Texas Winter 2020-2021

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Ralph's Weather
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#4861 Postby Ralph's Weather » Thu Feb 11, 2021 4:31 pm

WWA for SHV extended again this time until tomorrow morning. It was originally for just 12pm today.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#4862 Postby SoupBone » Thu Feb 11, 2021 4:35 pm

Where the heck is Wxman for the Houston area forecast? He's been MIA since yesterday. Did he get sunburned too bad down under and his fingers can't move to type? :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#4863 Postby cstrunk » Thu Feb 11, 2021 4:35 pm

29F in Tyler and my buddy said "it's sleeting big-time."

33F in Longview, with very light rain falling.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#4864 Postby Ralph's Weather » Thu Feb 11, 2021 4:38 pm

cstrunk wrote:29F in Tyler and my buddy said "it's sleeting big-time."

33F in Longview, with very light rain falling.

Just enough surface dry air for the precip to evaporate here in Hideaway just on the N side of I-20. Heavier rates are just a couple miles south of here.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#4865 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Feb 11, 2021 4:39 pm

SoupBone wrote:Where the heck is Wxman for the Houston area forecast? He's been MIA since yesterday. Did he get sunburned too bad down under and his fingers can't move to type? :lol:

I'm betting he is having a rare good time down there! :lol:

It's rare to have 90s in Winter here (More common in Australia in their Summer)

Wxman57 really showed himself on this day in 2017 . . .
NWS-Norman wrote:The first part of February 2017 was quite warm across Oklahoma and
adjacent parts of Texas. On this date in 2017, widespread
temperatures in the 70s and 80s were reported, with some 90s across
southwest Oklahoma and western north Texas. The Oklahoma Mesonet
observation site near Mangum, in southwest Oklahoma north of Altus,
recorded a high temperature of 99 degrees. This tied for the highest
wintertime temperature ever recorded in Oklahoma.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#4866 Postby bevolon » Thu Feb 11, 2021 4:47 pm

It seems like every time I come back and check the thread we are 5 pages farther into it and I can't catch up!
Just wondering if DFW area still looking at snow on Sunday and Monday?
The models jumping around from 10" to 3.8" is just driving me nuts! LOL. When is the best time to really have a good idea of what we will be truly in store for here? Just asking so I can get some work done here at the office! LOL
thanks again to all of you! This is for sure one of the most fun times of the year for me!
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#4867 Postby cctxhurricanewatcher » Thu Feb 11, 2021 4:48 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
SoupBone wrote:Where the heck is Wxman for the Houston area forecast? He's been MIA since yesterday. Did he get sunburned too bad down under and his fingers can't move to type? :lol:

I'm betting he is having a rare good time down there! :lol:

It's rare to have 90s in Winter here (More common in Australia in their Summer)

Wxman57 really showed himself on this day in 2017 . . .
NWS-Norman wrote:The first part of February 2017 was quite warm across Oklahoma and
adjacent parts of Texas. On this date in 2017, widespread
temperatures in the 70s and 80s were reported, with some 90s across
southwest Oklahoma and western north Texas. The Oklahoma Mesonet
observation site near Mangum, in southwest Oklahoma north of Altus,
recorded a high temperature of 99 degrees. This tied for the highest
wintertime temperature ever recorded in Oklahoma.


Don't poke the bear... He's cooking up another Summer 2011 down there to be released in May 2021.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#4868 Postby Ralph's Weather » Thu Feb 11, 2021 4:50 pm

FW is gonna likely have to extend their WAA into tonight and maybe on into tomorrow.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#4869 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Feb 11, 2021 4:52 pm

cctxhurricanewatcher wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:
SoupBone wrote:Where the heck is Wxman for the Houston area forecast? He's been MIA since yesterday. Did he get sunburned too bad down under and his fingers can't move to type? :lol:

I'm betting he is having a rare good time down there! :lol:

It's rare to have 90s in Winter here (More common in Australia in their Summer)

Wxman57 really showed himself on this day in 2017 . . .
NWS-Norman wrote:The first part of February 2017 was quite warm across Oklahoma and
adjacent parts of Texas. On this date in 2017, widespread
temperatures in the 70s and 80s were reported, with some 90s across
southwest Oklahoma and western north Texas. The Oklahoma Mesonet
observation site near Mangum, in southwest Oklahoma north of Altus,
recorded a high temperature of 99 degrees. This tied for the highest
wintertime temperature ever recorded in Oklahoma.


Don't poke the bear... He's cooking up another Summer 2011 down there to be released in May 2021.

Keep in mind that the 2011 Summer was a La Nina & this year's looks to be more Neutral . . .
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#4870 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Feb 11, 2021 4:57 pm

NWS-Norman wrote:...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 8
inches possible.


* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, southeast, southern
and southwest Oklahoma and northern Texas.

* WHEN...From late Saturday night through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Strong
winds may lead to blowing and drifting snow and reduced
visibilities. The cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero
could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30
minutes.
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#4871 Postby foulbeast » Thu Feb 11, 2021 4:58 pm

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
351 PM CST Thu Feb 11 2021

...MAJOR WINTER STORM EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY...

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>134-141-120600-
/O.NEW.KFWD.WS.A.0002.210214T0600Z-210216T0000Z/
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Comanche-
Including the cities of Bowie, Nocona, Gainesville, Sherman,
Denison, Bonham, Paris, Graham, Olney, Jacksboro, Decatur,
Bridgeport, Carrollton, Denton, Lewisville, Flower Mound, Plano,
McKinney, Allen, Frisco, Greenville, Commerce, Cooper,
Sulphur Springs, Breckenridge, Mineral Wells, Weatherford, Briar,
Fort Worth, Arlington, Dallas, Rockwall, Heath, Terrell, Kaufman,
Forney, Canton, Grand Saline, Wills Point, Van, Edgewood, Emory,
East Tawakoni, Point, Cisco, Eastland, Ranger, Gorman,
Stephenville, Dublin, Granbury, Oak Trail Shores, Glen Rose,
Cleburne, Burleson, Waxahachie, Ennis, Midlothian, Comanche,
and De Leon
351 PM CST Thu Feb 11 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow possible. Total snow
accumulations of 3 to 7 inches possible. Bitterly cold
temperatures expected. Near blizzard conditions possible.

* WHERE...Portions of north central and northeast Texas.

* WHEN...From late Saturday night through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Travel will become nearly impossible and could become
life threatening. The cold wind chills as low as 15 below zero
could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precautions should be taken now to secure
pipes and anything susceptible to the extreme cold. Have plenty
of food and ways to stay warm in case of power outages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#4872 Postby funster » Thu Feb 11, 2021 5:13 pm

They said blizzard :uarrow: :cold: 8-)
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#4873 Postby ztshanklin » Thu Feb 11, 2021 5:13 pm

foulbeast wrote:
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
351 PM CST Thu Feb 11 2021

...MAJOR WINTER STORM EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY...

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>134-141-120600-
/O.NEW.KFWD.WS.A.0002.210214T0600Z-210216T0000Z/
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Comanche-
Including the cities of Bowie, Nocona, Gainesville, Sherman,
Denison, Bonham, Paris, Graham, Olney, Jacksboro, Decatur,
Bridgeport, Carrollton, Denton, Lewisville, Flower Mound, Plano,
McKinney, Allen, Frisco, Greenville, Commerce, Cooper,
Sulphur Springs, Breckenridge, Mineral Wells, Weatherford, Briar,
Fort Worth, Arlington, Dallas, Rockwall, Heath, Terrell, Kaufman,
Forney, Canton, Grand Saline, Wills Point, Van, Edgewood, Emory,
East Tawakoni, Point, Cisco, Eastland, Ranger, Gorman,
Stephenville, Dublin, Granbury, Oak Trail Shores, Glen Rose,
Cleburne, Burleson, Waxahachie, Ennis, Midlothian, Comanche,
and De Leon
351 PM CST Thu Feb 11 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow possible. Total snow
accumulations of 3 to 7 inches possible. Bitterly cold
temperatures expected. Near blizzard conditions possible.

* WHERE...Portions of north central and northeast Texas.

* WHEN...From late Saturday night through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Travel will become nearly impossible and could become
life threatening. The cold wind chills as low as 15 below zero
could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precautions should be taken now to secure
pipes and anything susceptible to the extreme cold. Have plenty
of food and ways to stay warm in case of power outages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.



Sorry Joshua and Rio Vista, you get left out
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#4874 Postby cheezyWXguy » Thu Feb 11, 2021 5:18 pm

The 1-2 punch on the 18z gfs oughta get people talking...
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#4875 Postby Brent » Thu Feb 11, 2021 5:20 pm

I can't believe they mentioned the B word :froze: :double:
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#4876 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Feb 11, 2021 5:23 pm

KWTV-News 9 at 4:20 PM

He said that it's going to be close to "Blizzard Conditions"

Storm #1: Trace

Storm #2: 12-16 inches

And Storm #3 is too far out for now . . .

Image
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#4877 Postby cstrunk » Thu Feb 11, 2021 5:26 pm

32F in Longview and light rain is falling. Just stepped outside - nothing is freezing yet.

Gilmer 29F
Tyler 30F
Mount Pleasant 32F
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#4878 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Feb 11, 2021 5:27 pm

18z GFS lines up with the Euro and EPS

Image
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#4879 Postby JDawg512 » Thu Feb 11, 2021 5:28 pm

Another pic. It's quite beautiful really.


Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#4880 Postby JDawg512 » Thu Feb 11, 2021 5:33 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
cctxhurricanewatcher wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:I'm betting he is having a rare good time down there! :lol:

It's rare to have 90s in Winter here (More common in Australia in their Summer)

Wxman57 really showed himself on this day in 2017 . . .


Don't poke the bear... He's cooking up another Summer 2011 down there to be released in May 2021.

Keep in mind that the 2011 Summer was a La Nina & this year's looks to be more Neutral . . .


I hope but several models are showing temps in the Central Pacific dropping past April and let's not forget that these winter systems are killing a lot of flora as well as drying it out. Even with spring rains, this summer could be very bad for fires. I think it will be a very hot summer as well.
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