ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Highteeld]

https://i.imgur.com/cjmdm9h.gif

So many waterspouts

[Do_For_Love]

Cat 5 or not, Laura is gonna be a top 5 landfalling hurricane in US history and is gonna absolutely devastate SW Louisiana. Just incredible how strong she is.

[Texas Snowman]

https://i.imgur.com/cjmdm9h.gif

Taking a hard westerly jog

Maybe it's my eyes playing tricks on me, but I just thought the same thing. Was just thinking that if the motion is what I'm seeing, Port Arthur and Beaumont are going to go downhill in a hurry.

[hurricanes1234]

And thus begins a thread that may live in some sort of infamy, if some of the solutions verify. The meat of the 2020 season has begun

This was the second post in this thread. Sadly and regrettably, I can't even begin to describe how well this aged.

Thoughts and prayers to all those in the path of this monster.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Air Force at 9:16pm CDT: 941mb, 15 knots of wind

UZNT13 KNHC 270238
XXAA 77028 99289 70932 08283 99941 28013 23015 00/// ///// /////
92150 26608 23523 85900 24837 23023 88999 77999
31313 09608 80212
51515 10190 70607
61616 AF300 2513A LAURA OB 09
62626 CENTER MBL WND 23025 AEV 30400 DLM WND 22518 940702 WL150 2
3020 080 REL 2888N09316W 021208 SPG 2890N09314W 021608 =
XXBB 77028 99289 70932 08283 00941 28013 11850 24837 22798 21629
33789 24459 44766 25864 55748 27068 66703 22866 77702 224//
21212 00941 23015 11920 23526 22903 23529 33880 22524 44850 23023
55821 23523 66796 21521 77789 22017 88779 25016 99724 18010 11702
30002
31313 09608 80212
51515 10190 70607
61616 AF300 2513A LAURA OB 09
62626 CENTER MBL WND 23025 AEV 30400 DLM WND 22518 940702 WL150 2
3020 080 REL 2888N09316W 021208 SPG 2890N09314W 021608 =

[AubreyStorm]

@burgwx:

Latest dropsonde finally shows a higher minimum MSLP than the last pass, for the first time so far today. Still have a couple hours left until landfall, but between this & lack of increase in flight level or SFMR wind, I hope that the intensification trend has finally stopped.

[supercane4867]

NOAA at 9:15pm CDT: 940mb, 7 knots of wind

UZNT13 KWBC 270222
XXAA 77027 99289 70932 08283 99940 27416 18007 00/// ///// /////
92140 26211 20009 85887 24235 23520 70593 24669 19002 88999 77999
31313 09608 80210
61616 NOAA2 2413A LAURA OB 33
62626 CENTER MBL WND 20010 AEV 30404 DLM WND 21511 939632 WL150 1
9009 085 REL 2892N09318W 021017 SPG 2893N09316W 021502 =
XXBB 77028 99289 70932 08283 00940 27416 11897 24407 22885 25838
33850 24235 44820 23645 55779 26264 66749 24063 77700 24669 88632
19467
21212 00940 18007 11934 18011 22911 20008 33850 23520 44814 24014
55801 21514 66787 23015 77779 20016 88747 21020 99732 18514 11725
16010 22717 16510 33632 10001
31313 09608 80210
61616 NOAA2 2413A LAURA OB 33
62626 CENTER MBL WND 20010 AEV 30404 DLM WND 21511 939632 WL150 1
9009 085 REL 2892N09318W 021017 SPG 2893N09316W 021502 =

Now that's convincing proof that intensification has at least came to a halt for now.

[Hurrilurker]

https://i.imgur.com/cjmdm9h.gif

Taking a hard westerly jog

Maybe it's my eyes playing tricks on me, but I just thought the same thing. Was just thinking that if the motion is what I'm seeing, Port Arthur and Beaumont are going to go downhill in a hurry.

It’ll probably come back, seems unlikely to make any drastically unexpected track moves at this point. They have a ton of data from all the recon.

[PavelGaborik10]

She's leveled off

[supercane4867]

Seems like both planes are rushing to get another pass in the NE quadrant before landfall.

[Highteeld]

Eye temperature warmer than Dorian's

2020AUG27 022020 6.4 928.9 124.6 6.4 6.5 6.5 NO LIMIT OFF OFF OFF OFF 21.56 -68.70 EYE 26 IR 69.2 29.02 93.16 ARCHER GOES16 39.1

[supercane4867]

NOAA doing a west to east pass.

[GCANE]

 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1298813385329475585

[Ken711]

https://i.imgur.com/cjmdm9h.gif

Taking a hard westerly jog

Maybe it's my eyes playing tricks on me, but I just thought the same thing. Was just thinking that if the motion is what I'm seeing, Port Arthur and Beaumont are going to go downhill in a hurry.

Last NHC heading was still NNW.

[GCANE]

Hurricane-force winds coming on shore now.

[cfisher]

Seems like there might be another band behind the main eyewall hogging some of the angular momentum

[Hurrilurker]

A lot of people who decided to stay are going to be shocked at how fast it goes from calm to hellish.

[tolakram]

053
URNT12 KNHC 270245
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL132020
A. 27/02:12:10Z
B. 28.89 deg N 093.15 deg W
C. 700 mb 2596 m
D. 941 mb
E. 230 deg 15 kt
F. CLOSED
G. C28
H. 116 kt
I. 084 deg 17 nm 02:06:00Z
J. 178 deg 145 kt
K. 088 deg 14 nm 02:07:30Z
L. 111 kt
M. 226 deg 13 nm 02:16:00Z
N. 301 deg 95 kt
O. 226 deg 11 nm 02:15:30Z
P. 12 C / 3048 m
Q. 23 C / 3052 m
R. 7 C / NA
S. 12345 / 7
T. 0.02 / 1 nm
U. AF300 2513A LAURA OB 07
MAX FL WIND 145 KT 088 / 14 NM 02:07:30Z
;

[ConvergenceZone]

Even the weather channel mentioned that they don’t think it’s going to get any stronger. But the concern is that it’s not getting any weaker. Likely to be between 145 and 150 mph at landfall

[cfisher]

Convection on the NE wall tightened up. Maybe one last attempt at strengthening before landfall.