ENSO Updates (2007 thru 2023)
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- Kingarabian
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Re: ENSO Updates
Still looks pretty Modoki-ish over the Nino regions. Also I'm not a fan of the new CPC subsurface maps.
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- NotSparta
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Re: ENSO Updates
Kingarabian wrote:Still looks pretty Modoki-ish over the Nino regions. Also I'm not a fan of the new CPC subsurface maps.
Yeah, they look terrible. Hope that doesn't spread to the other graphics
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This post was probably an opinion of mine, and in no way is official. Please refer to http://www.hurricanes.gov for official tropical analysis and advisories.
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- Kingarabian
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Re: ENSO Updates
From Aug18-Aug25, 12z Euro has Tahiti MSLP average near 1015.75 and Darwin MSLP near 1014.75. If this verifies, the SOI will be tilted weakly negative.
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- AJC3
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Re: ENSO Updates
NotSparta wrote:Kingarabian wrote:I'm not a fan of the new CPC subsurface maps.
Yeah, they look terrible. Hope that doesn't spread to the other graphics
I agree 100 percent. I went here and strongly suggested that they to change it back to the scale they previously used. I would suggest you both (and anyone else, for that matter) do the same.
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/comment-form.php
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- South Texas Storms
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Re: ENSO Updates
AJC3 wrote:NotSparta wrote:Kingarabian wrote:I'm not a fan of the new CPC subsurface maps.
Yeah, they look terrible. Hope that doesn't spread to the other graphics
I agree 100 percent. I went here and strongly suggested that they to change it back to the scale they previously used. I would suggest you both (and anyone else, for that matter) do the same.
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/comment-form.php
I agree as well and just submitted my comment too. Thanks for sharing that link!
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- AJC3
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Re: ENSO Updates
South Texas Storms wrote:AJC3 wrote:NotSparta wrote:
Yeah, they look terrible. Hope that doesn't spread to the other graphics
I agree 100 percent. I went here and strongly suggested that they to change it back to the scale they previously used. I would suggest you both (and anyone else, for that matter) do the same.
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/comment-form.php
I agree as well and just submitted my comment too. Thanks for sharing that link!
If they don't change the low end of the scale back to white, and they REALLY want to make some sort of differentiation between +0.5C and -0.5C, then they need to make it subtle and not distracting - something like this. The scale on the right distiguishes the weak pos/neg anomalies, but is a LOT better than what they switched to on the left.
Otherwise, no need to fix what ain't broke...
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- Kingarabian
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Re: ENSO Updates
AJC3 wrote:NotSparta wrote:Kingarabian wrote:I'm not a fan of the new CPC subsurface maps.
Yeah, they look terrible. Hope that doesn't spread to the other graphics
I agree 100 percent. I went here and strongly suggested that they to change it back to the scale they previously used. I would suggest you both (and anyone else, for that matter) do the same.
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/comment-form.php
https://i.imgur.com/DODTbXr.png
Thanks just submitted my suggestions.
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Re: ENSO Updates
Daily SOI for August 18th is 7.46, and with that contribution the 30 day average SOI has finally, but just barely, cracked into the positive for the first time in a while, coming in at 0.07. Let's see how long that manages to hold up. 90 day average is still down there at -7.28.
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- NotSparta
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Re: ENSO Updates
yeah, it gives way too much color for weak anomalies, making them look like they're stronger than they are
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This post was probably an opinion of mine, and in no way is official. Please refer to http://www.hurricanes.gov for official tropical analysis and advisories.
My website, with lots of tropical wx graphics, including satellite and recon: http://cyclonicwx.com
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- cycloneye
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Re: ENSO: CPC Weekly update of 8/19/19: Niño 3.4 down to +0.1C
Text of the CPC weekly update of 8/19/19 that has Niño 3.4 down to +0.1C.
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf
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Re: ENSO: CPC Weekly update of 8/19/19: Niño 3.4 down to +0.1C
Now is not even a Modoki El Nino present.
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Re: ENSO: CPC Weekly update of 8/19/19: Niño 3.4 down to +0.1C
Yet another bad year for the Euro.
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- Kingarabian
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Re: ENSO Updates
Another round of MC MJO progression is in the models forecasts and it may end the atmosphere's El Nino grip.
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- CyclonicFury
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Re: ENSO Updates
Niño 1+2: -0.3°C
Niño 3: -0.3°C
Niño 3.4: 0.0°C
Niño 4: +0.8°C
Coolest weekly Niño 3.4 value since May 30, 2018.
Niño 3: -0.3°C
Niño 3.4: 0.0°C
Niño 4: +0.8°C
Coolest weekly Niño 3.4 value since May 30, 2018.
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NCSU B.S. in Meteorology Class of 2021. Tropical weather blogger at http://www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.
- NotSparta
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Re: ENSO Updates
Looks like a La Niña now. Region 4 remains warm
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This post was probably an opinion of mine, and in no way is official. Please refer to http://www.hurricanes.gov for official tropical analysis and advisories.
My website, with lots of tropical wx graphics, including satellite and recon: http://cyclonicwx.com
My website, with lots of tropical wx graphics, including satellite and recon: http://cyclonicwx.com
- CyclonicFury
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Re: ENSO Updates
Niño 4 +0.6°C
Niño 3.4 -0.2°C
Niño 3 -0.3°C
Niño 1.2 -0.4°C
Niño 3.4 -0.2°C
Niño 3 -0.3°C
Niño 1.2 -0.4°C
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NCSU B.S. in Meteorology Class of 2021. Tropical weather blogger at http://www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.
- Kingarabian
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- CyclonicFury
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Re: ENSO Updates
Niño 4 0.5ºC
Niño 3.4 -0.2ºC
Niño 3 0.0ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.6ºC
ENSO-neutral continues for the time being. ONI for JJA came in at +0.3C, meaning that the 2018-19 El Nino event officially ends as a weak event that formed in SON 2018, with a peak ONI of +0.8C.
Niño 3.4 -0.2ºC
Niño 3 0.0ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.6ºC
ENSO-neutral continues for the time being. ONI for JJA came in at +0.3C, meaning that the 2018-19 El Nino event officially ends as a weak event that formed in SON 2018, with a peak ONI of +0.8C.
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NCSU B.S. in Meteorology Class of 2021. Tropical weather blogger at http://www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.
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