Brent wrote:GFS has that midweek wave trying to be interesting up here again. Definitely some accumulating snow
Oh yes, I'm expecting a good amount of snow from the 0z GFS
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Brent wrote:GFS has that midweek wave trying to be interesting up here again. Definitely some accumulating snow
Iceresistance wrote:Brent wrote:GFS has that midweek wave trying to be interesting up here again. Definitely some accumulating snow
Oh yes, I'm expecting a good amount of snow from the 0z GFS
Brent wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Brent wrote:GFS has that midweek wave trying to be interesting up here again. Definitely some accumulating snow
Oh yes, I'm expecting a good amount of snow from the 0z GFS
Well see if it holds up I dunno yet how do the ensembles look
Also the day 10 CMC has a winter storm developing
wxman57 wrote:Weather looks mostly "normal", temperature-wise over the next couple of weeks. We'll likely see the 70s for a few days next week, maybe low 60s over the coming weekend. That may allow me to escape my electric blanket for a bit. No significant winter weather for TX the next couple of weeks. No freezes for Houston indicated. I got a half inch of rain with the front last week, and it's raining this morning.
orangeblood wrote:wxman57 wrote:Weather looks mostly "normal", temperature-wise over the next couple of weeks. We'll likely see the 70s for a few days next week, maybe low 60s over the coming weekend. That may allow me to escape my electric blanket for a bit. No significant winter weather for TX the next couple of weeks. No freezes for Houston indicated. I got a half inch of rain with the front last week, and it's raining this morning.
GEFS members say otherwise....numerous members really aggressive on winter weather starting the 1st week of Feb
https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gfs-ensemble-all-avg/tx/precip_6hr_ptype_multimember_panel/1643004000/1643868000-HK5TNwnI7kw.png
https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gfs-ensemble-all-avg/tx/precip_6hr_ptype_multimember_panel/1643004000/1644084000-rLnRjLH4fBw.png
wxman57 wrote:orangeblood wrote:wxman57 wrote:Weather looks mostly "normal", temperature-wise over the next couple of weeks. We'll likely see the 70s for a few days next week, maybe low 60s over the coming weekend. That may allow me to escape my electric blanket for a bit. No significant winter weather for TX the next couple of weeks. No freezes for Houston indicated. I got a half inch of rain with the front last week, and it's raining this morning.
GEFS members say otherwise....numerous members really aggressive on winter weather starting the 1st week of Feb
https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gfs-ensemble-all-avg/tx/precip_6hr_ptype_multimember_panel/1643004000/1643868000-HK5TNwnI7kw.png
https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gfs-ensemble-all-avg/tx/precip_6hr_ptype_multimember_panel/1643004000/1644084000-rLnRjLH4fBw.png
Well, I don't know if 3-5 members out of 30 = numerous. The vast majority 80%+ indicate nothing significant. Looking like rapid zonal flow in the GFS & Euro without much deep cold air around.
Haris wrote:We did see how the GEFS really overestimated the winter threat last week and caved last min, so I am pretty reserved of what its showing. That said, I'd love a change in Feb
txtwister78 wrote:Haris wrote:We did see how the GEFS really overestimated the winter threat last week and caved last min, so I am pretty reserved of what its showing. That said, I'd love a change in Feb
Agreed. Anything beyond 5 days to me is suspect at this point. I think with the SE ridge likely to come back in some form, the key will be how much of that is pushed into TX and how strong is it in terms of pattern influence like we saw in December. Yes, the cold may try to push across the NW and plains but how far south can it go before meeting resistance/moderating is obviously going to be key. Perhaps a positive would be more precip if we can get a clash of airmasses and a more active SJ going but again at hour 240 it's really all speculative despite whatever the models are showing today.
orangeblood wrote:Of course but would this board even exist without some form of speculation ?
orangeblood wrote:txtwister78 wrote:Haris wrote:We did see how the GEFS really overestimated the winter threat last week and caved last min, so I am pretty reserved of what its showing. That said, I'd love a change in Feb
Agreed. Anything beyond 5 days to me is suspect at this point. I think with the SE ridge likely to come back in some form, the key will be how much of that is pushed into TX and how strong is it in terms of pattern influence like we saw in December. Yes, the cold may try to push across the NW and plains but how far south can it go before meeting resistance/moderating is obviously going to be key. Perhaps a positive would be more precip if we can get a clash of airmasses and a more active SJ going but again at hour 240 it's really all speculative despite whatever the models are showing today.
Of course but would this board even exist without some form of speculation ?
Brent wrote:Wednesday night trying to be interesting up here still
https://i.ibb.co/8KNpVFb/image1-9.png
Iceresistance wrote:Brent wrote:Wednesday night trying to be interesting up here still
https://i.ibb.co/8KNpVFb/image1-9.png
NWS-Norman has up to 1 inch of snow.
orangeblood wrote:txtwister78 wrote:Haris wrote:We did see how the GEFS really overestimated the winter threat last week and caved last min, so I am pretty reserved of what its showing. That said, I'd love a change in Feb
Agreed. Anything beyond 5 days to me is suspect at this point. I think with the SE ridge likely to come back in some form, the key will be how much of that is pushed into TX and how strong is it in terms of pattern influence like we saw in December. Yes, the cold may try to push across the NW and plains but how far south can it go before meeting resistance/moderating is obviously going to be key. Perhaps a positive would be more precip if we can get a clash of airmasses and a more active SJ going but again at hour 240 it's really all speculative despite whatever the models are showing today.
Of course but would this board even exist without some form of speculation ?
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