#14128 Postby northjaxpro » Tue Feb 12, 2019 6:00 am
It looks like a pretty good round of rain coming in for much of the peninsula as a front passes through the region into early Wednesday. Hopefully, everyone, including down in the southeast peninsula, will get some beneficial rain. We will cool back down to seasonal temperatures for Wednesday and Thursday mornings here in Jax, with low temps in the 40s and max temps in the upper 60s each day. Central Florida should see lows down near 50 in some areas during this period as well.
Looking out 7-10 days, it appears that the Southeast U.S. Ridge will return for the week of February 17 - 21. It will keep us warm across the peninsula this period. Models showing another cold front pressing down on the ridge and approaching the peninsula. late next week around 2/21. The southern jet stream also looks to become active again during this period as well as it interacts with a front, especially near the end of the next 10 day period from Feb 21-23.
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One potential fly in the ointment is for Sunday. There are some timing differences with the models as a fast moving shortwave disturbance is being shown moving through the Deep South on Sunday. The GFS is much more aggressive with this potential on this morning's 06Z run. Hopefully for race fans headed to the Daytona 500, the models will back off on this disturbance or keep most of the dynamics well to the north on Sunday. It is definitely something to keep an eye on the next couple of days with the model runs.
Have a great day everyone!
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
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