2021 TCRs

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cycloneye
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Re: 2021 TCR's

#81 Postby cycloneye » Mon Nov 08, 2021 11:18 am

Short lived Tropical Storm Ignacio is up.
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Re: 2021 TCR's

#82 Postby MarioProtVI » Mon Nov 22, 2021 2:28 pm

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL062021_Fred.pdf
Fred is up. Down 2 mb to 991 and degenerated into a trough 18 hours earlier (00z 8/14 vs 18z). Interestingly enough it briefly regained TS intensity on the 13th before degenerating based on aircraft and ASCAT data during that period.
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Re: 2021 TCR's: TS Fred is up

#83 Postby ncforecaster89 » Mon Nov 22, 2021 3:48 pm

I feel that the observed 54 and 56 kt 1-minute sustained winds recorded at two separate sites support a 60 kt intensity for Fred’s landfall on the FL panhandle…if they were measured at the standard height of 10 m. It stands to reason that slightly higher winds existed than those that were measured by these anemometers.

Edit: Given it had very similar obs, it’s highly likely they set the landfall intensity at 55 kt for Elsa, as well…although I believe the same argument exists for 60 kt.
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Re: 2021 TCR's: Hurricane Pamela is up

#84 Postby cycloneye » Mon Nov 29, 2021 11:39 am

Hurricane Pamela is up.
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Re: 2021 TCR's: Hurricane Pamela is up

#85 Postby Teban54 » Mon Nov 29, 2021 1:15 pm

cycloneye wrote:Hurricane Pamela is up.

Peak intensity down to 65 kt from 70 kt.

Also, this is quite hilarious:
Image
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Re: 2021 TCR's

#86 Postby cycloneye » Thu Dec 02, 2021 12:26 pm

Tropical storms Kate, Victor and Kevin are up.
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Re: 2021 TCR's

#87 Postby NotoSans » Wed Dec 08, 2021 10:35 am

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Re: 2021 TCR's: TS Peter is up

#88 Postby cycloneye » Tue Dec 14, 2021 10:46 am

TS Peter is up. Peak intensity was 45kt.
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Re: 2021 TCR's:

#89 Postby galaxy401 » Thu Dec 16, 2021 3:15 pm

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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.

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Re: 2021 TCR's

#90 Postby galaxy401 » Wed Jan 05, 2022 4:58 pm

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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.

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Re: 2021 TCR's

#91 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jan 05, 2022 5:10 pm

Six to twelve more hours in the water, it would had been a hurricane.
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Re: 2021 TCR's

#92 Postby MHC Tracking » Thu Jan 06, 2022 4:32 pm

It's possible it was anyways, as noted in the section about the "10 knot uncertainty bound". sadly, there was no reconnaissance, so we'll never know for sure
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Re: 2021 TCR's

#93 Postby Sciencerocks » Fri Jan 07, 2022 12:07 pm

Claudette. Remains a tropical storm in the gulf and becomes one again off the east coast. peak of 40 knots.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL032 ... udette.pdf
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Re: 2021 TCR's: TS Claudette is up

#94 Postby galaxy401 » Fri Jan 07, 2022 10:08 pm

Worth noting that Claudette became a Tropical Storm almost 12 hours earlier then operationally.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.

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Re: 2021 TCR's

#95 Postby galaxy401 » Mon Jan 10, 2022 3:39 pm

Hurricane Olaf is out: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP152021_Olaf.pdf

Peak intensity at landfall raised to 90 kts.
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Re: 2021 TCR's

#96 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jan 10, 2022 5:46 pm

The king of hurricane chasing Josh Morgerman once again nails another eye and provides valuable data.

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Re: 2021 TCR's

#97 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jan 13, 2022 1:26 pm

Subtropical Storm Teresa report is up.
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Re: 2021 TCR's

#98 Postby Yellow Evan » Thu Jan 13, 2022 2:28 pm

cycloneye wrote:The king of hurricane chasing Josh Morgerman once again nails another eye and provides valuable data.

https://i.imgur.com/Lq21LYe.jpg


Whose data was completely ignored by the NHC lol given the wind and pressure estimate lol.
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Re: 2021 TCR's: Hurricanes Henri and Rick are up

#99 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jan 25, 2022 2:04 pm

Hurricanes Henri and Rick reports are up.
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Re: 2021 TCR's

#100 Postby NotoSans » Fri Jan 28, 2022 12:27 pm

NHC has updated Olaf’s landfall pressure to 975mb following iCyclone’s report that the minimum pressure was recorded in the eye.
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