ATL: NANA - Remnants - Discussion

[GCANE]

CAPE also increasing in the Theta-E ridge.
Up to 3500.
Nana is going to walk into a powder keg.

[SouthDadeFish]

Holy smokes, we even have a well-defined inner-core too. This is definitely an RI candidate if we see some convection going near the center.

[GCANE]

37 knt SFMR, unflagged, 30 sec avg

[MarioProtVI]

Hurricane Nana anyone? The rate this is going it seems likely

[Aric Dunn]

Holy smokes, we even have a well-defined inner-core too. This is definitely an RI candidate if we see some convection going near the center.

Means it was likely closed since some point early evening and overnight.

and yep. overall environment would suggest RI is possible.

[NDG]

Hello Nana, I didn't see you coming so early this morning, I guess your proximity to Jamaica helped your ML circulation go down to the surface.

[tailgater]

Still has SSE flight level winds at 16.5 N

SE and East and NE winds.

fully closed.

but unless they gain altitude

we wont get to see the actual intensity

since they are avoiding the deep convection and the center thus far.

https://i.ibb.co/99Kdxtk/recon-AF307-01-FFA-INVEST.png

It can't be more evident that that of a well defined closed circulation.

Yep I simply meant the center has to north of the NHC position of 16.1N

[GCANE]

53 knt FL @ 925 mb

[us89]

45 kt SFMR unflagged

[NDG]

Great job by the GFS and Euro.
Not!!!!!!!!!!

[CyclonicFury]

Another TC the global models missed.

[Aric Dunn]

Great job by the GFS and Euro.
Not!!!!!!!!!!

dont forget ASCAT..

[drezee]

53kt SFMR unflagged 59kts FL Lvl

[NDG]

Great job by the GFS and Euro.
Not!!!!!!!!!!

dont forget ASCAT..

I'm sure if ASCAT would had caught it this morning it would show the closed circulation.
Last night it was probably bad timing in which the closed circulation opened up briefly before closing again this morning.

[Aric Dunn]

WHAT !
153900 1629N 07730W 9249 00739 0071 +204 +201 187051 059 053 010 00
153930 1630N 07729W 9277 00727 0093 +195 //// 171048 060 056 019 05
154000 1630N 07727W 9251 00760 //// +192 //// 157045 047 053 020 01
154030 1631N 07726W 9245 00774 0101 +206 +182 155044 044 039 002 00
154100 1632N 07724W 9249 00774 0105 +208 +173 149044 045 038 001 00
154130 1633N 07723W 9241 00783 0111 +203 +177 147042 044 035 001 00
154200 1635N 07722W 9257 00770 0113 +201 +181 147040 043 033 000 00
154230 1636N 07721W 9248 00780 0113 +202 +182 144037 041 032 000 00
154300 1637N 07720W 9249 00779 0109 +214 +175 132038 039 033 000 00
154330 1639N 07719W 9245 00782 0111 +214 +171 131037 038 033 000 00
154400 1640N 07718W 9256 00775 0109 +223 +167 127038 038 031 001 03
154430 1641N 07717W 9244 00784 0107 +229 +162 125037 037 031 000 00
154500 1642N 07716W 9250 00781 0110 +223 +174 125036 036 030 000 00
154530 1643N 07715W 9251 00780 0111 +218 +186 125036 037 027 000 00
154600 1644N 07714W 9248 00784 0112 +219 +188 130036 036 025 000 03
154630 1645N 07713W 9250 00783 0113 +218 +189 132036 037 024 000 00
154700 1647N 07712W 9250 00784 0114 +218 +190 133036 037 024 001 03

[tropicwatch]

Hello Nana!

[CyclonicFury]

I'd expect a special advisory soon that now expects a hurricane peak.

[Aric Dunn]

Hello Nana!

hello a few hours away from hurricane Nana lol.

[MississippiWx]

I'd expect a special advisory soon that now expects a hurricane peak.

Lol. At this rate, they will need a special advisory to upgrade to Hurricane Nana.

[GCANE]

ULL diving in from the NE.
Already seeing the outflow channel.
Good chance for RI later today.