Texas Winter 2021-2022

[Iceresistance]

KFOR has this forecast, Tulsa is a little warmer than OKC because of a little more sunlight.


https://s10.gifyu.com/images/SNOW.jpg

Up to 1 inch in Central Oklahoma, 2-4 in SW & Western Oklahoma.

[Brent]

KFOR has this forecast, Tulsa is a little warmer than OKC because of a little more sunlight.

https://s10.gifyu.com/images/SNOW.jpg
https://s10.gifyu.com/images/SNOW.jpg

Up to 1 inch in Central Oklahoma, 2-4 in SW & Western Oklahoma.

Yeah and our chance seems to be after dark

NBC here ran a model earlier... 3 inches in OKC around an inch here

[bubba hotep]

[Ntxw]

Jog back memory lane. Around this date last year DFW had a winter low of 27F. It hadn't gotten that cold yet. December and January had a few Oklahoma, west Texas, and central Texas snow events from -AO strong ULL systems. In terms of cold it was hardly, and the gloomy posts ensued.

[Cerlin]

Jog back memory lane. Around this date last year DFW had a winter low of 27F. It hadn't gotten that cold yet. December and January had a few Oklahoma, west Texas, and central Texas snow events from -AO strong ULL systems. In terms of cold it was hardly, and the gloomy posts ensued.

That year serves as a reminder that no winter is over by January. February is usually the moneymaker!

[Ntxw]

Jog back memory lane. Around this date last year DFW had a winter low of 27F. It hadn't gotten that cold yet. December and January had a few Oklahoma, west Texas, and central Texas snow events from -AO strong ULL systems. In terms of cold it was hardly, and the gloomy posts ensued.

That year serves as a reminder that no winter is over by January. February is usually the moneymaker!

Oh yeah! It was around the closing days of January the general models started showing a big storm system with snow early Feb but were ghost/model storms. However that was a signal that some cold was coming.

[ElectricStorm]

If we're gonna get snow it needs to be a good enough amount to cancel classes. None of this "oh look we got some flurries and now I get to walk to class in miserable weather" kind of stuff

[Ntxw]

And here's a crazy statistic that it doesn't snow much in DFW during the month of January of late. Since 2000 March has seen more snow nearly 3x over.

[Brent]

If we're gonna get snow it needs to be a good enough amount to cancel classes. None of this "oh look we got some flurries and now I get to walk to class in miserable weather" kind of stuff

Yeah I've already seen flurries and a dusting here... It's time to do better. Grass covered or bust

[Texas Snow]

And here's a crazy statistic that it doesn't snow much in DFW during the month of January of late. Since 2000 March has seen more snow nearly 3x over.

https://i.imgur.com/LVPrFc1.png

5 outta 22 ain’t bad for March here.
That said some type of winter precip 14 outta 22 years in February would surprise a bunch of people. 33”? Dang.

[Haris]

ummmmm the euro is god's gift lol

[harp]

ummmmm the euro is god's gift lol

Can you post?

[Cpv17]

6z GFS is beautiful! If only it weren’t 300 hours out lol

[harp]

This is what happens when the GFS smokes crack….

[TeamPlayersBlue]

This one is really starting to look interesting..... Euro ENS, All Operationals and Euro Control going pretty wild with storm next week
https://images.weatherbell.com/model/ecmwf-ensemble-avg/conus/z500_anom/1643112000/1643803200-tkJcrEvxmBA.png
https://images.weatherbell.com/model/ecmwf-ensemble-avg/conus/t850/1643112000/1643889600-HjReyOzS2Jg.png

Models have done some sig flip flopping in particular the ensembles. -PNA is now gone early Feb. Ridging east and west coast, good for TX.

I really hate to compare Feb '21, but i dont remember what factors led to the over the top blocking and the PV dropping down. The look at the end of the run does look good for Texas. I noticed that cyclonic wave breaking on the east coast is what leads to the PV coming down some and setting up the pattern at the end of the run. Is that what happened in the week or so leading up to 2/21?

I love looking at long range for educational purposes. It shows what we want to see, often, but it also shows what it takes to get there in the hours leading up to epic freezes or snowstorms in the long range.

[Iceresistance]

KWTV-News 9 has 1-2 inches in Central Oklahoma, locally 3 within the snowbands, & 4-5 inches in SW Oklahoma, locally 6 inches


(No photos though)

[ThunderSleetDreams]

6z GFS is beautiful! If only it weren’t 300 hours out lol

Lock that in NOW and I’ll give you warm weather weirdos an early spring.

[Iceresistance]

Can Y'all please post the Mean & Ensemble Snowfall from the 0z & 6z GEFS? College of DuPage is having problems & I can't post it since it goes as far as 18z Yesterday.

[Iceresistance]

I'm mostly concerned about Next Week.


https://s10.gifyu.com/images/7day0bf337aff57a1c5c.jpg

[wxman57]

Interesting overnight GFS runs. Lots of moisture in sub-freezing air here in Houston Feb 7-8, not so much in DFW. Let's hope this does not verify, as I'd need to shut the water off and fill my Home Depot 5-gal buckets again. I'm not prepping the high-speed NASA for departure to Sydney just yet, as this event is way out in GFS fantasy land for now.

http://wxman57.com/images/6ZJan26GFS.JPG

http://wxman57.com/images/6ZJan26GFS-DFW.JPG