from southern florida to New york still needs to watch... a lot of variables are in play right now.

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Blown Away wrote:00z Euro... SE through 48 hrs... Each run now a little slower either allowing an escape or delaying and getting trapped under building ridge down the road...
MississippiWx wrote:Yeah, Euro and UKMET are pretty close to each other at 120. Not good..
So far, a pretty large jump south by the Euro at 0z.
Aric Dunn wrote:MississippiWx wrote:Yeah, Euro and UKMET are pretty close to each other at 120. Not good..
So far, a pretty large jump south by the Euro at 0z.
all still within both the ukmet and euro ensemble spread for the last 2 days. anywhere from south florida to new york.. time to wabble watch.. florence is already moving wsw will pass south of 25n by morning and likely south of 24 n overall. then comes the question how long does it stay on a westerly vector? ukmet is still the most reasonable solution.
Aric Dunn wrote:definitely south this run .. looks like the 12z run from yesterday. landfall probably SC /NC area. unless that ridge build west ..
MississippiWx wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:MississippiWx wrote:Yeah, Euro and UKMET are pretty close to each other at 120. Not good..
So far, a pretty large jump south by the Euro at 0z.
all still within both the ukmet and euro ensemble spread for the last 2 days. anywhere from south florida to new york.. time to wabble watch.. florence is already moving wsw will pass south of 25n by morning and likely south of 24 n overall. then comes the question how long does it stay on a westerly vector? ukmet is still the most reasonable solution.
Probably will have a lot to do with how much it is able to strengthen.
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