ENSO Updates (2007 thru 2023)
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- cycloneye
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Re: ENSO Updates
Niño 3.4 sinking like the Titanic.
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- weeniepatrol
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- weeniepatrol
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Re: ENSO Updates
Walker circulation remains enhanced.
Big upwelling Kelvin wave showing up now. SOI has increased dramatically in recent weeks
Big upwelling Kelvin wave showing up now. SOI has increased dramatically in recent weeks
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- weeniepatrol
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Re: ENSO Updates
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- weeniepatrol
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- Kingarabian
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Re: ENSO Updates
weeniepatrol wrote:Crazy how fast things are swinging towards Nina!!!
https://i.imgur.com/glRScqG.png
Certainly, but it takes sometime for the surface temperatures to adjust.
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- Kingarabian
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Re: ENSO Updates
SOI is already at moderate La Nina levels. The SOI is not fancy but its a very key indicator. Its rise preceded this quick pile up of cool anomalies at the subsurface.
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- weeniepatrol
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- weeniepatrol
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- Category5Kaiju
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Re: ENSO Updates
Ah, I miss the good old early days of 2021 when people thought that a 2006-like repeat with ENSO was somewhat likely to occur...
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- Kingarabian
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Re: ENSO Updates
Category5Kaiju wrote:Ah, I miss the good old early days of 2021 when people thought that a 2006-like repeat with ENSO was somewhat likely to occur...
It's really hard to predict ENSO. All options are on the table at the beginning of the year.
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- Yellow Evan
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- cycloneye
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Re: ENSO Updates
Kingarabian wrote:Category5Kaiju wrote:Ah, I miss the good old early days of 2021 when people thought that a 2006-like repeat with ENSO was somewhat likely to occur...
It's really hard to predict ENSO. All options are on the table at the beginning of the year.
And the Spring Barrier period does not help to have a good picture but we are well passed that and things look more clear.
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- weeniepatrol
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Re: ENSO Updates
Yellow Evan wrote:weeniepatrol wrote:June PDO was -1.18. Coolest value since July 2013.
Link?
Found here: https://oceanview.pfeg.noaa.gov/erddap/tabledap/cciea_OC_PDO.htmlTable?time,PDO
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- Yellow Evan
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Re: ENSO Updates
weeniepatrol wrote:Yellow Evan wrote:weeniepatrol wrote:June PDO was -1.18. Coolest value since July 2013.
Link?
Found here: https://oceanview.pfeg.noaa.gov/erddap/tabledap/cciea_OC_PDO.htmlTable?time,PDO
https://www.data.jma.go.jp/gmd/kaiyou/d ... do/pdo.txt is what I had been using which gives slightly different data.
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- cycloneye
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Re: ENSO Updates
Cold waters continue to expand at the subsurface of the Pacific.
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- Category5Kaiju
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Re: ENSO Updates
CFSV2 predicting a fairly solid weak La Nina by the end of this year
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Unless explicitly stated, all information covered in my posts is based on my opinions and observations. Please refer to a professional meteorologist or an accredited weather research agency otherwise, especially if serious decisions must be made in the event of a potentially life-threatening tropical storm or hurricane.
- cycloneye
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Re: ENSO Updates
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
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- Kingarabian
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Re: ENSO Updates
AlphaToOmega wrote:The daily SOI contribution is now 1.05, the lowest value since 2021-07-05.
Yeah the pressures are gonna be lower in Tahiti since the MJO is moving across the Pacific.
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