hamburgerman7070 wrote:orangeblood wrote:Haris wrote:The EPS are fairly snowy. The future is very foggy beyond Wednesday for sure. Could be another dud or an actual event. Too early to write anything off the table.
Unfortunately, at least to my eyes, they don't look as promising...mean trough axis has trended east, not west, and only showing Mean QPF at DFW of around 0.45 inch over next 15 days. That is on the dry side for DFW this time of year! Plus an even more disturbing trend on the Euro EPS is it's lifting the cold north after Day 11-12. As far as cold goes over next 10 days, it looks better, but not on the moisture side of the equation
Orangeblood, I hate to be a debbie downer, but i think winter is over other than a few cold shots. Trough is too far east and then it starts to moderate late in the period. Only way imo we can salvage winter is if we get a -nao, otherwise its coming to an abrupt end imo.
Yes, the longer we go without a true Greenland block like most thought would occur the more troubling Feb prospects look. Tele forecasts have been wildly inaccurate...forecasting negative indices in the long term only to pull back as we get closer. It’s getting quite comical at this point but the modeled teasing pattern isn’t something we should ignore
Hopefully the Euro weeklies continue to keep hope alive this evening