WPAC: HAGIBIS - Post-Tropical

[Highteeld]

CDO immediately cooling as a response to the setting sun. Sure would be fun to have a T 8.0 evaluated at 130 knots. would be super duper accurate

[Hayabusa]

Let's see if JMA upgrades again by 9Z

[NotoSans]

CDO immediately cooling as a response to the setting sun. Sure would be fun to have a T 8.0 evaluated at 130 knots. would be super duper accurate

Eye temp is however also cooling. ERC may be starting soon.

[Highteeld]

I think there's still 1 WMG pixel hanging in there

[EquusStorm]

I would trade a kidney for recon into this thing. Gonna go down as one of the most underestimated storms ever at least for now as well as a candidate for the most rapid deepening if we actually had a pressure measurement. Seems like Japan would wanna fly missions into things this threatening. No words though; beyond jaw-dropping incredible. From weak tropical storm to... this, in a single day.

[aperson]

Looks like this was the winner for eye temperature to cloud top difference:

2019OCT07 054000 5.5 952.4 102.0 5.5 5.5 7.3 1.7T/6hr OFF OFF OFF OFF 17.37 -77.73 EYE 8 IR -22.4 15.55 -148.16 ARCHER HIM-8 20.1

95.10C

[Highteeld]

Looks like this was the winner for eye temperature to cloud top difference:

2019OCT07 054000 5.5 952.4 102.0 5.5 5.5 7.3 1.7T/6hr OFF OFF OFF OFF 17.37 -77.73 EYE 8 IR -22.4 15.55 -148.16 ARCHER HIM-8 20.1

95.1C

about what you'd expect out of a 100 knot storm.

[Highteeld]

Hang in there, WMG.

[Highteeld]

And yes, I am being a bit of a sarcastic @sshole tonight. Forgive me, for I am (at least somewhat) jaded to have witnessed Hagibis explode, but have no obs to confirm anything.

[mrbagyo]

The pinhole is creeping in!

[Tailspin]

https://imgur.com/P6OijWW
Nuclear grade system....

[Highteeld]

[Highteeld]

Ok, all jokes aside, that is pretty dang close to being an instantaneous T 8.0

[wxmann_91]

Patricia w/o recon would have likely suffered the same fate... around 135 knots or so.

IIRC satellite estimates for Patricia exceeded T8.0 at its peak. But I'm not sure it would've been assessed as the strongest hurricane ever recorded in the Western Hemisphere. Hagibis is close but is still a notch below Patricia (at least right now).

[CryHavoc]

https://i.imgur.com/P6OijWW.jpg
https://imgur.com/P6OijWW
Nuclear grade system....
https://i.imgur.com/KBd258x.jpg

Calls to mind Haiyan himself. Unreal. That is just absolutely terrifying.

I really think this is at minimum a top 5 RI in history for a hurricane/typhoon.

[Highteeld]

Patricia w/o recon would have likely suffered the same fate... around 135 knots or so.

IIRC satellite estimates for Patricia exceeded T8.0 at its peak. But I'm not sure it would've been assessed as the strongest hurricane ever recorded in the Western Hemisphere. Hagibis is close but is still a notch below Patricia (at least right now).

In all seriousness, I think you are right, but ADT is screwy and will rate systems differently based off the basin it's being measured in.

[CryHavoc]

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floate ... short.html

Burst of CDG appears as if it's about to be trained into the northern part of the eyewall.

[euro6208]

Sorry I'm at work right now. What is 06Z BT saying?

[Highteeld]

Sorry I'm at work right now. What is 06Z BT saying?

130

[EquusStorm]

It'd be nice to know if surface winds in this are lagging behind presentation as is the case with many bombing out storms (I think Wilma took a few hours to catch up) but all that can be done is speculate; I wonder if we get a bigger more classic eye for easier satellite assessment after the pinhole collapses.