Texas Winter 2019-2020

[Brent]

Pretty good support on the GEFS for something as early as Monday even

Euro looks to be a no go this run

[TropicalTundra]

End of GFS knows what’s up although it’s 360 hours out

EDIT: TWC app calls for Rain/Freezing Rain wed. morning for Bell County. A step in the right direction?

[wxman57]

Well, I'm off to the U.S.-Canadian border to perform some wall reinforcements. I should be done by this weekend, but the data won't go into the models until early next week.

[gpsnowman]

Well, I'm off to the U.S.-Canadian border to perform some wall reinforcements. I should be done by this weekend, but the data won't go into the models until early next week.

This can mean only one thing; a huge front is on the way!!!

[Common sense]

Well, I'm off to the U.S.-Canadian border to perform some wall reinforcements. I should be done by this weekend, but the data won't go into the models until early next week.

You definitely know how to beat a dead horse. *Yawn*

[Portastorm]

Yes, please!

[Rgv20]

6zGFS Ensembles are encouraging for Austin!

[Ralph's Weather]

This thread is going to be wild for the next month.

[harp]

Yes, please!

https://i.imgur.com/CSI7956.png

Getting close to me! C'mon, baby!!!

[weatherdude1108]

Yes, please!

https://i.imgur.com/CSI7956.png

Looks great! But that could spell trouble for the roads if sleet/freezing rain is thrown into the mix. We may be off most of the next week!

[BrokenGlassRepublicn]

Yes, please!

https://i.imgur.com/CSI7956.png

Plausible since DFW gets the shaft.

[wxman22]

12z GFS and now the 12z ICON both have snow across the state early next week fwiw. Due to low heights we dont need a major cold outbreak to get snow.

[wxman57]

12Z GFS is farther north and east with the colder air and snow. "No snow for you" for San Antonio & Austin. Snow closer to D-FW. I have my doubts about the depth of the cold air next week, particularly as far south as SAT and AUS. No deep upper low passing overhead next Tuesday, just NW flow aloft. I suspect we'll see continued model differences into the coming weekend, possibly to next Monday.

[Ralph's Weather]

The GFS mid week next week is showing a strong Plains high moving south out of Canada with moist STJ slamming into it over Texas. The STJ dries out as it moves across the state and with no resulting surface low to pull in new moisture from the Gulf. For areas W of -35 and N of I-10 this set up is great and many could see a multi inch snow event. For areas E of I-35 the key will be to get a stronger upper air shortwave that translates into a surface low to pull in Gulf moisture.

The GFS and its ensembles hint at a couple more storms after next weeks all with potential for winter precip. Love this time of year when cold has had time to build in over the continent and the STJ starts cranking.

[wxman22]

Interesting... 12z EURO is now on board also with a winter storm.

[Brent]

South of DFW but this is the first Euro run to show anything

[Haris]

Okay now this has my attention.

[harp]

Yes, but how far east does it get? Louisiana? Help me out here my Texas friends!

[bubba hotep]

Inside of 10 days & Euro / GFS agree somewhat. This timeframe started showing up in the various ensembles last week and has consistently been there in the 30 - 40% range, so it has some legs.

[bubba hotep]

12z GEFS, still a wide range of possibilities