ConvergenceZone wrote:TheStormExpert wrote:wxman57 wrote:Last month, I decided to look back through the best track data to the 1800s to count the number of short-lived storms (2 days or less). Most of them in the 1800s were only short-lived because they could not be detected unless they were passing land. You can see that the number of short-lived storms is steadily increasing, but not necessarily because there are more now than existed in the past. The reason is likely due to better detection techniques combined with changing qualifications for naming. Twenty-storm seasons may become more common in the future, mostly due to short-lived tropical storms or subtropical storms, but the numbers of hurricanes and major hurricanes won't change much.
http://wxman57.com/images/Short-Lived.JPG
This right here why we could see a high number of named storms but a much lower number of hurricanes or major hurricanes this year and in coming years.
I agree with both posts. I expect lots of depressions and storms. It will remain to be seen if we get many hurricanes the rest of the season. I think we will get a couple more hurricanes in September though. Conditions will probably be a bit better by then, before everything slowly winds down
Only a couple hurricanes in September? Why are you bearish on the entire season?
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post I've seen here this year so far. No offense of course.
