ATL: IDA - Remnants - Discussion

[Comradez]

yes, a definite northward turn is obvious to me on radar and even IR satellite. Would be good news for Baton Rouge, not good news for New Orleans.

[TallyTracker]

https://twitter.com/NWSNewOrleans/status/1432081580579868674?s=20

Calling that “land” is probably not correct. Surge-inundated coastal marsh is probably more correct in the current situation. Might explain why Ida is continuing it’s eyewall replacement cycle like nothing has happened.

[tolakram]

 https://twitter.com/53rdWRS/status/1432081399570444288




 https://twitter.com/53rdWRS/status/1432081679192141832

[Janie2006]

Houma may escape the eyewall should it continue northbound. Many of those small communities in SE Louisiana aren’t so fortunate.

[supercane4867]

Mesovortices still evident on radar. In fact they appear to be stronger than they were before landfall. This is nuts

[Portastorm]

Our friend LSU2001 is now in the eastern eyewall in Cut Off. Hoping he stays safe!

[Sanibel]

Surge gone, dry land Grand Isle hurricam...

Structures intact...

You have proof? With 134 mph wind gusts I really doubt it structures are intact.

https://www.severestudios.com/storm-cha ... ress2.html

[Janie2006]

Our friend LSU2001 is now in the eastern eyewall in Cut Off. Hoping he stays safe!

We want a welfare check ASAP. He’s been a long-serving member of S2K.

[tolakram]

[Clearcloudz]

Insane video from Grand Isle where a resident filmed from inside there home.

 https://twitter.com/tfortier_wx/status/1432076132904488967

[AlphaToOmega]

I believe Major Hurricane Ida could cost as much as $50G in terms of damage. This is making landfall at 130 knots, and it is going over New Orleans. Damage is likely to be less than that of Katrina because of lower storm surge, but it still likely measure in the tens of billions.

[JayTX]

Surge gone, dry land Grand Isle hurricam...

Structures intact...

You have proof? With 134 mph wind gusts I really doubt it structures are intact.

https://www.severestudios.com/storm-cha ... ress2.html

I was watching once the surge went down and couldn't believe those cabins in front were as intact as they were. Hopefully that's a good sign for the folks that stayed.

[NDG]

The eye is almost fully inland and it still looks like the land isn't even affecting it at all on visible. Wow hopefully everyone is ok after this

That's all marshland and swamps and without shear and dry air it can maintain its structure for a while until it goes further inland into drier ground.

[tiger_deF]

FL winds are dropping, but recon is still finding pressures in the 930 mb range!

[Blown Away]

The eye looks to be constricting, maybe winding down a little.

[aspen]

NHC puts this at 115 kt for the 5pm advisory. Unfortunately, I don’t think it’s been knocked down that far yet. Could be closer to 120 kt still based on its scarily intact satellite presentation. This thing is maintaining a nearly complete W ring while OVER LAND.

Edit: I didn’t realize recon was still in the storm. Crazy how it’s been maintaining a pressure of ~930mb for so long.

[NDG]

Surge gone, dry land Grand Isle hurricam...

Structures intact...

You have proof? With 134 mph wind gusts I really doubt it structures are intact.

https://www.severestudios.com/storm-cha ... ress2.html

Resolution is very poor and because two houses/buildings in the distance may appear still standing does not mean the rest of the Island has not structure damage.

[NDG]

moving north, for now
https://i.imgur.com/tq5ra8i.gif

Josh Morgerman will not be happy if the eye stays to the east of him in Houma.

[MBryant]

The last video looks more NNE. But radar doesn't confirm. I've noticed Radar, IR Satellite and Visible satellite often look a bit different when trying to detect movement.

[PTPatrick]

https://mobile.twitter.com/KellyHereid/ ... 8882053131

I don’t know the best way to post a Twitter thread but excellent analysis on NOlA evacuation considerations and criticism. if people of New Orleans don’t/can’t/won’t leave after Katrina there probably isn’t much that will cause them to. Something to be said for preparing for the reality of what can be accomplished and not your wishful thinking. Most people survive cat 5’s in islands they can’t evacuate. As it is, my friend works at a truck stop near AL state line and had New Orleans evacuees this morning literally waiting it out in their cars hoping to be able to use the bathrooms throughout the storm. There has to be a better way than mass evacuations of a city that even in terrible scenarios has plenty of dry ground.