ATL: ELSA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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ATL: ELSA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
Last edited by SFLcane on Tue Jun 29, 2021 8:02 am, edited 1 time in total.
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- cheezyWXguy
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Re: Invest 97L
cheezyWXguy wrote:What happened to the other thread?
It’s was incorrect had a pressure of 1000mb lol.
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
Was not official yet.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
We locked the other thread until it showed up officially in best track.
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Michael
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
For starting new invest threads we want to see sources, a link for example. We have to be able to confirm an invest is active before allowing a thread to start.
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M a r k
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
SFLCane, I added the link to ATCF at your first post to have the source to the best track.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
cycloneye wrote:SFLCane, I added the link to ATCF at your first post to have the source to the best track.
Yep, was about to add it. Thanks!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
Who determines what systems are invests, and where do you find best track data for these systems?
Edit: Never mind
Edit: Never mind
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
AlphaToOmega wrote:Who determines what systems are invests, and where do you find best track data for these systems?
A link was added to the first post. Basically refreshing the FTP site looking for an invest to pop up. Very high tech.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
The second MDR invest this June, and this one looks way more likely to develop. Just wait until two months from now...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
Kazmit wrote:The second MDR invest this June, and this one looks way more likely to develop. Just wait until two months from now...
*Third
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
This is of no surprise to anyone I would think..
New ASCAT

New ASCAT

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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
Aric Dunn wrote:This is of no surprise to anyone I would think..
New ASCAT
https://i.ibb.co/JQy8pjm/Capture.png
If it doesn't re-fire convection the GFS isn't gonna be right at least not short-term.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
Aric Dunn wrote:This is of no surprise to anyone I would think..
New ASCAT
https://i.ibb.co/JQy8pjm/Capture.png
A pretty good starting point. It needs to continuously fire convection so that rather broad and elliptical circulation can tighten up. If it does, maybe we might have a TC within 48 hours.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
97L will be benefiting from a pretty big CCKW spike.
Dennis in 2005 formed in similar circumstances to 97L, so early-July Caribbean crusaders aren't unprecedented with CCKW wave like this. Bears close watching.
Dennis in 2005 formed in similar circumstances to 97L, so early-July Caribbean crusaders aren't unprecedented with CCKW wave like this. Bears close watching.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
97L's much further southerly track should help it to stay away from the SAL to its north and have much better chances for development than 95L.


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