ATL: FRED - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Evil Jeremy]

saved loop
https://i.imgur.com/cYFHzlj.gif

Is it me or is that weak little LLC heading SW?

It does look to me like it's being slightly dragged back closer to the MLC.

[AtlanticWind]

Could be some reorganization going on atm.

[alienstorm]

West Wind

http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/recon ... ing=cesium

[AutoPenalti]

Dry air really did a number on it. This won’t survive past the Islands.

[NDG]

Dry air really did a number on it. This won’t survive past the Islands.

Good to know, can't wait to tell everyone in FL the all clear from you

[stormhunter7]

Looks like recon bugging out and heading home.... Need that fuel! There on the west side of PR now. Got two passes on system. Fun flight at 5kft!

[AutoPenalti]

Dry air really did a number on it. This won’t survive past the Islands.

Good to know, can't wait to tell everyone in FL the all clear from you

Wxman mentality kicking in right thanks to that MLC.

[aspen]

Dry air really did a number on it. This won’t survive past the Islands.

Too early to say for certain. Friction with the islands could help the northern center tighten up and drag the whole storm north of DR like multiple models have forecast.

[AxaltaRacing24]

Dry air really did a number on it. This won’t survive past the Islands.

Good to know, can't wait to tell everyone in FL the all clear from you

I mean, really lol. Can anybody name the last named storm the Islands killed entirely?

[toad strangler]

Dry air really did a number on it. This won’t survive past the Islands.

Good to know, can't wait to tell everyone in FL the all clear from you

I mean, really lol. Can anybody name the last named storm the Islands killed entirely?

Erika 2015 off the top of my head. Very similar track to this one.

[NDG]

Dropsonde, 1009mb.

[AutoPenalti]

Dry air really did a number on it. This won’t survive past the Islands.

Good to know, can't wait to tell everyone in FL the all clear from you

I mean, really lol. Can anybody name the last named storm the Islands killed entirely?

Ericka

[tropicwatch]

Dry air really did a number on it. This won’t survive past the Islands.

Good to know, can't wait to tell everyone in FL the all clear from you

[NDG]

Good to know, can't wait to tell everyone in FL the all clear from you

I mean, really lol. Can anybody name the last named storm the Islands killed entirely?

Erika 2015 off the top of my head. Very similar track to this one.

http://i.ibb.co/DpnVvk3/Tropical-Storm-Erika-2015-forecast-advisory-14.gif

That thing fell apart before it even got to Hispaniola, no comparison.

[NotSparta]

Looking at the big picture, look how active the EPAC is thankfully the EPAC is in overdrive which is still keeping the Atlantic and PTC 6 in check:

https://i.postimg.cc/502XYS8c/goes16-vis-swir-atlpac-wide.gif

Can't see much shear with PTC 6 so I would guess that the EPAC activity is mostly irrelevant for it right now. Dry air which is the main issue right now has little to do with that basin

[tolakram]

COD shortwave

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso1-07-96-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

[AxaltaRacing24]

Good to know, can't wait to tell everyone in FL the all clear from you

I mean, really lol. Can anybody name the last named storm the Islands killed entirely?

Erika 2015 off the top of my head. Very similar track to this one.

http://i.ibb.co/DpnVvk3/Tropical-Storm-Erika-2015-forecast-advisory-14.gif

Oh I know, it was sort of a rhetorical question. Plus that was in 2015, with a super nino with record wind shear in this part of the basin. Erika was basically dead before it got there.

[BobHarlem]

Half expecting some sort of overnight voodoo and the center reforms NE of Hispaniola. Things tend to get weird in this setup approaching Hispaniola (Based on past systems that were this weak, isaias comes to mind last year) That and models that get it going don't do much with it until Friday.

[NDG]

Good to know, can't wait to tell everyone in FL the all clear from you

I mean, really lol. Can anybody name the last named storm the Islands killed entirely?

Ericka

Ericka fell apart before reaching Hispaniola, nice try.

[ElectricStorm]

Still not seeing any west winds in the most recent recon pass so it looks like it's not quite there yet. Maybe this new burst of convection will help it get there.