2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images

[toad strangler]

Hi

 https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/1294836927049293825

[869MB]

Hi

https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/1294836927049293825?s=20

How’s 1980 on that list? Hurricane Allen did some heavy lifting that year.

[MarioProtVI]

Here we go.

[AxaltaRacing24]

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/xgtwo/atl/202008160527/two_atl_5d0.png

Here we go.

gosh this is such a boring lull.

[stormlover2013]

Where are the season cancel people at lol

[MarioProtVI]

Where are the season cancel people at lol

Don’t worry they’ll be here on the 19th which is National Downcasting Day

[Brent]

Where are the season cancel people at lol

it never fails August 15th and the switch flips

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/EricBlake12/status/1294962633582555137

[NDG]

Don't look for an OTS track from any storms forming at the MDR over the next 4-10 days despite a blocking pattern over Greenland.

[toad strangler]

We are witnessing the flip of the switch here. Gone are the days of the SST and SAL handwringers. Giddy Up

 http://twitter.com/AndyHazelton/status/1295003829470208002

[Kazmit]

Since the MJO is moving from west to east, it seems likely that the next TCs will form in the western part of the basin, which would come from the two disturbances on NHC's map. MDR activity will come shortly afterwards.

[EquusStorm]

Just don't see so many indicators lining up all at once all that often. I dunno about total storm count but the ones that we do see are going to be pretty healthy. Rough times ahead

[toad strangler]

 http://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1294982239722156034

[MetroMike]

Since the MJO is moving from east to west, it seems likely that the next TCs will form in the western part of the basin, which would come from the two disturbances on NHC's map. MDR activity will come shortly afterwards.

I thought the MJO was moving in from the Pacific to the Atlantic basin which would be from the West traversing to the East.that would make western basin more favorable 1st.

[FireRat]

Not sure where this would belong, but I think this is a good summary of most of the season so far

Credit to typhonium

https://i.imgur.com/Uh8nP31.jpg

Tropically and Subtropically flavored
this is genious dude

[Kazmit]

Since the MJO is moving from east to west, it seems likely that the next TCs will form in the western part of the basin, which would come from the two disturbances on NHC's map. MDR activity will come shortly afterwards.

I thought the MJO was moving in from the Pacific to the Atlantic basin which would be from the West traversing to the East.that would make western basin more favorable 1st.

I meant west to east, yes.

[NDG]

I wouldn't be surprised if the coming AEWs over the next couple of weeks struggle at times over the Atlantic MDR if dust outbreaks continue like it did in 2017, the reason Harvey struggled before reaching the GOM, it didn't settled down until late August and early September when Irma developed by the CV Islands.


Compared to 2017 dust is not as bad right now and not as bad over the next 4 days as forecasted by the models.

[Steve]

...

[aspen]

A couple days ago, we still had season cancel/doubter posts everywhere. Now we have two Cheetos in the MDR with model support from the EPS, CMC, ICON, and UKMET, with multiple runs or ensemble members showing hurricanes within ten days.

I think 2020 took those season cancel posts as a challenge.

[Evan_Wilson]

When do the steering currents become favorable again for possible East Coast impacts? A few weeks ago it seemed this year would have the opportunity to have more statistically more landfalling hurricanes, but as far as blocking patterns go it doesn’t seem like we’re in a favorable one currently at least for the East Coast.