toad strangler wrote:Cpv17 wrote:SoupBone wrote:I know shear can change and fast, but it's only a day or two away from the expanding shear area. I wonder if this is what causes the (at least temporary) dissipation that models are seeing. It's already ragged as hell, high shear will kick it in the teeth.
https://s22.postimg.cc/w55qb6plt/wave.png
I remember back when the Caribbean was a favorable area for development. It seems like for the past several years now its been a shredder, though.
Well, the post 2004/2005 steroid era there are just two systems to come out of the Caribbean (genesis there) that impacted the United States. Yes, I know this is just not a US forum. But the US for context here .... by my estimate....
2012 - Sandy
2017 - Harvey
I can still remember Wilma. Hard to believe she formed in the Caribbean like that. The Caribbean has been loaded with shear ever since then.