Texas Winter 2021-2022

Winter Weather Discussion

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AustinTXResident

Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#821 Postby AustinTXResident » Sun Dec 19, 2021 7:16 pm

All the Following Apply to Austin Camp Mabry

Average Monthly Temperature:
61.6° F...November 2021
65.4° F...December 2021 (through the 18th)

Winter with Fewest Freezing Temperatures:
1...1992-93

Latest First Freeze on Record:
1/15/1989

Warmest 2 Consecutive December Days on Record:
..#2 (tied)...75.0° F...12/15-16 and 12/16-17/2021
..#7...74.3° F...12/9-10/2021
#23...72.3° F...12/4-5/2021

Warmest 3 Consecutive December Days on Record:
..#1...75.0° F...12/15-17/2021
..#9...72.5° F...12/14-16/2021
#21...71.0° F...12/3-5/2021

Warmest 4 Consecutive December Days on Record:
..#1 (tied)...73.1° F...12/14-17/2021
..#9...71.0° F...12/15-18/2021
#19...69.9° F...12/2-5/2021

Warmest 5 Consecutive December Days on Record:
..#5...70.3° F...12/14-18/2021
#14...69.4° F...12/13-17/2021
#22...68.5° F...12/1-5/2021

Warmest 7 Consecutive December Days on Record:
#14...67.1° F...12/4-10/2021

Warmest 14 Consecutive December Days on Record:
..#1...65.7° F...12/4-17/2021
..#2...65.3° F...12/3-16/2021
..#3...64.9° F...12/5-18/2021
..#4...64.6° F...12/2-15/2021
..#6...63.8° F...12/1-14/2021
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#822 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Dec 19, 2021 7:36 pm

GEFS Member #16 looks crippling for Texas & Oklahoma in Early January if it verified :eek:
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#823 Postby Rgv20 » Sun Dec 19, 2021 7:39 pm

Getting some beneficial rain for my area....Currently 46 and .81 precip accumulation at my PWS.

https://imgur.com/fZJ9pZ8
Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#824 Postby Cpv17 » Sun Dec 19, 2021 8:15 pm

Rgv20 wrote:Getting some beneficial rain for my area....Currently 46 and .81 precip accumulation at my PWS.

https://imgur.com/fZJ9pZ8
http://i.imgur.com/fZJ9pZ8h.gif


I picked up 1.75” yesterday here in Wharton and there’s supposed to be more on the way tomorrow. Love it!
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#825 Postby wxman57 » Sun Dec 19, 2021 8:17 pm

BIG difference between the 12Z GFS and the 18Z as far as early January. Cross-Polar flow is gone in 18Z. Back to same pattern as the present. Just can't trust anything so far out.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#826 Postby Brent » Sun Dec 19, 2021 8:49 pm

Cerlin wrote:Gonna be in California from the 29th through early next year…maybe I’m bad luck and something will happen then! LOL


Thanks for the warning :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#827 Postby Cpv17 » Sun Dec 19, 2021 9:11 pm

wxman57 wrote:BIG difference between the 12Z GFS and the 18Z as far as early January. Cross-Polar flow is gone in 18Z. Back to same pattern as the present. Just can't trust anything so far out.


Past 5 days it’s a crapshoot.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#828 Postby HockeyTx82 » Sun Dec 19, 2021 9:38 pm

Where's Porta these days? Chance of Sleet in Austin and nothing from him?
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#829 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Dec 19, 2021 10:24 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:Where's Porta these days? Chance of Sleet in Austin and nothing from him?


I know, I've noticed that he's not been here since possibly the beginning of December.
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#830 Postby wxman57 » Sun Dec 19, 2021 10:34 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
HockeyTx82 wrote:Where's Porta these days? Chance of Sleet in Austin and nothing from him?


I know, I've noticed that he's not been here since possibly the beginning of December.


I believe he may be dealing with some personal family issues.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#831 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Dec 19, 2021 10:36 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:
HockeyTx82 wrote:Where's Porta these days? Chance of Sleet in Austin and nothing from him?


I know, I've noticed that he's not been here since possibly the beginning of December.


I believe he may be dealing with some personal family issues.


Makes sense, that happened to me last month
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#832 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Dec 19, 2021 10:38 pm

The NWS is saying a low of 28°F, but I'm seeing Mid-20s tonight, it's already below freezing (31°F) right now.
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#833 Postby harp » Mon Dec 20, 2021 12:26 am

Enjoy the fantasy on the 0z GFS!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#834 Postby Brent » Mon Dec 20, 2021 12:35 am

GFS is also somewhat cooler for Christmas Day Oklahoma and North Texas. Christmas Eve is still a torch. Dallas went from mid to upper 70s to mid 60s

But yeah the storm beyond 300 hours is something else... Of course it's total fantasy lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#835 Postby gpsnowman » Mon Dec 20, 2021 5:08 am

Is that a rain/snow mix I see on radar up near the Red river?
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#836 Postby gpsnowman » Mon Dec 20, 2021 6:58 am

It is sleeting near the airport. It's mixed with rain but definitely some ice pellets falling from the sky. Winter has arrived!!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#837 Postby NDG » Mon Dec 20, 2021 8:17 am

gpsnowman wrote:It is sleeting near the airport. It's mixed with rain but definitely some ice pellets falling from the sky. Winter has arrived!!!


That's some serious wet bulbing going on then if ice pellets are making it to the ground.

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#838 Postby wxman57 » Mon Dec 20, 2021 8:30 am

Looks like the 00Z GFS giveth while the 06Z GFS taketh away. Snow all across SE TX with highs in the 20s on Jan 4th with the 00Z GFS. Highs in the upper 50s with rain on the 06Z run. Just can't trust anything that far out.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#839 Postby wxman57 » Mon Dec 20, 2021 8:31 am

gpsnowman wrote:It is sleeting near the airport. It's mixed with rain but definitely some ice pellets falling from the sky. Winter has arrived!!!


Does this mean your need for winter weather has been satiated and we can move on to spring and summer?
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#840 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Dec 20, 2021 8:56 am

End of 0z GFS has snow for Southern, SE, & Eastern Texas.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!


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