ATL: ISAIAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[NDG]

Landfall central Andros Island after a WNW jog.

[GCANE]

AF306
986.3 mb

[Blown Away]

https://twitter.com/TropicalATL/status/1289542873818390528

That looks like a pretty good jog to the west in that radar loop as it goes over the island..

Big west jog there.

I’ve been noticing this for a few hours and waiting for the NHC or local TV Mets to acknowledge it.

[Highteeld]

not seeing much evidence of hurricane force winds. NHC shouldn't change it to TS though for communications reasons

[SFLcane]

This could very well come very close to SFL if it stays weak like this. Watching

[drewschmaltz]

Stick a fork in it. Amazing evolution. I saw a post on here earlier yesterday that pointed out the lack of dry air in the NHC's discussion. Downgraded to TS on next advisory?

[GCANE]

Organizing ULL directly east at 25N 60W helping to deepen poleward outflow channel.

[SFLcane]

Wow just noticed the west turn there over Andros.

[Kat5]

No Hurricane winds associated with the storm according to recon...

[StormingB81]

Stick a fork in it. Amazing evolution. I saw a post on here earlier yesterday that pointed out the lack of dry air in the NHC's discussion. Downgraded to TS on next advisory?

I doubt he is done just yet. People said that yesterday morning as well and he came right back.

[Blown Away]

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... roduct=vis
CDO really expanding to the W & SW again.

[DestinHurricane]

Wow just noticed the west turn there over Andros.

Maybe feeling the ridging to the north still?

[GCANE]

A more west jog / track would impinge winds more at a right angle against the west shore of Andros and up LL convergence which in turn allows for a burst of convection to occur then.

[GCANE]

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=09L&product=vis
CDO really expanding to the W & SW again.

Slowly taking out the dry slot

[Blown Away]

A more west jog / track would impinge winds more at a right angle against the west shore of Andros and up LL convergence which in turn allows for a burst of convection to occur then.

Yeah, you called that earlier. On radar you can see the eyewall trying to close off the SW.

[eastcoastFL]

Stick a fork in it. Amazing evolution. I saw a post on here earlier yesterday that pointed out the lack of dry air in the NHC's discussion. Downgraded to TS on next advisory?

I’d hold the fork until after he clears andros

[SFLcane]

@tropicaltidbits

#Isaias beginning to struggle more with shear and dry air this morning, with the core becoming more ragged. Data from recon planes indicates slight weakening occurring.

The track is slightly left of yesterday's expectation, over Andros Island, increasing odds of #Florida impacts.


https://twitter.com/tropicaltidbits/sta ... 25792?s=21

[northjaxpro]

The worse of the effects will be felt here across Northeast Florida coast beginning late Sunday iinto Sunday night/early Monday morning. We will see winds to TS force at times inland from the coast, but gusts at the beach wil lbe stronger.

But my big worry is tbe storm surge as the storm moving up the coast will have a prolonged onshore flow for about 18-24hours beginning tomorrow morning. Forecast is 2-4 feet above flood stage right now. We will of course be monitoring the Intracoastal Waterway, and especially the Saint Johns River as the storms moves up the coast tomorrow.

Also, Isaias will be arriving here off the Northeast Florida by tomorrow evening, which would be at the time of high tide at the beaches, which could really compound potential flood issues from storm surge.

Be careful out there everyone. I an not going to be getting much sleep this weekend that's for sure.

[Do_For_Love]

What is "Miss Piggy" lol?

[GCANE]