Texas Winter 2021-2022
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
- TropicalTundra
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- Location: Temple, Texas
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Maybe a change of heart by January?
3 likes
Summer's for hibernation, Winter’s my vacation
Please don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
Please don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8932
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- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
The CFS (And CFSv2) has been showing powerful cold waves by around Christmas week into January for a while now.
1 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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- S2K Supporter
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
At least it's cold somewhere but that looks mostly east of us
1 likes
#neversummer
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
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- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Brent wrote::spam: snow within driving distance in a week?
https://i.ibb.co/vhgJYFv/gfs-asnow-scus-32.png
Go to Amarillo, TX, then follow the snow to Kansas City, & you will be happy for the December snow.
1 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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- S2K Supporter
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- Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:17 am
- Location: Ponder, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
The rant was deleted..... been a while since we had one of those around here.
Keep it friendly people and don't make it personal.
Keep it friendly people and don't make it personal.
3 likes
Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
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- Admin
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- Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
- Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Let me re-enforce this.
I don't care what the topic, anyone who attacks another user will find themselves deactivated and their post moved to moderation for review. It's been a long while since I've seen anything that bad. Don't tell other people here what they should or should not do. Give your opinions and move on. Jeepers.
I don't care what the topic, anyone who attacks another user will find themselves deactivated and their post moved to moderation for review. It's been a long while since I've seen anything that bad. Don't tell other people here what they should or should not do. Give your opinions and move on. Jeepers.
7 likes
M a r k
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
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Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Didn’t check the forum last night, what did I miss
1 likes
Undergraduate Meteorology Student at the University of Oklahoma and Operator at the Oklahoma Mesonet.
All opinions independent of employers and the university.
All opinions independent of employers and the university.
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- Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:17 am
- Location: Ponder, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
tolakram wrote:Let me re-enforce this.
I don't care what the topic, anyone who attacks another user will find themselves deactivated and their post moved to moderation for review. It's been a long while since I've seen anything that bad. Don't tell other people here what they should or should not do. Give your opinions and move on. Jeepers.
I happened to read and knew right away it was going to be removed. Reminds me of that time we had that blowup about a snow bullseye during December maybe 2008ish? Something with Wichita Falls I think.
0 likes
Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
- wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met
- Posts: 22512
- Age: 66
- Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
- Location: Houston, TX (southwest)
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Brent wrote::spam: snow within driving distance in a week?
https://i.ibb.co/vhgJYFv/gfs-asnow-scus-32.png
The 00Z ECMWF says it wants some of what the GFS was smoking. 12Z GFS says "never mind" about next week's snow in OK/north TX.
0 likes
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
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- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
The GEFS is STILL showing a signal for snowfall next week across the Southern Plains (Especially Kansas & Oklahoma)
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- snowballzzz
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 126
- Age: 31
- Joined: Fri Dec 15, 2017 8:50 am
- Location: Sunset, TX and Tulsa, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Things are not looking good for the long range, IMO... Does this start to December and what the models are showing resemble any past years that anyone can think of?
0 likes
- TropicalTundra
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 569
- Joined: Wed Oct 16, 2019 12:56 pm
- Location: Temple, Texas
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
HockeyTx82 wrote:The rant was deleted..... been a while since we had one of those around here.
Keep it friendly people and don't make it personal.
What happened?
1 likes
Summer's for hibernation, Winter’s my vacation
Please don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
Please don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
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- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2035
- Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:17 am
- Location: Ponder, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
TropicalTundra wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:The rant was deleted..... been a while since we had one of those around here.
Keep it friendly people and don't make it personal.
What happened?
There was a personal rant directed at someone who used some very rude and insulting language. I'll leave it at that and let an admin add more if they want.
0 likes
Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
- TheProfessor
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 3505
- Age: 27
- Joined: Tue Dec 03, 2013 10:56 am
- Location: Wichita, Kansas
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Next week's system will be interesting for the Central Plains. If it ends up being too shallow and progressive we will likely see nada with little to no precipitation. However, even just a little amplified like past GFS and current Canadian runs show could bring a quick dump to parts of Kansas. There is some GEFS support, 12z run went in the wrong direction a bit, but it's still there. Will be interesting to see how that trends, will be rooting for a more amplified system though.
2 likes
An alumnus of The Ohio State University.
Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
HockeyTx82 wrote:TropicalTundra wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:The rant was deleted..... been a while since we had one of those around here.
Keep it friendly people and don't make it personal.
What happened?
There was a personal rant directed at someone who used some very rude and insulting language. I'll leave it at that and let an admin add more if they want.
I think it was somehow in response to a post I made yesterday (I have notifications that someone quoted me at around 2 am but I'm unauthorized to view it) but I didn't think I was doing anything personal. I just had posted some scientific links to justify why someone said an event was caused the way it was.
0 likes
Undergraduate Meteorology Student at the University of Oklahoma and Operator at the Oklahoma Mesonet.
All opinions independent of employers and the university.
All opinions independent of employers and the university.
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8932
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Cerlin wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:TropicalTundra wrote:
What happened?
There was a personal rant directed at someone who used some very rude and insulting language. I'll leave it at that and let an admin add more if they want.
I think it was somehow in response to a post I made yesterday (I have notifications that someone quoted me at around 2 am but I'm unauthorized to view it) but I didn't think I was doing anything personal. I just had posted some scientific links to justify why someone said an event was caused the way it was.
I saw that rant too (I had insomnia problems last night), the user was likely in a very angry mood.
1 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- MGC
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5800
- Joined: Sun Mar 23, 2003 9:05 pm
- Location: Pass Christian MS, or what is left.
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
75 wonderful degrees here on the Mississippi Coast. Hope all of y'all over in Texas have a wonderful winter with lots of snow and cold.......MGC
3 likes
- TropicalTundra
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 569
- Joined: Wed Oct 16, 2019 12:56 pm
- Location: Temple, Texas
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
The CFS run has snow for most of the state between Christmas and New Year's Can't wait for the gfs to get in range...
5 likes
Summer's for hibernation, Winter’s my vacation
Please don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
Please don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
With the warmth right now it's hard to be optimistic.
So let's discuss how things can change. Has there been a season with a similar start to December and a proverbial flip? There has been.
The year was December 1990. In fact the cards were stacked the same, very cold Alaska and Northern Canada with a strong Aleutian ridge. It even featured very similar SST anomaly except it was weak +neutral. I'd still say it's a viable despite the different times.
Start of December 1990. Was mild and very close 500mb look.
Current period coming up.
After mid-month 1990 a very cold period ensued with the western trof that was able to spill out into the plains. DFW got as cold as 10F on December 23rd.
After 15th 1990 the very cold source spilled.
SSTa.
1990
Current
Can it happen again? Absolutely yes. If the Aleutian Ridge can nudge a bit east and poleward it can happen again.
So let's discuss how things can change. Has there been a season with a similar start to December and a proverbial flip? There has been.
The year was December 1990. In fact the cards were stacked the same, very cold Alaska and Northern Canada with a strong Aleutian ridge. It even featured very similar SST anomaly except it was weak +neutral. I'd still say it's a viable despite the different times.
Start of December 1990. Was mild and very close 500mb look.
Current period coming up.
After mid-month 1990 a very cold period ensued with the western trof that was able to spill out into the plains. DFW got as cold as 10F on December 23rd.
After 15th 1990 the very cold source spilled.
SSTa.
1990
Current
Can it happen again? Absolutely yes. If the Aleutian Ridge can nudge a bit east and poleward it can happen again.
6 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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