wxman57 wrote:Cpv17 wrote:wxman57 wrote:GFS does not look like it has a clue beyond the next 5-7 days, but I take notice when the Euro indicates a low in the BoC next Tue-Wed. However, both models indicate a quite hostile environment north of the BoC. The low on the Euro looks subtropical after day 7. For now, I'd say maybe a 20% chance of Alex in the BoC next Wed-Thu. Nothing to indicate anything strong. Possibly a weak, sheared TS. If it tracks north, the environment is very hostile. I'll be in San Antonio for a presentation next Tuesday and we have 4 drills to present on Wednesday. Good timing... NOT!
I don’t think many people would complain about south Texas getting a sloppy ts to give us some drought/heat relief.
Given the strong west to east flow across the Gulf, it's unlikely we'll get any moisture out of this system.
Yeah I was afraid of that.