ATL: ISAIAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2981 Postby northjaxpro » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:34 am

jlauderdal wrote:
NDG wrote:Orlando TV Mets that last night were pretty much calling the all clear for FL last night now their voice is shaking showing the forecast track that has shifted west and reluctant to show the latest GFS run or 06z Euro run.
They were foolish calling the all clear in this setup. Oh well, there is time to prepare.


These were pro mets saying this? Really? Not smart at all on their part. They should know better. Every season we see those dreaded words "the all clear". I wish I had 20 bucks for every time I hear this. I wish people would stop saying that until the NHC officially says the threat is over!
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2982 Postby artist » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:37 am

northjaxpro wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
NDG wrote:Orlando TV Mets that last night were pretty much calling the all clear for FL last night now their voice is shaking showing the forecast track that has shifted west and reluctant to show the latest GFS run or 06z Euro run.
They were foolish calling the all clear in this setup. Oh well, there is time to prepare.


These were pro mets saying this? Really? Not smart at all on their part. They should know better. Every season we see those dreaded words "the all clear". I wish I had 20 bucks for every time I hear this. I wish people would stop saying that until the NHC officially says the threat is over!

Seems to happen every time.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2983 Postby tropicwatch » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:38 am

Pressure continuing to drop.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2984 Postby ObsessedMiami » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:38 am

Happened here in this thread also
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2985 Postby wzrgirl1 » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:41 am

toad strangler wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
DestinHurricane wrote:
Yeah if it shifts significantly more west they'll extend those watches into Broward and Miami Dade counties. As far as impacts, we don't know yet. Broward could get anything from a light breeze to cat 2 hurricane conditions.
Just returned from the gas station with my Genny fuel, people were there filling up the gas cans.


I'm at 45 gallons treated and stored away. Fully prepared since the end of May. I usually do that every year but this year I went the extra mile. Gonna be a long season.


I only have about 15 gallons. I bought a portable air conditioner which is being delivered today.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2986 Postby Jr0d » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:41 am

northjaxpro wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
NDG wrote:Orlando TV Mets that last night were pretty much calling the all clear for FL last night now their voice is shaking showing the forecast track that has shifted west and reluctant to show the latest GFS run or 06z Euro run.
They were foolish calling the all clear in this setup. Oh well, there is time to prepare.


These were pro mets saying this? Really? Not smart at all on their part. They should know better. Every season we see those dreaded words "the all clear". I wish I had 20 bucks for every time I hear this. I wish people would stop saying that until the NHC officially says the threat is over!


I would like to know what channel...just so I can see how they are handling the latest developments today.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2987 Postby EquusStorm » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:43 am

Actually looking a little better in the last couple hours. NHC calling for a bit more intensification is probably pretty reasonable
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2988 Postby SFLcane » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:43 am

here in sunrise lines already at walmart! Not to long before water is all but gone.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2989 Postby northjaxpro » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:43 am

ObsessedMiami wrote:Happened here in this thread also


You would think people would learn over the years, especially in weather in general and the tropics. I guess in life as well:

My rule of thumb ALWAYS : NEVER assume and NEVER say the word NEVER
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2990 Postby eastcoastFL » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:43 am

Kat5 wrote:Half naked swirl coming up.


Are you trolling?
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2991 Postby chaser1 » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:43 am

jlauderdal wrote:
DestinHurricane wrote:
Bimms wrote:They have not issued any Hurricane watches for Broward County yet, just from Palm Beach going up. I wonder if with the next advisory, if it continues to shift west, will we see that. Also what are your thoughts for the Central to Northern Broward area. Do you think there will be any impacts based on what you see now?


Yeah if it shifts significantly more west they'll extend those watches into Broward and Miami Dade counties. As far as impacts, we don't know yet. Broward could get anything from a light breeze to cat 2 hurricane conditions.
Just returned from the gas station with my Genny fuel, people were there filling up the gas cans.


If track and model trends don't wobble east during the next 6 hours, I don't see how NHC doesn't add T.S. Watch (and possibly Warning) for at least Broward county
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2992 Postby WeatherEmperor » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:44 am

wzrgirl1 wrote:
toad strangler wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:Just returned from the gas station with my Genny fuel, people were there filling up the gas cans.


I'm at 45 gallons treated and stored away. Fully prepared since the end of May. I usually do that every year but this year I went the extra mile. Gonna be a long season.


I only have about 15 gallons. I bought a portable air conditioner which is being delivered today.


Good idea on the portable air conditioner. Please stay safe Wendy.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2993 Postby AutoPenalti » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:44 am

eastcoastFL wrote:
Kat5 wrote:Half naked swirl coming up.


Are you trolling?

No i think he’s right in this case. It’s temporary.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2994 Postby lhpfish » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:44 am

Can someone overlay the forecast points and the current center point?

Would be interesting to see.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2995 Postby hipshot » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:45 am

Aric Dunn wrote:About another 4 to 6 hours on the current heading and SE florida very likely wont escape landfall. IT would have to turn shaper than the models/NHC show.


Yep, if the high pressure area to its northeast is strong enough, this puppy might even make the Keys and Florida straight. THAT WOULD NOT BE GOOD.
JM2C though.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2996 Postby Cat5James » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:45 am

chaser1 wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
DestinHurricane wrote:
Yeah if it shifts significantly more west they'll extend those watches into Broward and Miami Dade counties. As far as impacts, we don't know yet. Broward could get anything from a light breeze to cat 2 hurricane conditions.
Just returned from the gas station with my Genny fuel, people were there filling up the gas cans.


If track and model trends don't wobble east during the next 6 hours, I don't see how NHC doesn't add T.S. Watch (and possibly Warning) for at least Broward county

Broward county has been under a TS watch since yesterday... Today it was upgraded to a TS warning...
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2997 Postby DestinHurricane » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:46 am

lhpfish wrote:Can someone overlay the forecast points and the current center point?

Would be interesting to see.

Still SW of forecast points per Blown Away
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2998 Postby Kat5 » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:47 am

eastcoastFL wrote:
Kat5 wrote:Half naked swirl coming up.


Are you trolling?


No...

The shear is getting to its core for the time being. That anti-cyclonic feature south of it, isn’t doing it any favors for right now. Just an amateur observation.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2999 Postby tallywx » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:47 am

AutoPenalti wrote:
eastcoastFL wrote:
Kat5 wrote:Half naked swirl coming up.


Are you trolling?

No i think he’s right in this case. It’s temporary.


Quite the opposite. Bahamas radar shows convection encircling the largest portion of the center than it has all morning.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#3000 Postby Vdogg » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:48 am

ObsessedMiami wrote:Happened here in this thread also

No more than an hour ago this was supposed to be a"naked swirl". :lol:
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