Travis has risen 36 feet, in 7 days time!
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Ntxw wrote:06z GFS rainfall. This is your classic Textbook epac October Mexican hit then flood. Look for WPC maps to light up by early next week and more flood watches.
This could be a big one Vicente
Ralph's Weather wrote:Cpv17 wrote:These two maps are quite a contradiction from each other.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2018101800/gfs_apcpn_us_40.png
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610prcp.new.gif
I don't think they are that much of a contraction. The NW TX rain depends on the path of Vicente's moisture and the Gulf rain depends on the path of a Gulf low. It does not take much rain to get above average in W TX so any amount of rain out there puts them above average.
Cpv17 wrote:The 12z GFS is way different with Vicente. Stays too close to the coastline to strengthen.
Ralph's Weather wrote:Cpv17 wrote:The 12z GFS is way different with Vicente. Stays too close to the coastline to strengthen.
There was a run yesterday that showed that also I believe. 12Z GFS also has lost the -EPO through H220. With the very warm GoA I suspect the -EPO will return on future runs.
Cpv17 wrote:Ralph's Weather wrote:Cpv17 wrote:The 12z GFS is way different with Vicente. Stays too close to the coastline to strengthen.
There was a run yesterday that showed that also I believe. 12Z GFS also has lost the -EPO through H220. With the very warm GoA I suspect the -EPO will return on future runs.
I think the 12z GFS is drunk
Historic Crests
(1) 710.44 ft on 12/25/1991
(2) 707.38 ft on 05/18/1957
(3) 705.11 ft on 07/07/1997
(4) 704.68 ft on 02/10/1992
(5) 701.50 ft on 07/06/2007
(6) 696.70 ft on 11/24/2004
(7) 693.50 ft on 07/07/2002
(8) 693.48 ft on 10/14/1987
(9) 692.69 ft on 06/07/2016
(10) 692.58 ft on 10/07/1959
(11) 692.42 ft on 04/18/1977
(12) 688.13 ft on 03/20/1998
(13) 687.29 ft on 02/22/1997
Cpv17 wrote:Ralph's Weather wrote:Cpv17 wrote:The 12z GFS is way different with Vicente. Stays too close to the coastline to strengthen.
There was a run yesterday that showed that also I believe. 12Z GFS also has lost the -EPO through H220. With the very warm GoA I suspect the -EPO will return on future runs.
I think the 12z GFS is drunk
Cpv17 wrote:The Euro has widespread 2-3” for a good part of the state with some isolated 4-6” totals. Not too bad. I’ll take it!
Haris wrote:Cpv17 wrote:The Euro has widespread 2-3” for a good part of the state with some isolated 4-6” totals. Not too bad. I’ll take it!
Umm. We don’t need that here in Austin lol yet.
Wait 2 weeks![]()
Waters still rising
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