EPAC: DOUGLAS - Remnants
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Re: EPAC: DOUGLAS - Hurricane
Conditions along the north shore of Maui should be deteriorating now.
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Re: EPAC: DOUGLAS - Hurricane
Stair stepping but its now SW of the official CPHC track. Concerning trend for Molokai and Oahu.
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Re: EPAC: DOUGLAS - Hurricane
supercane4867 wrote:Conditions along the north shore of Maui should be deteriorating now.
https://i.imgur.com/o9ZREkn.gif
Barely a breeze here in Haiku, Maui at 9:45 HST
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- Bocadude85
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Re: EPAC: DOUGLAS - Hurricane
Kingarabian wrote:https://i.imgur.com/QvCbQhN.png
Stair stepping but its now SW of the official CPHC track. Concerning trend for Molokai and Oahu.
That trajectory would be just enough to clear the islands to the north but would drag the southern eyewall over Maui and Honolulu counties.
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- northjaxpro
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Re: EPAC: DOUGLAS - Hurricane
Bocadude85 wrote:Kingarabian wrote:https://i.imgur.com/QvCbQhN.png
Stair stepping but its now SW of the official CPHC track. Concerning trend for Molokai and Oahu.
That trajectory would be just enough to clear the islands to the north but would drag the southern eyewall over Maui and Honolulu counties.
It would be close enough to give them in Maui and real good whack from Douglas. I am definitely very concerned for Oahu for sure!!
Last edited by northjaxpro on Sun Jul 26, 2020 3:26 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: EPAC: DOUGLAS - Hurricane
Are there still large windmills on the NE tip of Oahu?.....MGC
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Re: EPAC: DOUGLAS - Hurricane
MGC wrote:Are there still large windmills on the NE tip of Oahu?.....MGC
Yes we still have the wind turbines on the north shore, I’m not sure what the protocol for a hurricane would be with those.
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- ScottNAtlanta
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Re: EPAC: DOUGLAS - Hurricane
Bocadude85 wrote:MGC wrote:Are there still large windmills on the NE tip of Oahu?.....MGC
Yes we still have the wind turbines on the north shore, I’m not sure what the protocol for a hurricane would be with those.
I think they shut them down if the winds are forecast to exceed 50kts
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Re: EPAC: DOUGLAS - Hurricane
The eastern eyewall has completely opened in the past hour - not surprising because the system is now embedded in cool-air strato-cu. More likely storm surge on the north-facing coasts is the biggest concern:
https://www.wunderground.com/radar/us/hi/molokai/hmo
https://www.wunderground.com/radar/us/hi/molokai/hmo
Last edited by Frank2 on Sun Jul 26, 2020 3:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: EPAC: DOUGLAS - Hurricane
Are there any good links to webcams on any of the north or east facing beaches? Haven't been able to locate many. TIA.
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Re: EPAC: DOUGLAS - Hurricane
Frank2 wrote:The eastern eyewall has completely opened in the past hour - not surprising because the system is now embedded in cool-air strato-cu. More likely storm surge on the north-facing coasts is the biggest concern:
https://www.wunderground.com/radar/us/hi/molokai/hmo
More like radar beams being blocked by mountains
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Re: EPAC: DOUGLAS - Hurricane
Frank2 wrote:The eastern eyewall has completely opened in the past hour - not surprising because the system is now embedded in cool-air strato-cu. More likely storm surge on the north-facing coasts is the biggest concern:
https://www.wunderground.com/radar/us/hi/molokai/hmo
That’s a gap in the radar beam, the eastern eyewall is closed.
https://radar.weather.gov/Conus/hawaii_loop.php
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Re: EPAC: DOUGLAS - Hurricane
Hurricane Douglas Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP082020
1000 AM HST Sun Jul 26 2020
...1000 AM HST POSITION UPDATE...
...DANGEROUS HURRICANE DOUGLAS CLOSING IN ON THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS...
The eye of Hurricane Douglas is being tracked by the North
Kohala and Molokai WSR-88D radars as the tropical cyclone
moves west-northwest, east of Maui County. Due to the distance
from the radars, the radars are sampling the upper portions of
Douglas. Hurricane Hunters from the Air Force 53rd Weather
Reconnaissance Squadron continue to conduct missions
through Douglas and have observed Douglas experiencing southerly
vertical wind shear. This has been factored into the radar position
fix below.
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM HST...2000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.1N 155.5W
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM ENE OF KAHULUI HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES
$$
FORECASTER M BALLARD
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP082020
1000 AM HST Sun Jul 26 2020
...1000 AM HST POSITION UPDATE...
...DANGEROUS HURRICANE DOUGLAS CLOSING IN ON THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS...
The eye of Hurricane Douglas is being tracked by the North
Kohala and Molokai WSR-88D radars as the tropical cyclone
moves west-northwest, east of Maui County. Due to the distance
from the radars, the radars are sampling the upper portions of
Douglas. Hurricane Hunters from the Air Force 53rd Weather
Reconnaissance Squadron continue to conduct missions
through Douglas and have observed Douglas experiencing southerly
vertical wind shear. This has been factored into the radar position
fix below.
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM HST...2000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.1N 155.5W
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM ENE OF KAHULUI HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES
$$
FORECASTER M BALLARD
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Re: EPAC: DOUGLAS - Hurricane
Good news for Maui is this is gaining some latitude but Oahu certainly isn't in the clear if it were to continue on its track.
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Re: EPAC: DOUGLAS - Hurricane
Kingarabian wrote:Steady WNW in the past few hours.
https://i.imgur.com/UBu3w1N.png
From my analysis of the radar, the eyewall should either just miss or barely graze the north shore of Maui, but miss the mountains. Molokai should get the southern eyewall in a few hours. It's setting up for landfall in northern Oahu.
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Re: EPAC: DOUGLAS - Hurricane
Kingarabian wrote:Beginning to have a squished look to it.
https://i.imgur.com/EfAuJDR.png
Is that because of Haleakala blocking the flow on the western side of the storm?
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I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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