2022 Severe Weather

[ElectricStorm]

It's a long ways out but...
4/13 has my attention. Stay tuned, we'll see if the models keep it going, they've been pretty consistent so far but it's a long way out.

[Kohlecane]

Interesting set up along the Mississippi Valley and into C/Southern GA for today. I'm In Coastal SC so keeping an eye out

[ElectricStorm]

It's a long ways out but...
4/13 has my attention. Stay tuned, we'll see if the models keep it going, they've been pretty consistent so far but it's a long way out.

And 4/11. Day 7 slight risk up

[ElectricStorm]

Allendale, SC is about to take a direct hit from a strong tornado. Another strong tornado on the line in GA right now.

[Iceresistance]

Tornado Emergency for South Carolina, extremely dangerous Supercell with a likely violent tornado on the ground

[ElectricStorm]

 https://twitter.com/NickKrasz_Wx/status/1511516527463391238




Depending on how well built these homes were, this could be an EF4+. Notice the anchor bolts there in the second image

[Ntxw]

2022 (you can even go back and count the December tornadoes in the Ohio Valley) has seen some pretty distinct tornadoes. Definitely a trend hard to ignore, I hate to compare it to 2011 but there were pretty solid trends that season before the big show late April and May.

[Iceresistance]

Joe B is saying that something really big is coming next week.

 https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/1511705441172082688




Take this forecast as a grain of salt, but April 13th appears to have an extremely high ceiling

 https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1511687245752844298

[Iceresistance]

This must be on of the largest Enhanced Risks I've ever seen.

EDIT: Finally got it to work

[Iceresistance]

This is concerning

 https://twitter.com/Jeff_Piotrowski/status/1513170496459878404

[ElectricStorm]

Most of the discussion for today's event has been in the Texas thread but since the main show will likely be in other regions I'll go ahead and put it here. Moderate risk is up today for IA, with a tornado outbreak likely.


For tomorrow, a massive 10 hatched tornado area is up, one of the biggest I've ever seen. My guess is that parts of it will be upgraded to moderate at some point. Very dangerous day ahead.

[PDinKS]

Most of the discussion for today's event has been in the Texas thread but since the main show will likely be in other regions I'll go ahead and put it here. Moderate risk is up today for IA, with a tornado outbreak likely.
https://i.imgur.com/Ws7DDOi.gif

For tomorrow, a massive 10 hatched tornado area is up, one of the biggest I've ever seen. My guess is that parts of it will be upgraded to moderate at some point. Very dangerous day ahead.
https://i.imgur.com/ZFqoAlx.gif

Thanks. Not all of us are in Texas. I am not as weather savvy as the rest of you, but I do appreciate info that may help me make decisions for my family and friends that follow me for weather.

[ElectricStorm]

Tomorrow has been upgraded to a moderate risk. The southern part of it is a 15 hatched tornado area.

[cstrunk]

The SPC Mesoanalysis parameters up in Iowa along and south of the warm front are pretty crazy right now. I wouldn't be surprised to see a couple of violent tornadoes in that area if storm interactions allow it.

[Edwards Limestone]

Most of the discussion for today's event has been in the Texas thread but since the main show will likely be in other regions I'll go ahead and put it here. Moderate risk is up today for IA, with a tornado outbreak likely.
https://i.imgur.com/Ws7DDOi.gif

For tomorrow, a massive 10 hatched tornado area is up, one of the biggest I've ever seen. My guess is that parts of it will be upgraded to moderate at some point. Very dangerous day ahead.
https://i.imgur.com/ZFqoAlx.gif

Thanks. Not all of us are in Texas. I am not as weather savvy as the rest of you, but I do appreciate info that may help me make decisions for my family and friends that follow me for weather.

Just FYI- despite the thread title, you'll find lots of useful discussion there regarding weather events for the central/southern Great Plains in general.

[PDinKS]

Most of the discussion for today's event has been in the Texas thread but since the main show will likely be in other regions I'll go ahead and put it here. Moderate risk is up today for IA, with a tornado outbreak likely.
https://i.imgur.com/Ws7DDOi.gif

For tomorrow, a massive 10 hatched tornado area is up, one of the biggest I've ever seen. My guess is that parts of it will be upgraded to moderate at some point. Very dangerous day ahead.
https://i.imgur.com/ZFqoAlx.gif

Thanks. Not all of us are in Texas. I am not as weather savvy as the rest of you, but I do appreciate info that may help me make decisions for my family and friends that follow me for weather.

Just FYI- despite the thread title, you'll find lots of useful discussion there regarding weather events for the central/southern Great Plains in general.

Yes! I have found this forum, and several topics, extremely helpful over the 11 years that I have been following it. It is indispensible living here in SE Kansas IMO

[ElectricStorm]

PDS warning near Gilmore City, IA, large stovepipe on the ground
 https://twitter.com/BlakeNaftel/status/1514021022336524296

[Ntxw]

Lots of linear mode out there, not as big a day so far as a lot of us thought given what was possible 5-7 days out. I think storm mode is still one factor we just don't have a great grasp on forecasting.

[ElectricStorm]

From a tornado perspective, this was by far the least impressive moderate risk of the year so far. From a wind perspective however, the 45 hatched moderate 100% verified. Already over 100 wind reports. Some of those were probably QLCS spin ups so we should see more tornado reports than the 2 we have right now.

[Iceresistance]

Tornado Emergency for Northern Arkansas! I did not see that coming at all!

Code: Select all

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR HARDY, HIGHLAND AND WILLIFORD...

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR WESTERN
RANDOLPH...NORTHEASTERN IZARD...EASTERN FULTON...NORTHWESTERN
LAWRENCE AND CENTRAL SHARP COUNTIES...

At 734 PM CDT, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located
near Hardy, or 9 miles east of Cherokee Village, moving east at 50
mph.

TORNADO EMERGENCY for HARDY, HIGHLAND AND WILLIFORD. This is a
PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Deadly tornado.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
         is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Cherokee Village...               Ash Flat...
Horseshoe Bend...                 Highland in Sharp County...
Mammoth Spring...                 Hardy...
Imboden...                        Ravenden...
Ravenden Springs...               Ballard...
Annieville...                     Mammoth Spring State Park...
Smithville...                     Williford...
Agnos...                          Armstrong...
Heart...                          Kittle...
Wirth...                          Saddle...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous, and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid
windows. If in a mobile home, a vehicle or outdoors, move to the
closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

A large and extremely dangerous tornado is on the ground. Take
immediate tornado precautions. This is an emergency situation.

&&

LAT...LON 3624 9180 3650 9161 3650 9115 3601 9121
TIME...MOT...LOC 0034Z 283DEG 44KT 3629 9139

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CATASTROPHIC
MAX HAIL SIZE...4.00 IN