Texas Winter 2018-2019

Winter Weather Discussion

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rwfromkansas
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2201 Postby rwfromkansas » Wed Jan 02, 2019 12:23 pm

I’m up to 33.1 in North FW but my station is higher than standard. There is a glaze that has gotten stronger and heavier on trees and our decorations still up. So, it might be hanging on to 32 still.

I am in between Meacham and Alliance, so most likely same situation here based upon it still freezing on trees.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2202 Postby snowballzzz » Wed Jan 02, 2019 12:31 pm

Pulling for a temp bust today (altough, freezing rain is NOT fun). Would be nice to keep temps around or below freezing throughout the day and night tonight before the potential snow transition tomorrow morning/afternoon. Still 32 here in Justin with ice on elevated surfaces.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2203 Postby Jarodm12 » Wed Jan 02, 2019 12:34 pm

Warm nose isn't as deep as modeled freezing rain sleet and snow in North West Durant
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2204 Postby gpsnowman » Wed Jan 02, 2019 12:46 pm

Wthrlvrmom wrote:Showing 30 degrees at my house here in Aledo. Ground is wet, but all trees, bushes, elevated surfaces are all icy. Quite the picture. NWS forecasting 1-3 inches of snow in our area tomorrow with temps around 33? What’s up with that?

Snow chances seem to be increasing for tomorrow. We shall see. Temps need to stay down today and tonight. We will see what the Euro model says soon.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2205 Postby Jarodm12 » Wed Jan 02, 2019 12:53 pm

When do the wsw come out or isw? Nws Norman has a quarter inch of ice forecast in Durant and up to 3 inches of snow I expect that to increase!
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2206 Postby DFW Stormwatcher » Wed Jan 02, 2019 1:00 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:I’m up to 33.1 in North FW but my station is higher than standard. There is a glaze that has gotten stronger and heavier on trees and our decorations still up. So, it might be hanging on to 32 still.

I am in between Meacham and Alliance, so most likely same situation here based upon it still freezing on trees.


I work just southwest of 820 and I 35W, and the trees are starting to droop from ice. Now I’m looking at that from the fourth floor of my building. But icing pretty good on the top of the trees.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2207 Postby Brent » Wed Jan 02, 2019 1:01 pm

Euro is still a no go for DFW tomorrow, nice snow between DFW and OKC though

Keeps the snow from Denton to Sherman and points NW basically
Last edited by Brent on Wed Jan 02, 2019 1:06 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2208 Postby DFW Stormwatcher » Wed Jan 02, 2019 1:02 pm

DFW Stormwatcher wrote:
rwfromkansas wrote:I’m up to 33.1 in North FW but my station is higher than standard. There is a glaze that has gotten stronger and heavier on trees and our decorations still up. So, it might be hanging on to 32 still.

I am in between Meacham and Alliance, so most likely same situation here based upon it still freezing on trees.


I work just southwest of 820 and I 35W, and the trees are starting to droop from ice. Now I’m looking at that from the fourth floor of my building. But icing pretty good on the top of the trees.


Roads are still good which I am happy about, commute to Frisco would be a nightmare even if just the bridges start freezing over. TxDot is handling this amount of ice really well though.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2209 Postby Jarodm12 » Wed Jan 02, 2019 1:06 pm

Brent wrote:Euro is still a no go for DFW tomorrow, nice snow between DFW and OKC though

Keeps the accumulations from Denton to Sherman and points NW basically


Euro is still too warm it has rain here in Durant at noon but it's FZR and sleet right now
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2210 Postby wxman57 » Wed Jan 02, 2019 1:08 pm

Looks like very cold rain for the D-FW Metroplex. Only cold rain here in Houston (50 deg). Winter bad, summer good...
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2211 Postby Jarodm12 » Wed Jan 02, 2019 1:10 pm

wxman57 wrote:Looks like very cold rain for the D-FW Metroplex. Only cold rain here in Houston (50 deg). Winter bad, summer good...


Based on what you're seeing what do you think winter weather accumulations in Durant Oklahoma will be ?
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2212 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Jan 02, 2019 1:19 pm

Yea this air mass is deeper and colder than the models are showing. Surface temps are running 2-6 degrees warm on the Euro vs reality. There is no reason to even look at the globals for this event at this point, though even the meso and hi res models are running warm. HRRR is doing terrible on temps. NAM and RGEM are at least close but still too warm.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2213 Postby Cerlin » Wed Jan 02, 2019 1:21 pm

Ralph's Weather wrote:Yea this air mass is deeper and colder than the models are showing. Surface temps are running 2-6 degrees warm on the Euro vs reality. There is no reason to even look at the globals for this event at this point, though even the meso and hi res models are running warm. HRRR is doing terrible on temps. NAM and RGEM are at least close but still too warm.

It’s really strange to see every single model incorrect with temperatures, especially by this much. Wonder what’s causing that...and what that entails for the next 36 hours...
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2214 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Jan 02, 2019 1:25 pm

Cerlin wrote:
Ralph's Weather wrote:Yea this air mass is deeper and colder than the models are showing. Surface temps are running 2-6 degrees warm on the Euro vs reality. There is no reason to even look at the globals for this event at this point, though even the meso and hi res models are running warm. HRRR is doing terrible on temps. NAM and RGEM are at least close but still too warm.

It’s really strange to see every single model incorrect with temperatures, especially by this much. Wonder what’s causing that...and what that entails for the next 36 hours...

I am interested to see what the sounding at noon indicate as far as mid level cold. Not sure if the warm nose is as pronounced as expected.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2215 Postby DonWrk » Wed Jan 02, 2019 1:26 pm

Hardly had any icing here in Grayson county earlier this morning, but in the past hour everything is freezing up and icicles forming. Thought the temp was rising but apparently not.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2216 Postby wxman57 » Wed Jan 02, 2019 1:29 pm

Jarodm12 wrote:
wxman57 wrote:Looks like very cold rain for the D-FW Metroplex. Only cold rain here in Houston (50 deg). Winter bad, summer good...


Based on what you're seeing what do you think winter weather accumulations in Durant Oklahoma will be ?


I have no idea. My head has been in the South Pacific with two cyclones there and the southern South China Sea with TS Pabuk (since 4:30 this morning). I only just glanced at the surface map for Texas. I don't even know where Durant, OK is. Does 3-6 inches sound good? ;-)
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2217 Postby wxman57 » Wed Jan 02, 2019 1:31 pm

Cerlin wrote:
Ralph's Weather wrote:Yea this air mass is deeper and colder than the models are showing. Surface temps are running 2-6 degrees warm on the Euro vs reality. There is no reason to even look at the globals for this event at this point, though even the meso and hi res models are running warm. HRRR is doing terrible on temps. NAM and RGEM are at least close but still too warm.

It’s really strange to see every single model incorrect with temperatures, especially by this much. Wonder what’s causing that...and what that entails for the next 36 hours...


Models typically fail in predicting temperatures when precip is falling. They're always too warm, not taking the constant rain into consideration.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2218 Postby rwfromkansas » Wed Jan 02, 2019 1:32 pm

I think my earlier talk may prove wrong luckily. Could only see 34 today or possibly 33 if lucky. Temp has barely budged.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2219 Postby Cerlin » Wed Jan 02, 2019 1:32 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Jarodm12 wrote:
wxman57 wrote:Looks like very cold rain for the D-FW Metroplex. Only cold rain here in Houston (50 deg). Winter bad, summer good...


Based on what you're seeing what do you think winter weather accumulations in Durant Oklahoma will be ?


I have no idea. My head has been in the South Pacific with two cyclones there and the southern South China Sea with TS Pabuk (since 4:30 this morning). I only just glanced at the surface map for Texas. I don't even know where Durant, OK is. Does 3-6 inches sound good? ;-)


Durant is somewhat near the Texoma border I think. Saw that there is currently some snow there right now, so who knows. Any accumulation is probable at this rate and with temperatures so uncertain, who knows what could happen.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2220 Postby Jarodm12 » Wed Jan 02, 2019 1:34 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Jarodm12 wrote:
wxman57 wrote:Looks like very cold rain for the D-FW Metroplex. Only cold rain here in Houston (50 deg). Winter bad, summer good...


Based on what you're seeing what do you think winter weather accumulations in Durant Oklahoma will be ?




I have no idea. My head has been in the South Pacific with two cyclones there and the southern South China Sea with TS Pabuk (since 4:30 this morning). I only just glanced at the surface map for Texas. I don't even know where Durant, OK is. Does 3-6 inches sound good? ;-)


Haha love you brother sounds great to me! Now I'm gonna go take a Xanax and pray haha
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