#11799 Postby Category5Kaiju » Sun Mar 07, 2021 4:36 pm
There also seems to be this widespread sentiment that El Ninos automatically mean good news for the Atlantic; this is a dangerous attitude to have. If 1969 (Camille), 1979 (David and Frederick), 1992 (Andrew), 2002 (Lili and Isidore), 2004 (Charley, Frances, Ivan, and Jeanne), 2015 (Joaquin), 2018 (Florence and Michael), and 2019 (Dorian), all years that occurred near or during an El Nino episode, served as any indication, it is that even during El Nino years, the Atlantic can very well churn up one or more devastating and powerful hurricanes. If 2021 or (more likely) 2022 or 2023 features a developing El Nino, Atlantic residents should still not become complacent. Who knows if that one struggling tropical wave manages to be "lucky," encounter a region of very favorable conditions, and become a powerful hurricane? Sure El Nino years tend to not feature as many or severe storms as neutral or La Nina years, but the fact that El Nino years STILL have the potential to allow for AT LEAST ONE devastating Atlantic storm (it only takes one?) is all that needs to be said.
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Unless explicitly stated, all information covered in my posts is based on my opinions and observations. Please refer to a professional meteorologist or an accredited weather research agency otherwise, especially if serious decisions must be made in the event of a potentially life-threatening tropical storm or hurricane.