ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Fancy1001
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5721 Postby Fancy1001 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:58 am

I could be wrong but it looks like the plane is turning around. Did something happen?
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5722 Postby MississippiWx » Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:58 am

Sheesh.

As many of us pointed out yesterday evening, the ceiling was very high. Discounting a Cat. 4-5 because of a large eye 30 hours+ from landfall was unwise. The eye continues to contract and this is more than likely a Cat. 4 already.

The dreaded 5 is certainly a distinct possibility.

Hoping everyone got out of the path because no one in Southwest Louisiana has experienced a hurricane of this magnitude.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5723 Postby Highteeld » Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:59 am

Fancy1001 wrote:I could be wrong but it looks like the plane is turning around. Did something happen?

could be a search and rescue mission
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https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf

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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5724 Postby 3090 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:59 am


She has for all practical purpose has absorbed all of the available moisture that was present in the GOM at one time. It just goes to show how moisture feeds these systems as their fuel.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5725 Postby storm_in_a_teacup » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:00 pm



YIII! :eek: Very scary but can’t deny from a distance she is pretty.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5726 Postby Fancy1001 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:00 pm

Highteeld wrote:
Fancy1001 wrote:I could be wrong but it looks like the plane is turning around. Did something happen?

could be a search and rescue mission

You mean like with Lorenzo last year.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5727 Postby tolakram » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:01 pm

Fancy1001 wrote:I could be wrong but it looks like the plane is turning around. Did something happen?


Getting down to operational altitude.

Image
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5728 Postby TennTradition » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:01 pm



The convection firing off to the NW along the TX coast is wild to watch. Can someone explain to me what the driving force of this is and what that might tell us about steering?
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5729 Postby Fancy1001 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:02 pm

tolakram wrote:
Fancy1001 wrote:I could be wrong but it looks like the plane is turning around. Did something happen?


Getting down to operational altitude.

https://i.imgur.com/A5hWFv7.png

Ok, thanks.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5730 Postby Ken711 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:03 pm

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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5731 Postby Highteeld » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:05 pm

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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf

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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5732 Postby Ken711 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:06 pm

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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5733 Postby Shell Mound » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:06 pm

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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5734 Postby Extratropical94 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:07 pm

Fancy1001 wrote:I could be wrong but it looks like the plane is turning around. Did something happen?


The last two data points had the same lat/lon coordinates, resulting in a net movement of zero. I guess the algorithm that calculates the aircraft's bearing from the coordinate changes defaults to 90° when there is no movement, hence it appears as if they turned around.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5735 Postby Highteeld » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:08 pm

2020AUG26 162020 6.5 929.5 127.0 6.5 6.5 6.5 NO LIMIT OFF OFF OFF OFF 15.78 -68.24 EYE 19 IR 9.9 27.09 92.18 ARCHER GOES16 36.8
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf

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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5736 Postby Hurricane Mike » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:09 pm

Wow 85-90 mph sustained over 100 miles away from the eyewall.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5737 Postby tomatkins » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:10 pm

Not that it matters, but what ever happened to the remnants of Marco? I know the models had it kind of lingering around the LA/TX gulf coast after it got sheered apart - but did any of it survive? A low level swirl? Is Laura in any way interacting with those remnants?
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5738 Postby Highteeld » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:10 pm

Delta measured of 84.04 *C, calculated flight level winds in the 135-140 knot range this next pass
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf

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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5739 Postby BYG Jacob » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:10 pm

Highteeld wrote:2020AUG26 162020 6.5 929.5 127.0 6.5 6.5 6.5 NO LIMIT OFF OFF OFF OFF 15.78 -68.24 EYE 19 IR 9.9 27.09 92.18 ARCHER GOES16 36.8

Eye is beginning to torch, no doubt this is a category 4
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5740 Postby BensonTCwatcher » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:10 pm

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