Could a wrong way Lenny type storm form this season?

[HuracanMaster]

There's an area of interest in the central caribbean with 20% formation chances in the next 5 days. In terms of climatology is a Lenny(1999) type storm viable this late in the season?

[Blown Away]

My guess, this is the right year for that. I suspect we get November storm in the Caribbean and decent shot it will go ENE.

[Ryxn]

I think it could. Crazy as it sounds, I think 2020 will produce one more major....the Sally and Zeta could possibly get an upgrade pushing 2020's major hurricane count to a record 8. The hurricane count would be 14 after this if Gamma is upgraded. It's possible there could be 2 additional hurricanes in the mid-Atlantic during mid-November to the end of December pushing the hurricane cound to a record 16.

Thinking the season total will be 34/16/8 with 4 named storms forming in November (including 3 hurricanes, 2 of them being majors) and 2 in December (including 1 hurricane). I believe TD10 as well will be upgraded to TS status.

Bold claim I know but hey, it's 2020...

[NorthieStangl]

Well Eta definitely has the odd track thing going on this year. It isn't exactly like wrong-way Lenny, but that type of track shouldn't be happening in the Florida Straits nor the Gulf in the month of November.

[SconnieCane]

Well Eta definitely has the odd track thing going on this year. It isn't exactly like wrong-way Lenny, but that type of track shouldn't be happening in the Florida Straits nor the Gulf in the month of November.

Some of those "crazy" GFS/GFS-P runs pre-formation perhaps weren't so far off the mark after all. Although any one of them was highly unlikely to be accurate, the weird stalls/zig-zags and possible loops were definitely on the table.