ATL: SALLY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Jr0d]

It was never forecast to be a major wind threat, but a major flood threat.

Hopefully it weakens further While stalled offshore this helps it from dropping its full potential of rain on land. Unfortunately less wind does not mean less rain.

[PTPatrick]

This is sort of reminding me of Hurricane Danny in 1997 with the slow movement and the potential landfall up the bay. One of the few storms we were able to ride out at our home (as it appeared we’d be on the west side of the eye and it was coming from LA, a bad setup for surge). The rain totals probably won’t match Danny, because still looks like it will move. But an apt comparison.

Also of note, 12z gfs still up the bay and it still deepens this today To 960s. Danny was notable in that it maintained for a long time spinning over dauphin island and Mobile...so there is president for weaker storms maintaining or even deepening near landfall here... Something that bears watching despite signs of shear and overall struggle.

[DestinHurricane]

Big tower firing off SE of center.

[TTARider]

am i the only one seeing a westward wobble on radar?

[Frank P]

Here is a photo of the Biloxi beach att, normally you would see about 300 feet of white sand.. the surge has covered most of the sand and the leading edge of the debris line is getting close to the sea wall. The sea wall in front of the house is about 10 feet asl
https://imgur.com/a/XAf6pVV

[FixySLN]

am i the only one seeing a westward wobble on radar?

Think it's supposed to slowly move WNW for a few more hours. You'll see plenty of wobbles in plenty of directions. Sally isn't sure of herself.

[Frank P]

Link to monitor water levels on the gulf coast

https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/water ... id=8747437

[eastcoastFL]

am i the only one seeing a westward wobble on radar?

Looks stuck to me, like it’s not going anywhere.

[DestinHurricane]

Hot towers firing, convection wrapping around. Outflow is expanding in all quads except SW. I don't think it's weakening but slowly strengthening.

[eastcoastFL]

Forecasting major flooding for fish river. Beware if you live nearby

[StPeteMike]

am i the only one seeing a westward wobble on radar?

Looks stuck to me, like it’s not going anywhere.

Pretty much trapped and waiting for an opening to occur.

[us89]

Latest WPC forecasts are calling for a 5-day total of over 7 inches of rain in Atlanta.

Almost certainly we get a flash flood watch this afternoon.

[CyclonicFury]

Sally has been a strange storm. The minimum pressure is about 5 mb lower than yesterday when recon found SFMR winds supportive of Category 2 intensity, now recon is struggling to find any winds of even 65 kt. Also, the Category 2 winds yesterday were in the NW quadrant rather than the NE quadrant, and they appeared to be rather short-lived (though the oil rig appeared to support the SFMR data).

[Aric Dunn]

Update:

We are in Gulf Shores in a parking garage of a Condo on the beach.

here is the facebook page that we will be doing the streaming through.

https://www.facebook.com/Hurricane-Sall ... 0354981427

[Stormcenter]

Maybe it’s just my tired old eyes but why
does Sally look to be located further south
on radar? Also she does seem to be drifting
westward. Of course that is not part of the
track script.

[wxman57]

Hot towers firing, convection wrapping around. Outflow is expanding in all quads except SW. I don't think it's weakening but slowly strengthening.

Those oil platform anemometers are generally placed atop the oil derrick. Rarely are they calibrated. They do not represent winds 10 meters above the surface. I think recon is confirming that Sally is a strong tropical storm, though the NHC will never downgrade it since it is nearing the coast. I suppose there is a chance that it may have a very tiny area of hurricane-force winds somewhere, but 85 mph is a big stretch. With wind shear increasing steadily, I don't expect any strengthening as it moves slowly northward toward the coast over the next 18 hrs.

[Javlin]

Maybe it’s just my tired old eyes but why
does Sally look to be located further south
on radar? Also she does seem to be drifting
westward. Of course that is not part of the
track script.

I do not know about S but W it looks like I am using the boot of LA as a reference point it's moving so slow

[NDG]

Buoy south of Orange Beach AL is reporting 83.5 F SSTs, plenty of warm coastal waters before Sally moves inland tomorrow for her to strengthen some as some models show.

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page. ... tion=42012

[Nuno]

At the very least, Sally should cool the temps in this part of the gulf for a while due to her crawling forward speed. I still think upwelling is playing a role in regards to her intensity

[p1nheadlarry]

FYI, there are no bridge closures in Walton County:

https://twitter.com/WaltonCountyEM/status/1305872689438109698?s=20