ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
-
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 181
- Age: 77
- Joined: Sun Jul 17, 2011 9:49 pm
- Location: mazatlan,sinaloa, mexico, fixing patricia's mess.
- Contact:
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
having been thru patricia in barra de navidad, i wish this beast on no one... intensifying cat 5 canes are something amazing.. the eye lasted 10 min only and was just enough time to empty my bilges before more excitement with even stronger winds--the 215 mph winds were after eye passed.,,most of the the destruction was after eye passed. tracking a storm until it hits ye is a weird feeling. especially knowing the strength of the issue. there was not a roof left on more than half the homes in colimilla and the church disappeared as did the large heavy antique bell it sported. vanished without a trace.
this is horrible for mosquito coast. i hope all lives make it through ok. it is a good thing the eye is tiny. the gawdawful damages will not be as bad as if it were a larger area storm. that was the blessing of patricia as well.
this is horrible for mosquito coast. i hope all lives make it through ok. it is a good thing the eye is tiny. the gawdawful damages will not be as bad as if it were a larger area storm. that was the blessing of patricia as well.
8 likes
- Cataegis96
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 54
- Age: 29
- Joined: Mon Jul 10, 2017 3:46 pm
- Contact:
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
8.4 Raw T. Regardless of actual intensity, still a wild achievement there.
7 likes
Lead Meteorologist Mars, Inc
WE ARE! The Pennsylvania State University 2018
UA U KNOW! University at Albany, SUNY 2020
WE ARE! The Pennsylvania State University 2018
UA U KNOW! University at Albany, SUNY 2020
-
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34003
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
No matter what, this is a nightmare scenario for Central America. It doesn't change the threat level there much, especially considering the rainfall threat. Whether winds were 100 mph or 200 mph, they would only affect a small area - and the rain and mudslide threat is extremely high.
6 likes
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion


4 likes
Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 4966
- Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Next pass should find a 5 anyway. Expect an update statement soon.
1 likes
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Cataegis96 wrote:8.4 Raw T. Regardless of actual intensity, still a wild achievement there.
Going up to 8.5 next time lol
0 likes
Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Official forecast has a Cat 5 at landfall.
1 likes
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
- Hypercane_Kyle
- Category 5
- Posts: 3362
- Joined: Sat Mar 07, 2015 7:58 pm
- Location: Cape Canaveral, FL
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
130 knots, but predicted to peak at Cat 5.
0 likes
My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.
- ElectricStorm
- Category 5
- Posts: 5068
- Age: 24
- Joined: Tue Aug 13, 2019 11:23 pm
- Location: Skiatook, OK / Norman, OK
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Good call by NHC imo... Nothing supports a 5 yet but it almost certainly will be one very soon
1 likes
B.S Meteorology, University of Oklahoma '25
Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
- SFLcane
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 10163
- Age: 47
- Joined: Sat Jun 05, 2010 1:44 pm
- Location: Lake Worth Florida
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 17.9N 85.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
3 likes
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Hypercane_Kyle wrote:130 knots, but predicted to peak at Cat 5.
When's the last time Cat 5 was in the official forecast for a 4?
4 likes
The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 4966
- Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Why does this thing look like a damn Super Typhoon?
2 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- eastcoastFL
- Category 5
- Posts: 3902
- Age: 43
- Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
- Location: Palm City, FL
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

5 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- galaxy401
- Category 5
- Posts: 2420
- Age: 30
- Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:04 pm
- Location: Casa Grande, Arizona
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
NHC comments that an EWRC is probably starting in their Discussion from the new Advisory.
0 likes
Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
- EquusStorm
- Category 5
- Posts: 1649
- Age: 34
- Joined: Thu Nov 07, 2013 1:04 pm
- Location: Jasper, AL
- Contact:
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Eye temperature continues to skyrocket. Not done yet at all.
4 likes
Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
-
- Admin
- Posts: 20017
- Age: 62
- Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
- Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

2 likes
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests