Texas Winter 2021-2022
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
All the Following Apply to Austin Camp Mabry
Average Monthly Temperature:
61.6° F...November 2021
65.4° F...December 2021 (through the 18th)
Winter with Fewest Freezing Temperatures:
1...1992-93
Latest First Freeze on Record:
1/15/1989
Warmest 2 Consecutive December Days on Record:
..#2 (tied)...75.0° F...12/15-16 and 12/16-17/2021
..#7...74.3° F...12/9-10/2021
#23...72.3° F...12/4-5/2021
Warmest 3 Consecutive December Days on Record:
..#1...75.0° F...12/15-17/2021
..#9...72.5° F...12/14-16/2021
#21...71.0° F...12/3-5/2021
Warmest 4 Consecutive December Days on Record:
..#1 (tied)...73.1° F...12/14-17/2021
..#9...71.0° F...12/15-18/2021
#19...69.9° F...12/2-5/2021
Warmest 5 Consecutive December Days on Record:
..#5...70.3° F...12/14-18/2021
#14...69.4° F...12/13-17/2021
#22...68.5° F...12/1-5/2021
Warmest 7 Consecutive December Days on Record:
#14...67.1° F...12/4-10/2021
Warmest 14 Consecutive December Days on Record:
..#1...65.7° F...12/4-17/2021
..#2...65.3° F...12/3-16/2021
..#3...64.9° F...12/5-18/2021
..#4...64.6° F...12/2-15/2021
..#6...63.8° F...12/1-14/2021
Average Monthly Temperature:
61.6° F...November 2021
65.4° F...December 2021 (through the 18th)
Winter with Fewest Freezing Temperatures:
1...1992-93
Latest First Freeze on Record:
1/15/1989
Warmest 2 Consecutive December Days on Record:
..#2 (tied)...75.0° F...12/15-16 and 12/16-17/2021
..#7...74.3° F...12/9-10/2021
#23...72.3° F...12/4-5/2021
Warmest 3 Consecutive December Days on Record:
..#1...75.0° F...12/15-17/2021
..#9...72.5° F...12/14-16/2021
#21...71.0° F...12/3-5/2021
Warmest 4 Consecutive December Days on Record:
..#1 (tied)...73.1° F...12/14-17/2021
..#9...71.0° F...12/15-18/2021
#19...69.9° F...12/2-5/2021
Warmest 5 Consecutive December Days on Record:
..#5...70.3° F...12/14-18/2021
#14...69.4° F...12/13-17/2021
#22...68.5° F...12/1-5/2021
Warmest 7 Consecutive December Days on Record:
#14...67.1° F...12/4-10/2021
Warmest 14 Consecutive December Days on Record:
..#1...65.7° F...12/4-17/2021
..#2...65.3° F...12/3-16/2021
..#3...64.9° F...12/5-18/2021
..#4...64.6° F...12/2-15/2021
..#6...63.8° F...12/1-14/2021
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- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9288
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- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
GEFS Member #16 looks crippling for Texas & Oklahoma in Early January if it verified 

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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Rgv20
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2466
- Age: 38
- Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2011 5:42 pm
- Location: Edinburg/McAllen Tx
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Getting some beneficial rain for my area....Currently 46 and .81 precip accumulation at my PWS.
https://imgur.com/fZJ9pZ8

https://imgur.com/fZJ9pZ8

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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Rgv20 wrote:Getting some beneficial rain for my area....Currently 46 and .81 precip accumulation at my PWS.
https://imgur.com/fZJ9pZ8
http://i.imgur.com/fZJ9pZ8h.gif
I picked up 1.75” yesterday here in Wharton and there’s supposed to be more on the way tomorrow. Love it!
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- wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met
- Posts: 22979
- Age: 67
- Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
- Location: Houston, TX (southwest)
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
BIG difference between the 12Z GFS and the 18Z as far as early January. Cross-Polar flow is gone in 18Z. Back to same pattern as the present. Just can't trust anything so far out.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Cerlin wrote:Gonna be in California from the 29th through early next year…maybe I’m bad luck and something will happen then! LOL
Thanks for the warning

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#neversummer
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
wxman57 wrote:BIG difference between the 12Z GFS and the 18Z as far as early January. Cross-Polar flow is gone in 18Z. Back to same pattern as the present. Just can't trust anything so far out.
Past 5 days it’s a crapshoot.
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- S2K Supporter
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- Location: Ponder, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Where's Porta these days? Chance of Sleet in Austin and nothing from him?
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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9288
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
HockeyTx82 wrote:Where's Porta these days? Chance of Sleet in Austin and nothing from him?
I know, I've noticed that he's not been here since possibly the beginning of December.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met
- Posts: 22979
- Age: 67
- Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
- Location: Houston, TX (southwest)
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Iceresistance wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:Where's Porta these days? Chance of Sleet in Austin and nothing from him?
I know, I've noticed that he's not been here since possibly the beginning of December.
I believe he may be dealing with some personal family issues.
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- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9288
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
wxman57 wrote:Iceresistance wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:Where's Porta these days? Chance of Sleet in Austin and nothing from him?
I know, I've noticed that he's not been here since possibly the beginning of December.
I believe he may be dealing with some personal family issues.
Makes sense, that happened to me last month
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9288
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
The NWS is saying a low of 28°F, but I'm seeing Mid-20s tonight, it's already below freezing (31°F) right now.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 38090
- Age: 36
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
- Contact:
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
GFS is also somewhat cooler for Christmas Day Oklahoma and North Texas. Christmas Eve is still a torch. Dallas went from mid to upper 70s to mid 60s
But yeah the storm beyond 300 hours is something else... Of course it's total fantasy lol
But yeah the storm beyond 300 hours is something else... Of course it's total fantasy lol
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
It is sleeting near the airport. It's mixed with rain but definitely some ice pellets falling from the sky. Winter has arrived!!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
gpsnowman wrote:It is sleeting near the airport. It's mixed with rain but definitely some ice pellets falling from the sky. Winter has arrived!!!
That's some serious wet bulbing going on then if ice pellets are making it to the ground.

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- wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met
- Posts: 22979
- Age: 67
- Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
- Location: Houston, TX (southwest)
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Looks like the 00Z GFS giveth while the 06Z GFS taketh away. Snow all across SE TX with highs in the 20s on Jan 4th with the 00Z GFS. Highs in the upper 50s with rain on the 06Z run. Just can't trust anything that far out.
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- wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met
- Posts: 22979
- Age: 67
- Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
- Location: Houston, TX (southwest)
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
gpsnowman wrote:It is sleeting near the airport. It's mixed with rain but definitely some ice pellets falling from the sky. Winter has arrived!!!
Does this mean your need for winter weather has been satiated and we can move on to spring and summer?
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- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9288
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
End of 0z GFS has snow for Southern, SE, & Eastern Texas.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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