SunnyThoughts » Mon Sep 03, 2018 12:35 pm

I don't think I"ve ever seen anything like that in my life. And Im freaking old.
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#803 Postby MGC » Mon Sep 03, 2018 12:35 pm

Will be interesting what recon finds when they punch the center soon.....MGC
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#804 Postby RL3AO » Mon Sep 03, 2018 12:36 pm

The core reminds me a lot of those micro canes in the BoC.
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#805 Postby bella_may » Mon Sep 03, 2018 12:36 pm

I don’t think RI was expected... but maybe I missed something
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#806 Postby Kazmit » Mon Sep 03, 2018 12:37 pm

The rate that Gordon is strengthening is making me wonder if it's possible that this could get to major hurricane status before landfall. It's unlikely, right?
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#807 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Mon Sep 03, 2018 12:37 pm

DestinHurricane wrote:Is a track farther east towards pensacola possible?

Looks like a weak ridge has set up over the panhandle which will keep Gordon west.
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#808 Postby stormhunter7 » Mon Sep 03, 2018 12:37 pm

All the wx stations in Maro island are still showing below 25mph! Very small core then! Also, feeder band storms to se of island coming up with be rotating for sure.
Last edited by stormhunter7 on Mon Sep 03, 2018 12:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#809 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Sep 03, 2018 12:38 pm

anyone finding any observations down there ? where the eyewall thing is scraping the coast ?
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#810 Postby johngaltfla » Mon Sep 03, 2018 12:38 pm

SunnyThoughts wrote:I don't think I"ve ever seen anything like that in my life. And Im freaking old.


I do remember watching Sir Charles off our coast go from a middling 1-2 to 4 in 2 hours. But old Gordo has more real estate to work with. Let's hope there isn't significant RI overnight.
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#811 Postby Steve » Mon Sep 03, 2018 12:39 pm

Kazmit wrote:The rate that Gordon is strengthening is making me wonder if it's possible that this could get to major hurricane status before landfall. It's unlikely, right?


How fast is it strengthening?
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#812 Postby EquusStorm » Mon Sep 03, 2018 12:39 pm

That might be the quickest I have ever seen activity in the Atlantic go from "ehh" to absolute freakout mode, ever
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#813 Postby stormhunter7 » Mon Sep 03, 2018 12:40 pm

Going with 5nm wide eye on recon pass. :eek:
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#814 Postby floridasun78 » Mon Sep 03, 2018 12:40 pm

look east eye wall if it one will kiss coast line
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#815 Postby drezee » Mon Sep 03, 2018 12:40 pm

bella_may wrote:I don’t think RI was expected... but maybe I missed something

Been saying this since Friday night!

drezee Sat Sep 01, 2018 2:13 am wrote:
Do not write this off. I still think this will be a TC in the GOM. Pattern is tricky, but loaded. Euro maybe having issues bundling energy south and north of the islands. It could actually spin up before FL ...

I tried to let everyone know that the euro was having problems bundling because of islands. This has happened before. Get prepared!

I will explain a bit more:
If you look at the 850 mb vorticity @ 8/30 12z Euro run, you would see the model holding back vorticity because of interactions with the DR mountains. The physics have done this multiple times with storms that pass directly over DR. The difference is that southern part of the wave accelerated south of Cuba. This allowed addition inflow and bundling north of the islands. The convection last night in the mona passage indicated the unmodeled convergence. The new euro sees it now. We will likely see a scenario that a TC strengthens all the way into the coast. Frankly, this setup has a very high ceiling (may not achieve, but possible).
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#816 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Mon Sep 03, 2018 12:40 pm

Makes me wonder if the mid level winds haven't mixed down to the surface yet.
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#817 Postby BYG Jacob » Mon Sep 03, 2018 12:41 pm

Steve wrote:
Kazmit wrote:The rate that Gordon is strengthening is making me wonder if it's possible that this could get to major hurricane status before landfall. It's unlikely, right?


How fast is it strengthening?

It built a core in less than 2 hours
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#818 Postby RL3AO » Mon Sep 03, 2018 12:41 pm

I'm curious to see the pressure fall from recon and over the next couple hours before I start calling for anything over 70 KT at peak, but I've been wrong about 7 times already today so you can ignore me. :lol:
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#819 Postby Kazmit » Mon Sep 03, 2018 12:41 pm

Steve wrote:
Kazmit wrote:The rate that Gordon is strengthening is making me wonder if it's possible that this could get to major hurricane status before landfall. It's unlikely, right?


How fast is it strengthening?

It was still an invest last night, and now its probably a mid to high end TS.
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Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019

I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#820 Postby BYG Jacob » Mon Sep 03, 2018 12:42 pm

RL3AO wrote:I'm curious to see the pressure fall from recon and over the next couple hours before I start calling for anything over 70 KT at peak, but I've been wrong about 7 times already today so you can ignore me. :lol:

Just one of those storms that lives to prove you wrong. It happens
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