MississippiWx wrote:Looks like this new recon plane isn't going to sample the northeast quadrant on the first pass either.
I wonder why this is, anybody have any thoughts ?
Moderator: S2k Moderators
MississippiWx wrote:Looks like this new recon plane isn't going to sample the northeast quadrant on the first pass either.
MississippiWx wrote:Looks like this new recon plane isn't going to sample the northeast quadrant on the first pass either.
Condor wrote:MississippiWx wrote:Looks like this new recon plane isn't going to sample the northeast quadrant on the first pass either.
I wonder why this is, anybody have any thoughts ?
TennTradition wrote:MississippiWx wrote:Looks like this new recon plane isn't going to sample the northeast quadrant on the first pass either.
Is it possible that since Michael is nearing radar range, the hunters are de-emphasizing those NE quad readings due to the risks from lightening that is firing off thereand the availability of radar?
Condor wrote:MississippiWx wrote:Looks like this new recon plane isn't going to sample the northeast quadrant on the first pass either.
I wonder why this is, anybody have any thoughts ?
To be more specific about what the lightning indicates from a meteorological perspective, it usually correlates to a high burst of vertical wind churning (up/down drafts) that creates this electrical field. In very intense hurricanes in this region (Hurricane Emily, Hurricane Rita and Hurricane Katrina all had extensive lightning and thunder) this can be a huge issue for recon. We're starting to see that in Michael tonight.
NASA did a study after the 2005 season with more details on this:
https://science.nasa.gov/science-news/s ... hurricanes
USTropics wrote:The continental dry air effect is a real thing, but mostly we see that occurring at the mid-levels (~500 mb). Mid-level WV shows Michael pretty walled-off from what limited dry air there is at the mid-levels currently. The trough axis is acting to also provide additional atmospheric moisture to the CONUS on the eastern flank, and all indications are the dry air on the western flank won't impact Michael until after landfall.
https://i.imgur.com/kLi8Im5.gif
wx98 wrote:Condor wrote:MississippiWx wrote:Looks like this new recon plane isn't going to sample the northeast quadrant on the first pass either.
I wonder why this is, anybody have any thoughts ?
Maybe because they came from the NW side of the hurricane so they just start there instead of going out if the way.
USTropics wrote:Condor wrote:MississippiWx wrote:Looks like this new recon plane isn't going to sample the northeast quadrant on the first pass either.
I wonder why this is, anybody have any thoughts ?
I answered this a few pages back:To be more specific about what the lightning indicates from a meteorological perspective, it usually correlates to a high burst of vertical wind churning (up/down drafts) that creates this electrical field. In very intense hurricanes in this region (Hurricane Emily, Hurricane Rita and Hurricane Katrina all had extensive lightning and thunder) this can be a huge issue for recon. We're starting to see that in Michael tonight.
NASA did a study after the 2005 season with more details on this:
https://science.nasa.gov/science-news/s ... hurricanes
KWT wrote:Pressure of 942.9mbs found, still may find a touch lower before hitting SE eyewall.
MississippiWx wrote:Looks like recon could be turning to sample the NE quad. Not sure, but they didn't keep flying straight.
MississippiWx wrote:MississippiWx wrote:Looks like recon could be turning to sample the NE quad. Not sure, but they didn't keep flying straight.
139kt flight level winds in SE quad!!
CrazyC83 wrote:MississippiWx wrote:MississippiWx wrote:Looks like recon could be turning to sample the NE quad. Not sure, but they didn't keep flying straight.
139kt flight level winds in SE quad!!
Since the NE quad has not been sampled and winds are likely stronger there, I would go with 115-120 kt.
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 176 guests