2020 Global ACE: NATL - 179.8 - EPAC - 76.5 - WPAC - 148.5 - NIO - 19.2

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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 8.0 - EPAC - 8.3 - WPAC - 7.4 - NIO - 19.2

#41 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 22, 2020 10:15 am

Let's see how much ACE Gonzalo and Douglas get to help their basins go up.
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 8.0 - EPAC - 8.3 - WPAC - 7.4 - NIO - 19.2

#42 Postby euro6208 » Wed Jul 22, 2020 10:29 am

Indeed, the slowness of the WPAC is what is causing all the hype.
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 8.0 - EPAC - 8.3 - WPAC - 7.4 - NIO - 19.2

#43 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 22, 2020 11:34 am

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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 8.3 - EPAC - 8.8 - WPAC - 7.4 - NIO - 19.2

#44 Postby SconnieCane » Wed Jul 22, 2020 4:51 pm

I know it doesn't currently, but I wonder if there is any way to make ACE take storm size into account. It just stands to reason that a large storm would expend more energy than a small one (like Gonzalo) with the same max winds.
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 8.3 - EPAC - 8.8 - WPAC - 7.4 - NIO - 19.2

#45 Postby EquusStorm » Wed Jul 22, 2020 7:53 pm

Yeah it would take an insane amount of work but it'd be neat to see a calculation that took TS/H wind radius into account with each advisory
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 8.3 - EPAC - 8.8 - WPAC - 7.4 - NIO - 19.2

#46 Postby StruThiO » Wed Jul 22, 2020 8:02 pm

track integrated kinetic energy may be what you're looking for
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 8.3 - EPAC - 8.8 - WPAC - 7.4 - NIO - 19.2

#47 Postby 1900hurricane » Wed Jul 22, 2020 8:47 pm

I have that.

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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 13.3 - EPAC - 21.5 - WPAC - 7.4 - NIO - 19.2

#48 Postby 1900hurricane » Sat Jul 25, 2020 10:15 pm

Added TIKE as a column in the year quicklook.

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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 13.3 - EPAC - 21.5 - WPAC - 7.4 - NIO - 19.2

#49 Postby StruThiO » Sat Jul 25, 2020 10:29 pm

1900hurricane wrote:Added TIKE as a column in the year quicklook.


Awesome work as always.
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 13.3 - EPAC - 21.5 - WPAC - 7.4 - NIO - 19.2

#50 Postby StruThiO » Sat Jul 25, 2020 10:30 pm

Incredible that it's July 25th, and we almost double the ACE of the WPAC to date. Yikes.
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 13.3 - EPAC - 21.5 - WPAC - 7.4 - NIO - 19.2

#51 Postby euro6208 » Sun Jul 26, 2020 11:12 am

StruThiO wrote:Incredible that it's July 25th, and we almost double the ACE of the WPAC to date. Yikes.


It's just July and a single long tracking Super Typhoon will erase the deficit...
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 13.6 - EPAC - 22.2 - WPAC - 7.4 - NIO - 19.2

#52 Postby 1900hurricane » Sun Jul 26, 2020 12:02 pm

It would have to be one serious long track supertyphoon to erase the deficit the WPac has built up. The more time without a TC, the more it's building up, especially as we head into ASO.

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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 13.3 - EPAC - 21.5 - WPAC - 7.4 - NIO - 19.2

#53 Postby aspen » Sun Jul 26, 2020 2:14 pm

euro6208 wrote:
StruThiO wrote:Incredible that it's July 25th, and we almost double the ACE of the WPAC to date. Yikes.


It's just July and a single long tracking Super Typhoon will erase the deficit...

The WPac is going to need something like Mangkhut, which was a Category 5 for around 3-4 straight days, to erase that deficit and get the basin anywhere near average. Such a system is looking highly unlikely anytime soon.
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 13.8 - EPAC - 22.8 - WPAC - 7.4 - NIO - 19.2

#54 Postby 1900hurricane » Sun Jul 26, 2020 2:41 pm

Mangkhut would still leave the basin with about a 15 unit ACE deficit, and that's not even factoring the the average increase of about 1.5 units of ACE per day for each day this time of year. It would take phenomenal activity to return the WPac back to average.
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 13.8 - EPAC - 22.8 - WPAC - 7.4 - NIO - 19.2

#55 Postby aspen » Sun Jul 26, 2020 3:39 pm

1900hurricane wrote:Mangkhut would still leave the basin with about a 15 unit ACE deficit, and that's not even factoring the the average increase of about 1.5 units of ACE per day for each day this time of year. It would take phenomenal activity to return the WPac back to average.

How much ACE did Mangkhut produce?
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 13.8 - EPAC - 22.8 - WPAC - 7.4 - NIO - 19.2

#56 Postby 1900hurricane » Sun Jul 26, 2020 3:42 pm

aspen wrote:
1900hurricane wrote:Mangkhut would still leave the basin with about a 15 unit ACE deficit, and that's not even factoring the the average increase of about 1.5 units of ACE per day for each day this time of year. It would take phenomenal activity to return the WPac back to average.

How much ACE did Mangkhut produce?

47.04 units over the course of 9.5 days.
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 13.8 - EPAC - 22.8 - WPAC - 7.4 - NIO - 19.2

#57 Postby aspen » Sun Jul 26, 2020 4:04 pm

1900hurricane wrote:
aspen wrote:
1900hurricane wrote:Mangkhut would still leave the basin with about a 15 unit ACE deficit, and that's not even factoring the the average increase of about 1.5 units of ACE per day for each day this time of year. It would take phenomenal activity to return the WPac back to average.

How much ACE did Mangkhut produce?

47.04 units over the course of 9.5 days.

That’s lower than I thought. I was expecting like 55-60 ACE.
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 13.8 - EPAC - 22.8 - WPAC - 7.4 - NIO - 19.2

#58 Postby 1900hurricane » Sun Jul 26, 2020 9:38 pm

aspen wrote:
1900hurricane wrote:
aspen wrote:How much ACE did Mangkhut produce?

47.04 units over the course of 9.5 days.

That’s lower than I thought. I was expecting like 55-60 ACE.

Didn't exist for long enough to pump out that much.

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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 13.9 - EPAC - 24.6 - WPAC - 7.4 - NIO - 19.2

#59 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 27, 2020 5:34 pm

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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 18.4 - EPAC - 26.9 - WPAC - 7.7 - NIO - 19.2

#60 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 01, 2020 10:08 am

Finnally the WPAC is moving to get some ACE units from the two storms that are now in the basin but still is far from the average of 74.0 as of August 1.
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