Texas Winter 2021-2022
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
- Edwards Limestone
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 373
- Age: 35
- Joined: Tue Dec 28, 2021 11:05 am
- Location: Smithson Valley, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Too much dry air
0 likes
The above post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2009
- Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:17 am
- Location: Ponder, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
wxman57 wrote:See if you can spot a BIG difference between the 12Z Euro and 12Z GFS. Hint - it's NOT off the west coast. This is the 9-day forecast.
http://wxman57.com/images/Jan29.JPG
http://wxman57.com/images/Jan29.JPG
What am I looking at exactly?
0 likes
Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8925
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
HockeyTx82 wrote:wxman57 wrote:See if you can spot a BIG difference between the 12Z Euro and 12Z GFS. Hint - it's NOT off the west coast. This is the 9-day forecast.
http://wxman57.com/images/Jan29.JPG
http://wxman57.com/images/Jan29.JPG
What am I looking at exactly?
Look at the East Coast
1 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8925
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
KFOR now has a 50% chance of snow Saturday Night into Sunday & also Next Wednesday, I did not see that coming at all!
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Haris
- Category 5
- Posts: 1808
- Joined: Mon Nov 27, 2017 8:19 pm
- Location: ( Bee Cave) West Austin, Texas
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Dusting of sleet on the roof. Good persistent sleet showers W of Austin. At least the formerly freezing drizzle capital of Texas keeps its streak of winter precip
8 likes
Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 1448
- Joined: Sat Jun 26, 2021 10:51 am
- Location: Somewhere in Massachusetts
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Northern and Western Texas will probably be seeing below-freezing temperatures in the coming days.
If you want to see what chilly is like, look at the -35 F in Minnesota
If you want to see what chilly is like, look at the -35 F in Minnesota
1 likes
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 37124
- Age: 35
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
- Contact:
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Never got above 26 here and yeah it's cold and the wind sucks. Would be so much more impressive if everything was covered in snow. Hopefully February produces...
I could never live up north... Neverending cold and no snow is not my thing
I could never live up north... Neverending cold and no snow is not my thing
0 likes
#neversummer
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Haris wrote:[url]https://i.ibb.co/ykWdPfw/078-F3-B2-B-F9-FC-4-FBE-9-ECC-4-FADA2020-C9-F.jpg [/url]
Dusting of sleet on the roof. Good persistent sleet showers W of Austin. At least the formerly freezing drizzle capital of Texas keeps its streak of winter precip
Nice little sleet storm down there, looks like some accumulations. Congrats to cental and south Texas today!!
5 likes
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
1st snowflakes and flurries mixing with freezing rain at the LonghornWX Center in Jollyville, TX. 32 degrees.
6 likes
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8925
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
End of 18z GFS is showing 1062 MB High in NW Canada.
Edit to add: 500mb MSLP is at 579 where the Alaska Block is, the EPO is very Negative, but I'm curious on how negative the EPO is.
Edit to add: 500mb MSLP is at 579 where the Alaska Block is, the EPO is very Negative, but I'm curious on how negative the EPO is.
3 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Edwards Limestone
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 373
- Age: 35
- Joined: Tue Dec 28, 2021 11:05 am
- Location: Smithson Valley, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Glad Austin is getting something. All we got was cold drizzle here in SA.
We need rain asap….
We need rain asap….
4 likes
The above post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8925
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
The GFS is developing consistency of this:
https://s10.gifyu.com/images/Its-coming-.-.-..png
https://s10.gifyu.com/images/gfs_z500a_namer_64.png
This really needs to be kept an eye on.
https://s10.gifyu.com/images/Its-coming-.-.-..png
https://s10.gifyu.com/images/gfs_z500a_namer_64.png
This really needs to be kept an eye on.
1 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Iceresistance wrote:The GFS is developing consistency of this:
https://s10.gifyu.com/images/Its-coming-.-.-..png
https://s10.gifyu.com/images/Its-coming-.-.-..png
https://s10.gifyu.com/images/gfs_z500a_namer_64.png
https://s10.gifyu.com/images/gfs_z500a_namer_64.png
This really needs to be kept an eye on.
It's a similar pattern as December. February is often a mirror of Decembers but different wavelengths. Ridge needs to go poleward and some kind of ridging move into NW Canada. Record heat in Houston on that map though.
1 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Ntxw wrote:Iceresistance wrote:The GFS is developing consistency of this:
https://s10.gifyu.com/images/Its-coming-.-.-..png
https://s10.gifyu.com/images/Its-coming-.-.-..png
https://s10.gifyu.com/images/gfs_z500a_namer_64.png
https://s10.gifyu.com/images/gfs_z500a_namer_64.png
This really needs to be kept an eye on.
It's a similar pattern as December. February is often a mirror of Decembers but different wavelengths. Ridge needs to go poleward and some kind of ridging move into NW Canada. Record heat in Houston on that map though.
Yeah I was just about to say that it looks exactly like December. Ugly map. Major cold is there but definitely not headed towards us. Hopefully it changes. That’s a torch with that southeast ridge extending this way.
0 likes
- wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met
- Posts: 22484
- Age: 66
- Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
- Location: Houston, TX (southwest)
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
The GFS is trying to trick you. Don't believe it beyond 3-5 days. Euro is considerably different, and the Euro has been outperforming the GFS by far even at 120 hrs.
0 likes
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8925
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Cpv17 wrote:Ntxw wrote:Iceresistance wrote:The GFS is developing consistency of this:
https://s10.gifyu.com/images/Its-coming-.-.-..png
https://s10.gifyu.com/images/Its-coming-.-.-..png
https://s10.gifyu.com/images/gfs_z500a_namer_64.png
https://s10.gifyu.com/images/gfs_z500a_namer_64.png
This really needs to be kept an eye on.
It's a similar pattern as December. February is often a mirror of Decembers but different wavelengths. Ridge needs to go poleward and some kind of ridging move into NW Canada. Record heat in Houston on that map though.
Yeah I was just about to say that it looks exactly like December. Ugly map. Major cold is there but definitely not headed towards us. Hopefully it changes. That’s a torch with that southeast ridge extending this way.
I did not notice the SE Ridge until now.
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
wxman57 wrote:The GFS is trying to trick you. Don't believe it beyond 3-5 days. Euro is considerably different, and the Euro has been outperforming the GFS by far even at 120 hrs.
The Euro has nearly 7 inches of rain for me on d 10. I doubt that lol but Monday is definitely looking wet.
1 likes
- bubba hotep
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5527
- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Chilly rain alert (which warmer than a cold rain alert) but I do hope this verifies b/c we need the rain.
2 likes
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- TropicalTundra
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 567
- Joined: Wed Oct 16, 2019 12:56 pm
- Location: Temple, Texas
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
gpsnowman wrote:Haris wrote:[url]https://i.ibb.co/ykWdPfw/078-F3-B2-B-F9-FC-4-FBE-9-ECC-4-FADA2020-C9-F.jpg [/url]
Dusting of sleet on the roof. Good persistent sleet showers W of Austin. At least the formerly freezing drizzle capital of Texas keeps its streak of winter precip
Nice little sleet storm down there, looks like some accumulations. Congrats to cental and south Texas today!!
I have yet to get anything. Nothing but cold and wind. All that snow is sitting SW of me and it WONT budge to go north. This is literally just Dec. 2017 repeat for me.
1 likes
Summer's for hibernation, Winter’s my vacation
Please don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
Please don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 75 guests