ATL: FLORENCE - Models

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1641 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:15 pm

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1642 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:15 pm

This run is a whole lot mroe zig zag.. i suppose we can just smooth it out ..
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1643 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:16 pm

12Z 3 run consistency.

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1644 Postby ronjon » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:17 pm

Ok where does the 12z Euro landfall - I say Georgia.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1645 Postby SFLcane » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:17 pm

Ridge stronger overhead at 96hrs..
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1646 Postby clambite » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:18 pm

Bocadude85 wrote:12Z Canadian is way southwest, going with a Georgia landfall

Yeah...after sitting over Morehead City for 40 some odd hours !
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1647 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:19 pm

12z Euro 96 hours... Ridge axis flatter E-W compared to previous runs... Stronger ridging... GA?
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1648 Postby SFLcane » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:20 pm

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1649 Postby chris_fit » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:20 pm

120

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1650 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:21 pm

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1651 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:22 pm

If the ridge stays like that then NC/SC border looks like a good bet for landfall this run.

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1652 Postby drewschmaltz » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:22 pm

This looks like it could get trapped. In some warm water too.
Last edited by drewschmaltz on Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1653 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:23 pm

Euro 12z 120 hrs... Heading WNW towards SC?... Ridge much stronger than 00z...
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1654 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:24 pm

Remember, on these maps, the shaded areas are meaningless, only the actual 500mb lines matter.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1655 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:27 pm

tolakram wrote:Remember, on these maps, the shaded areas are meaningless, only the actual 500mb lines matter.


Axis pushing it WNW at 120... It appears?
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1656 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:28 pm

Blown Away wrote:
tolakram wrote:Remember, on these maps, the shaded areas are meaningless, only the actual 500mb lines matter.


Axis pushing it WNW at 120... It appears?


NW in my opinion, but my opinion is a pro met trying to teach me how to read these things :)
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1657 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:29 pm

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1658 Postby chris_fit » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:29 pm

This run is a about a degree south of the previous Euro Run @ 75W
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1659 Postby ronjon » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:29 pm

tolakram wrote:Remember, on these maps, the shaded areas are meaningless, only the actual 500mb lines matter.


Yeah but the 594 dm high expands westward from 96 to 120 hours on the ECM run. Is it growing or weakening after 120 hours?
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1660 Postby gatorcane » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:29 pm

Yet another south shift with the Euro, when are they going to stop?

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Last edited by gatorcane on Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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