Texas Spring 2022
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- TheProfessor
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Re: Texas Spring 2022
Man, not sure what the 0z CAMS and Mesoscale models were initializing off of, but they're doing horrible compared towards current radar right now. Looks like the 1z RAP and HRRR have started correcting already though.
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Re: Texas Spring 2022
Weather Dude wrote:Storms starting to come my way now. Just outside of the severe thunderstorm watch so we could end up with something strong despite being just north of the marginal risk.
Storms still flaring up moving into the metro. Had been expected to weaken by now
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#neversummer
- Rgv20
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Re: Texas Spring 2022
Officially had a high of 97 in McAllen today....Summer reminding the RGV that is around the corner
My weather station recorded a high of 102 but the majority of other close by weather stations mostly recorded 97-98s.
Total Rainfall so far for March at my backyard a whopping 0.04"

Total Rainfall so far for March at my backyard a whopping 0.04"
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Spring 2022
I'm in an extremely favorable position right now.
Storms moving north but building south, I may get a lot of rainfall from this.
Storms moving north but building south, I may get a lot of rainfall from this.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: Texas Spring 2022
Good solid rain here hope everyone else can cash in next week
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- ElectricStorm
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Re: Texas Spring 2022
Storms are definitely weakening up here now. Nothing severe, but it's nice to hear thunder again
Thankful for the rain though. Definitely a nice way to start spring.

Thankful for the rain though. Definitely a nice way to start spring.
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B.S Meteorology, University of Oklahoma '25
Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
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Re: Texas Spring 2022
Devastating fires out west.
Some small towns largely destroyed it sounds like. Geez.
Some small towns largely destroyed it sounds like. Geez.
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- ElectricStorm
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Re: Texas Spring 2022
So I went back and looked up when the last Day 5 enhanced risk was, and it turns out it was 1/10/20. Before that it was the one and only 5/20/19. So yeah it's been a while.
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B.S Meteorology, University of Oklahoma '25
Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
- wxman57
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Re: Texas Spring 2022
Received 0.2 inches of rain overnight. Noticed an "odd" smell when I went outside. Smells like "fall" - burning wood. Noticed Bush airport is reporting smoke. It's the Eastland fires east of Abilene.
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Re: Texas Spring 2022
Weather Dude wrote:So I went back and looked up when the last Day 5 enhanced risk was, and it turns out it was 1/10/20. Before that it was the one and only 5/20/19. So yeah it's been a while.
Looks like Monday is going to be more SE of DFW. Denton is not even in the 15% zone as of this morning.
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Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
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Re: Texas Spring 2022
Thoughts on mowing and laying down Fertilizer? I've got Bermuda. Think I'm good or wait?
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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
- TheProfessor
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Re: Texas Spring 2022
What a great storm here. We'll probably finish with about 1.25" of liquid QPF and we got 1.5" of snow too. Just what we needed.
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An alumnus of The Ohio State University.
Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
- Edwards Limestone
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Re: Texas Spring 2022
HockeyTx82 wrote:Weather Dude wrote:So I went back and looked up when the last Day 5 enhanced risk was, and it turns out it was 1/10/20. Before that it was the one and only 5/20/19. So yeah it's been a while.
Looks like Monday is going to be more SE of DFW. Denton is not even in the 15% zone as of this morning.
Yup, looks like it's trending toward a NE TX or Ark-La-Tex event again. I've noticed the SPC has been shifting their area further and further east each day, so now the Hill Country and SA are pretty much out of the risk area.
Frustrating trend, but not surprising given the background state (e.g. -PDO, La Nina, etc.). The death ridge is going to be awful this summer.
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The above post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Spring 2022
Iceresistance wrote:I'm in an extremely favorable position right now.
Storms moving north but building south, I may get a lot of rainfall from this.
Not at much as I wanted, but still got .5 inch of rain.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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- Category 5
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Re: Texas Spring 2022
HockeyTx82 wrote:Weather Dude wrote:So I went back and looked up when the last Day 5 enhanced risk was, and it turns out it was 1/10/20. Before that it was the one and only 5/20/19. So yeah it's been a while.
Looks like Monday is going to be more SE of DFW. Denton is not even in the 15% zone as of this morning.
Ugh. Need some rain. Dryline needs to stay west. Still nothing even yesterday except a few drops.
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Re: Texas Spring 2022
I'm guessing 0.75-1.50 qpf for Monday's event. Which if comes to pass likely makes March another in a long string of deficit months. Locally could be higher in some storms but not broad enough to be a drought buster. Take what we can get. Feedback is real now.
On the other side we may get another coolish to near normal month. At least for now the heat hasn't coupled.
On the other side we may get another coolish to near normal month. At least for now the heat hasn't coupled.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Spring 2022
Got reports that Carbon, TX has partially burned up. 

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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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- Category 5
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- Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
- Location: North Fort Worth
Re: Texas Spring 2022
I’m on the western edge of slight risk for Monday. Hope it trends west again, but unlikely. Sprinklers are in tomorrow to water pre emergent more than it got earlier this week.
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Re: Texas Spring 2022
NAM is in range and already suggesting a threat more west beginning Monday and PDS threat for Central Texas including Wilco and Travis. Bears watching.
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- CaptinCrunch
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Re: Texas Spring 2022
I didn't receive a drop of rain yesterday even though I heard thunder saw the rain clouds but within a few minutes it was gone to the NE so another rain event that left me high and dry. 

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