Texas Winter 2020-2021

[txtwister78]

Lock that in

[Ntxw]

Lock that in

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/icon-all/tx/total_snow_10to1/1612915200/1613563200-J6wIGiM4VQM.png

Add about 3-5 more inches to those totals considering much higher ratios involved.

[BigD938]

Are we looking like a surprise ice event tomorrow in Dallas then again Thursday, then snow Saturday and Monday. I’m trying keep up this is moving so fast now lol

[Texas Snow]

I missed this update a couple hours ago but found it interesting in regards to their thoughts on DFW temps and overnight forecast.

National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
705 PM CST Tue Feb 9 2021

...New Short Term, Aviation...

.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
/Through Tomorrow/

GOES-16 satellite imagery reveals most of North and Central Texas
remains beneath a blanket of low clouds this evening, with the
exception being across our far southwestern counties where some
clearing is occurring. This should be short lived, with overcast
skies expected regionwide overnight. Current temperatures across
the region range from the upper 20s along the Red River to upper
40s across Central Texas, with the freezing line roughly along a
Comanche to Fort Worth to Greenville line. The 00Z FWD upper air
sounding reveals very dry air above roughly 850 mb and a saturated
layer from 850 mb to just above the surface, which high res
guidance has been able to capture fairly well this afternoon.

We still expect light precipitation to initially develop across
portions of North and Central Texas beginning around or after 10
PM this evening, becoming more widespread closer to daybreak and
lingering through most of Wednesday. Temperatures will play a key
role in the type of precipitation that will reach the surface.
Light drizzle or rain is expected across most of Central Texas as
surface temperatures remain above freezing. It will be a different
story for most of North Texas, especially along the Red River
where temperatures are currently below freezing. Freezing drizzle
and light freezing rain will be possible along and north of a
Comanche to DFW to Paris line tonight through mid morning
Wednesday, with the highest chances for freezing precipitation
the further north you are located. Any accumulations/impacts
should be confined to areas mostly along the Red River, amounting
to less than one tenth of an inch. However, if temperatures were
to drop into the upper 20s further south, it is possible to see
the transition line of rain/drizzle and freezing rain/drizzle
shift further south. We`ll keep an eye on temperature trends and
adjust the Winter Weather Advisory if needed. For the morning
commute, light icing along elevated bridges and roadways will
lead to hazardous travel.

A cold and cloudy day is expected on Wednesday with light
precipitation continuing for most of the day. For Wednesday`s
high temperature, I did rely heavily on the NAM as it does handle
these shallow airmasses very well. Highs will struggle to reach 32
degrees along the Red River and remain in the mid to upper 30s
elsewhere. The colder temperatures along and north of the
Metroplex may result in the Winter Weather Advisory extending
beyond noon tomorrow. We`ll continue to monitor and make any
adjustments as needed.

Garcia

[Ntxw]

Are we looking like a surprise ice event tomorrow in Dallas then again Thursday, then snow Saturday and Monday. I’m trying keep up this is moving so fast now lol

1. Could be, 2. Looking like it might, 3. Maybe, 4. Likely the big one.

[wxman22]

The 0Z GFS has remained persistent on a major winter storm on Presidents Day.

[Texas Snow]

OMG those snow totals over most of the state, at 10:1 ratios no less.

Let’s not ask silly questions like can it really be snowing and 4 degrees at 6pm in Dallas...just go to bed and dream big my friends.

[ronyan]

GFS @ 156 hr = 8F in my area wtf

[WinterMax]

GFS @ 156 hr = 8F in my area wtf

Can any pro mets let us know when we can take these models seriously? I mean 6 degrees? Please God no !!

[Brent]

The gfs is snowing at 6 degrees in the middle of the day!!!!

Is this real life

[EnnisTx]

OMG those snow totals over most of the state, at 10:1 ratios no less.

Let’s not ask questions, just go to bed and dream big my friends.

Probably substantially more than that. Anyone for 20:1

[BigD938]

Are we looking like a surprise ice event tomorrow in Dallas then again Thursday, then snow Saturday and Monday. I’m trying keep up this is moving so fast now lol

1. Could be, 2. Looking like it might, 3. Maybe, 4. Likely the big one.

Right on, that’s pretty much what I was putting together

[Texas Snow]

OMG those snow totals over most of the state, at 10:1 ratios no less.

Let’s not ask silly questions like can it really be snowing and 4 degrees at 6pm in Dallas...just go to bed and dream big my friends.

Heck with that maybe even @wxman57 can come back from Australia. He’s always said he only hates the cold without the snow. Looking at soundings this would at least get it white for him with sleet. Just no cycling in it with that shoulder.

[captainbarbossa19]

GFS @ 156 hr = 8F in my area wtf

It's trying to make late-1800s weather for our area. If it's going to be that cold, we need an 1895 storm.

[EnnisTx]

It looks like this will be one of the most substantial weeks of winter weather we've seen in decades across Texas. Hard to believe after the winters we've had for the past few years.

Looking forward to the snow, but not the ice.

[Brent]

It looks like this will be one of the most substantial week of winter weather we've seen in decades across Texas. Hard to believe after the winters we've had for the past few years.

Looking forward to the snow, but not the ice.

its like were making up for 5 years of heartbreak if some of these models pan out

[rwfromkansas]

Usually KS snow was at 10-1 ratios or so, but we had a few at up to 20-1, and those were amazing events. Virtually zero lag time to accumulation. The first flake sticks. Also, it’s cold enough long enough that it sticks to roads quickly.

I have dropped to 31 finally again.

[Rgv20]

This map puzzles me...0zGFS has the RGV low 60s to upper 50s Monday morning after the Arctic front passes Sunday

[TropicalTundra]

Usually KS snow was at 10-1 ratios or so, but we had a few at up to 20-1, and those were amazing events. Virtually zero lag time to accumulation. The first flake sticks. Also, it’s cold enough long enough that it sticks to roads quickly.

I have dropped to 31 finally again.

42 here. It has dropped only 3 degrees the past 2 hours. Very boring so far.

[EnnisTx]

It looks like this will be one of the most substantial week of winter weather we've seen in decades across Texas. Hard to believe after the winters we've had for the past few years.

Looking forward to the snow, but not the ice.

its like were making up for 5 years of heartbreak if some of these models pan out

This would definitely make up for many years of frustration for all. Just hoping some of the temps and ice remain manageable.