EPAC: BONNIE - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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- ScottNAtlanta
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion
My Bonnie was in the Atlantic
My Bonnie kept moving you see...
My Bonnie's now in the Pacific
Where a hurricane she will be...
(I figured someone ought to do this)
My Bonnie kept moving you see...
My Bonnie's now in the Pacific
Where a hurricane she will be...
(I figured someone ought to do this)
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- gatorcane
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Models blew it with this system even the mighty GFS and Euro which had this as a hurricane at one point in the eastern Caribbean. Looks like it should become a formidable hurricane in the EPAC.
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- cycloneye
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion
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- skyline385
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Re: RE: Re: ATL: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion
What about the Hurricane/Major count? I am guessing that would be attributed to the EPAC as well which would be kinda weird since the storm would be from the NATL list.tolakram wrote:The way I read it the Atlantic will get the ACE until the header changes to EPAC, at which time all new ACE will go towards the EPAC.
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- cycloneye
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Wow, almost intact after crossing CA.
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Those HWRF/HMON runs showing a mostly intact eyewall/inner core after Central America have verified very well in the short term. We could see a period of significant intensification starting in the next 24-36 hours as Bonnie pulls away from Central America.
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I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
- skyline385
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Re: RE: Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion
HAFS 0Z was bearish on it even with the core intact because it took a more northerly route compared to the others. We will find out soon which way Bonnie goes.aspen wrote:
Those HWRF/HMON runs showing a mostly intact eyewall/inner core after Central America have verified very well in the short term. We could see a period of significant intensification starting in the next 24-36 hours as Bonnie pulls away from Central America.
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- Category5Kaiju
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Looks like somebody isn't in the correct basin lol
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Now officially the first Atl->Pac crossover since Otto in 2016 and only the 2nd one of its kind this century. Interesting to note that it's also the first time that an Atl->Pac crossover only peaked as a tropical storm in the Atlantic. In all previous cases the storm reached at least cat 1 strength before the crossover.
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion
The place where Bonnie passed over from the Atlantic to Pacific is relatively flat, no major mountains or volcanoes to disrupt it and the area is forest, lakes and marshes. Pretty much the ideal place.
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- cheezyWXguy
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion
I don’t think this is going to take long to reach hurricane status
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- AnnularCane
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Category5Kaiju wrote:https://i.imgur.com/71q0qll.png
Looks like somebody isn't in the correct basin lol
Bonnie: "What happened? Where am I? This doesn't look like the Atlantic!"
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"But it never rained rain. It never snowed snow. And it never blew just wind. It rained things like soup and juice. It snowed mashed potatoes and green peas. And sometimes the wind blew in storms of hamburgers." -- Judi Barrett, Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs
- cainjamin
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Looks like the inner core is reestablishing itself quite quickly. Wouldn't be surprised to see a hurricane sooner than currently forecast
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion
I think this becomes a hurricane much earlier than Tuesday.
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion
So far Bonnie is closely following the short-term structural evolution forecast by yesterday’s HWRF runs, with an eye-like feature appearing due to some displaced convection despite remaining around 1000mb. Once deep convection re-establishes itself over Bonnie’s core, it’ll likely take off before an increase in shear in a few days.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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- galaxy401
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Already has an eye-like feature apparent. Should really start blowing up now.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
- skyline385
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- cycloneye
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Closeup view of the aparent eye feature.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
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