ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[PTrackerLA]

Getting gusts 35-40mph now in Lafayette, expect a steady increase from now through 2-3am.

I should note im in SW Lafayette Parish roughly 2 miles from Vermilion Parish border or 11 miles NNE of Abbeville as the crow flies. I'll experience slightly stronger winds than LFT will during this event. I'm very thankful we didn't have to deal with the eye wall, surge could reach my home in a cat 4 or 5 storm in the Eastern eyewall according to SLOSH models.

[EquusStorm]

Of course at this point it's like the difference between getting hit with a 150 car freight train or a 160 car freight train. We've gotten uncomfortably used to landfalling category fours lately, but as a whole that's really rare in the US. Unprecedented in this part of the coastline even

[Ken711]

10:00 PM CDT Wed Aug 26
Location: 29.0°N 93.2°W
Moving: NNW at 15 mph
Min pressure: 939 mb
Max sustained: 150 mph

[Texas Snowman]

Greg Diamond reporting on Twitter that roughly a 115 mile stretch of I-10 is now closed. And a tweet of a Weather.com story says that a National Guard general advised people in Louisiana to have tools to cut their way out of the attic if they're staying behind.

[Blow_Hard]

Just went back to the Archives and was reading posts from the Michael thread and it is so eerily similar and I see so many of the same, knowledgeable valuable posters.

[Ken711]

NHC Discussion:

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/0300Z 29.0N 93.2W 130 KT 150 MPH
12H 27/1200Z 31.0N 93.7W 95 KT 110 MPH...INLAND
24H 28/0000Z 33.8N 92.9W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND
36H 28/1200Z 35.6N 91.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
48H 29/0000Z 36.8N 88.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
60H 29/1200Z 37.5N 82.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
72H 30/0000Z 38.5N 75.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 31/0000Z 45.0N 60.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 01/0000Z 52.0N 46.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

[supercane4867]

Could see pressure back to below 940mb on the next drop by NOAA. 939mb in the advisory is likely spot-on.

[GCANE]

Observed tornado

 https://twitter.com/NWStornado/status/1298815962292973573

[TheDreamTraveler]

Anyone know where Aric's streaming and if he's doing it? I know he's done it for a few other hurricanes in the past

[Miamimeetro]

Of course at this point it's like the difference between getting hit with a 150 car freight train or a 160 car freight train. We've gotten uncomfortably used to landfalling category fours lately, but as a whole that's really rare in the US. Unprecedented in this part of the coastline even

very true

[johngaltfla]

I hope folks all the way up to Shreveport are paying attention, as with this forward speed and strength, I don' think it will be down to Tropical Storm strength by the time it gets there. Good luck to all my Cajun friends, this will be a rough one.

[cfisher]

Dvorak white band in NE quadrant closed now...

[tarheelprogrammer]

NOAA plane drop wasn't in the center and was 936mb it appears. Missed the center slightly south. Does it have a high bias or something? Confused as to why people think it has leveled off some.

[zhukm29]

[Beef Stew]

NOAA plane drop wasn't in the center and was 936mb it appears. Missed the center slightly south. Does it have a high bias or something? Confused as to why people think it has leveled off some.

I was seeing 934- I'm not sure what the discrepancy is. Change in altitude maybe?

[ozonepete]

Anyone know where Aric's streaming and if he's doing it? I know he's done it for a few other hurricanes in the past

He didn't go.

[chaser1]

Convection on the NE wall tightened up. Maybe one last attempt at strengthening before landfall.

Was just noticing that myself with the colder cloud tops trying to pull up from it's SE quad and wrap around the storms eastern inner core. If that were to occur in the next hour, then I could see an additional 1-3 mb pressure drop. That could also suggest the storm could "tick" more due north on final approach. Most likely though we're probably seeing a status quo... the beginning of the end, and a breathless assault of Mother Nature to what was once home for many. Morning daylight will challenge us all to even try to recognize the broken and flooded wasteland that remains.

[Fancy1001]

It looks like they keep missing the Northeast eye wall.

[supercane4867]

FL wind holding steady at ~140kt on this pass. Current intensity still 130kt for now.

[tolakram]