Interesting flareup in the GOM this morning

[abajan]

I haven't checked the animation so I don't know if there's any rotation but it sure looks like something's cooking up there.

[cycloneye]

Surely looks impressive that area but that is a cold front that has made it into the GOM and the divergent flow is causing that flareup but nothing is cooking and no rotation is noted in that area however rain for Florida is a sure thing.

[wxman57]

No rotation at all - just a tropical wave zipping up the frontal boundary into Florida. It'll be moving across Florida during the day today, producing a lot of rain for the Peninsula.

[vbhoutex]

I wonder if that is the one Katdaddy is saying the GFS is picking up on?? Sure won't be coming this way!!!

[Rainband]

Gonna be wet here!!!! 90% today and tonight . http://www.wunderground.com/DisplayDisc ... ort_Richey

[stormchazer]

Yep looking SW from Tampa, I see a deluge approaching!!

[Rainband]

WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
600 AM EST TUE OCT 28 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY:

DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE NORTHEAST
TOWARDS NORTH FLORIDA TODAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS
THIS LOW INTENSIFIES. A COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND SOUTHWEST FROM THIS
LOW PRESSURE AREA...CROSSING CENTRAL AND SOUTH FLORIDA TONIGHT AND
EARLY WEDNESDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE GULF WILL MOVE
ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY..AND THEN CENTRAL AND SOUTH
FLORIDA TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE FRONT. ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER...DEEP
MOISTURE AND WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT SHOULD PREVENT SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM FORMATION...HOWEVER SOME STORMS WILL LIKELY BECOME
STRONG WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45 MPH BEING THE MAIN THREAT. IN
ADDITION...ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS AND SHORT LIVED TORNADOES ARE
POSSIBLE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

ALL THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GENERATE DANGEROUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN ORGANIZED LINES...LEADING
TO PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS
IN SOME LOCATIONS.

RESIDENTS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA PLANNING OUTDOOR
ACTIVITIES TODAY SHOULD STAY ALERT AND CLOSELY MONITOR LATER
FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. BE PREPARED TO MOVE INDOORS IF
WEATHER CONDITIONS DETERIORATE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY:

THE COLD FRONT WILL CLEAR SOUTHWEST FLORIDA WEDNESDAY MORNING...BUT
A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY OVER CHARLOTTE AND
LEE COUNTY. SKIES WILL CLEAR WEDNESDAY BEHIND THE FRONT WITH NO
HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AFTER THAT THROUGH MONDAY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TODAY.

$$

EJ

[cycloneye]

But Johnnathan the important thing is that nothing tropical will develop from that area due to strong upper shear.

[Josephine96]

Lots of rain and potential severe weather coming with those short lived tornadoes huh. Could get kinda wet around here..

[ColdFront77]

The pressure is down to 29.71 inches here.

As of 1:00pm EST, the low pressure in the eastern Gulf of Mexico was 1004 mb, 29.65 in.

[Lindaloo]

That front blew through here a few days ago. Brought out severe weather watches and tornado watches. We only received about a quarter inch of rain from it though, but am enjoying the cool temps it left behind.

[Stormsfury]

Lots of rain and potential severe weather coming with those short lived tornadoes huh. Could get kinda wet around here..

That same upper divergent shear and the overall setup in North Florida earlier today was what prompted the SPC to issue the tornado watch.

SF