#60 Postby ouragans » Sat Jun 25, 2022 1:11 am
Wave #13 introduced, with 11-12
A new tropical wave has been introduced along 16W and south of
15N based satellite imagery and Hovmoller diagram. The wave is
moving W at around 15 kt. A few showers are noted near the trough
axis.
An Atlantic tropical wave is along 33W, south of 15N and moving
W at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection
is observed from 06N-12N and between 30W and 37W. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for development over the next few
days, and a tropical depression could form during the early to
middle part of next week as it approaches the Windward Islands.
The disturbance has a low chance of tropical cyclone formation
during the next 48 hours, and a medium chance over the next 5
days.
Another Atlantic tropical wave is along 50W, south of 15N and
moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is noted from 06N-12N and between 45W and 57W.
Enhanced rainfall is possible over the Windward Islands as the
tropical wave passes through the area Sunday and Sunday night.
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Personal forecast disclaimer
This post is a personal point of view, not an information. Please refer to official statements for life-threatening decisions.
David '79, Frederic '79, Hugo '89, Iris, Luis & Marilyn '95, Georges '98, Lenny '99, Dean '07, Irma '17, Maria '17, Fiona '22, Philippe '23, Tammy '23
16°13'33.3,"6N -61°36'39.5"W